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TodaysPrediction

Leicester vs Doncaster prediction

Leicester vs Doncaster prediction for the League One on 17 Oct 2026: Leicester or draw (72%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
LeicesterNo recent gamesDoncasterNo recent games
2 - 1Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 1-0
King Power Stadium, Leicester

Match events

LeicesterDoncaster
  1. Yellow card: Luke ThomasPersistent Infringement17'
  2. Goal: John LundstramAssist: Warren O'Hora45+1'

HT 1-0

  1. 57'Yellow card: Alfie MayFoul
  2. 58'Substitution: Isaac HutchinsonOff: Brandon Hanlan
  3. 59'Yellow card: jay mcgrathFoul
  4. Goal: K. DoyleAssist: Luke Thomas61'
  5. 65'Yellow card: Leon AyindeFoul
  6. 69'Substitution: Leon AyindeOff: Hakeeb Adelakun
  7. 69'Substitution: Bayley McCannOff: T. Nixon
  8. 69'Substitution: George BroadbentOff: Will Keane
  9. Substitution: Samuel Charles BraybrookeOff: Conor Chaplin71'
  10. Substitution: Liam CullenOff: K. Doyle79'
  11. 84'Own goal: Warren O'Hora (og)
  12. 85'Substitution: Sean GrehanOff: Harry Clifton
  13. Substitution: William Thomas-AlvesOff: Olabade Aluko89'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Leicester or draw

Bet365 1.25

72%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Leicester47%
Fair odds 2.13
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Doncaster28%
Fair odds 3.57

Match statistics

  • 54%Possession46%
  • 1.80Expected goals (xG)0.54
  • 14Total shots13
  • 7Shots on target3
  • 3Shots off target5
  • 4Blocked shots5
  • 12Shots inside the box9
  • 6Corners7
  • 1Offsides0
  • 11Fouls10
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves5
  • 456Passes381
  • 339Accurate passes265

Line-ups

Leicester

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 29A. McCarthyG
  2. 16W. O'HoraD
  3. 15H. SouttarD
  4. 5C. OkoliD
  5. 33L. ThomasD
  6. 25L. PageM
  7. 37W. AlvesM
  8. 36S. BraybrookeM
  9. 6J. LundstramM
  10. 27K. DoyleM
  11. 17E. RiisF

Substitutes

  1. 8C. ChaplinF
  2. 32O. AlukoD
  3. 14B. De Cordova-ReidF
  4. 20H. HowellF
  5. 11L. CullenF
  6. 24I. KangasniemiD
  7. 21F. RavizzoliG

Coach: Russell Martin

Doncaster

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Tommy SimkinG
  2. 27S. GrehanD
  3. 12N. ByrneD
  4. 6J. McGrathD
  5. 11L. AyindeM
  6. 22R. GottsM
  7. 8G. BroadbentM
  8. 16T. NixonM
  9. 4O. BaileyM
  10. 21I. HutchinsonM
  11. 10A. MayF

Substitutes

  1. 47H. AdelakunF
  2. 42J. ClarkeG
  3. 15H. CliftonM
  4. 9B. HanlanF
  5. 18W. KeaneF
  6. 25B. McCannD
  7. 20D. RobinsonM

Coach: G. McCann

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.75 – 1.30
0.5 goalsOver95.3%Under4.7%
1.5 goalsOver80.8%Under19.2%
2.5 goalsOver58.8%Under41.2%
3.5 goalsOver36.4%Under63.6%
4.5 goalsOver19.3%Under80.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

LeicesterDoncaster
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
57%Expected goals43%
63%Overall37%

Last matches

Newest first
Leicester0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Doncaster0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

League One table

League One table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
11Milton Keynes Dons13+218
12Mansfield Town12+218
13Wycombe13-218
14Leyton Orient13+517
15Burton Albion14-317
16Stevenage12+416
17Notts County12-114
18AFC Wimbledon13-1213
19Blackpool12-412
20Doncaster13-812
21Wigan13-1110
22Peterborough13-1210
23Barnsley12-109
24Bromley13-209
See full table ›

Top scorers

League One top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1A. CollinsMilton Keynes Dons1313
2K. WoottonStockport County149
3J. TaylorHuddersfield129
4J. MarriottReading88
5D. Sanches FernandesHuddersfield137

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatLeicesterDoncaster
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Leicester host Doncaster in the League One (Regular Season - 11) at King Power Stadium, Leicester, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Leicester slight favourites, giving Leicester a 47% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 28% for Doncaster. Our tip is: Leicester or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 and a 61% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England League One
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
King Power Stadium, Leicester

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Leicester vs Doncaster?

Leicester vs Doncaster kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Leicester vs Doncaster in?

The match is in the England League One.

Where are Leicester and Doncaster in the table?

Leicester are 10th and Doncaster are 20th in the League One.

Who will win Leicester vs Doncaster?

Our prediction is Leicester or draw. Win probabilities: Leicester 47%, draw 25%, Doncaster 28%.

Will both teams score in Leicester vs Doncaster?

We estimate a 61% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Leicester vs Doncaster?

We estimate a 59% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More League One on Sat 17 Oct

FTPeterborough 2-2 Burton Albion1X ✓FTMilton Keynes Dons 2-1 LutonX2 ✗FTPlymouth 0-2 Huddersfield1X ✗FTBarnsley 1-2 Cambridge United1X ✗FTBradford 2-0 Stevenage1X ✓FTWigan 1-0 ReadingX2 ✗FTWycombe 2-0 Notts CountyOver 1.5 ✓FTSheffield Wednesday 5-0 AFC Wimbledon1 ✓FTStockport County 1-0 Bromley1 ✓FTLeyton Orient 2-0 BlackpoolOver 1.5 ✓

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