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Peterborough vs Luton prediction

Peterborough vs Luton prediction for the League One on 31 Oct 2026: Luton or draw (71%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
League One · Regular Season - 14
PeterboroughLuton
0 - 2Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 0-1
ABAX Stadium, Peterborough

Match events

PeterboroughLuton
  1. 3'Goal: Jordan ClarkAssist: Kasey Palmer
  2. Yellow card: Harry AshfieldFoul9'
  3. 43'Yellow card: Jamie DonleyDissent
  4. Substitution: Matthew GarbettOff: Harry Ashfield45'
  5. Substitution: Brandon·Singh KhelaOff: Vernon Masara45'

HT 0-1

  1. 46'Own goal: Liam Kelly (og)
  2. 59'Substitution: Callum MarshallOff: Nahki Wells
  3. 59'Substitution: Liam WalshOff: Dan Gore
  4. Substitution: Carl JohnstonOff: Sam Hughes66'
  5. Substitution: D. OrmerodOff: Ethan Williams66'
  6. 70'Substitution: Jake RichardsOff: Tudor Mendel-Idowu
  7. Substitution: Declan FirthOff: Harley Mills72'
  8. 76'Yellow card: Kasey PalmerPersistent Infringement
  9. 84'Substitution: Isaiah JonesOff: Harrison Ashby
  10. 85'Substitution: Kasey PalmerOff: E. Lawrence

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Luton or draw

Bet365 1.33

71%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-2

Expected goals3.4

Win probability

1 · Peterborough29%
Fair odds 3.45
X · Draw23%
Fair odds 4.35
2 · Luton48%
Fair odds 2.08

Match statistics

  • 57%Possession43%
  • 1.57Expected goals (xG)1.25
  • 16Total shots10
  • 6Shots on target3
  • 6Shots off target2
  • 4Blocked shots5
  • 6Shots inside the box7
  • 4Corners6
  • 1Offsides3
  • 8Fouls14
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves5
  • 456Passes344
  • 341Accurate passes252

Line-ups

Peterborough

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1A. BassG
  2. 2C. JohnstonD
  3. 18Lucca MendonçaD
  4. 6T. O'ConnorD
  5. 14Harley MillsD
  6. 4L. KellyM
  7. 45Harry AshfieldM
  8. 19Bolu ShofowokeM
  9. 10Ethan WilliamsM
  10. 17Vernon MasaraM
  11. 9H. LeonardF

Substitutes

  1. 24Declan FirthF
  2. 28M. GarbettM
  3. 5S. HughesD
  4. 8B. KhelaM
  5. 3E. WeirD
  6. 23C. Andeng NdiG
  7. 27D. OrmerodF

Coach: Robert William Savage

Luton

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1J. SheaG
  2. 25I. JonesD
  3. 5M. AndersenD
  4. 6G. JohnstonD
  5. 12J. JohnsonD
  6. 8L. WalshM
  7. 7J. RichardsM
  8. 10J. DonleyM
  9. 18J. ClarkM
  10. 45K. PalmerM
  11. 9C. MarshallF

Substitutes

  1. 16Daniel GoreM
  2. 24Joshua KeeleyG
  3. 17T. Mendel-IdowuF
  4. 21N. WellsF
  5. 33H. AshbyD
  6. 11Emilio LawrenceF
  7. 31B. BenagrD

Coach: J. Wilshere

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.96
0.5 goalsOver96.8%Under3.2%
1.5 goalsOver85.8%Under14.2%
2.5 goalsOver66.8%Under33.2%
3.5 goalsOver45.0%Under55.0%
4.5 goalsOver26.3%Under73.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

PeterboroughLuton
25%Form75%
50%Attack50%
33%Defence67%
50%Head to head50%
43%Expected goals57%
38%Overall62%

Last matches

Newest first
Peterborough0W 1D 1L · last 2
LHuddersfield vs Peterborough20 Oct 2026 · League One4-1DPeterborough vs Burton Albion17 Oct 2026 · League One2-2
Luton1W 0D 1L · last 2
WLuton vs Barnsley20 Oct 2026 · League One2-1LMilton Keynes Dons vs Luton17 Oct 2026 · League One2-1

League One table

League One table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday12+819
10Leicester13+319
11Milton Keynes Dons13+218
12Mansfield Town12+218
13Wycombe13-218
14Leyton Orient13+517
15Burton Albion14-317
16Stevenage12+416
17Notts County12-114
18AFC Wimbledon13-1213
19Doncaster13-812
20Blackpool11-411
21Wigan13-1110
22Peterborough13-1210
23Barnsley12-109
24Bromley13-209
See full table ›

Top scorers

League One top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1A. CollinsMilton Keynes Dons1313
2K. WoottonStockport County149
3J. TaylorHuddersfield129
4J. MarriottReading88
5D. Sanches FernandesHuddersfield137

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatPeterboroughLuton
Played22
Wins01
Draws10
Losses11
Goals for (avg)1.51.5
Goals against (avg)31.5
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/22/2
Over 2.52/22/2
Over 3.52/20/2
BTTS – yes2/22/2

Match preview

Peterborough host Luton in the League One (Regular Season - 14) at ABAX Stadium, Peterborough, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Luton slight favourites, giving Peterborough a 29% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 48% for Luton. Our tip is: Luton or draw.

Peterborough have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L). Luton have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 and a 67% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England League One
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Venue
ABAX Stadium, Peterborough

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Peterborough vs Luton?

Peterborough vs Luton kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Peterborough vs Luton in?

The match is in the England League One.

Where are Peterborough and Luton in the table?

Peterborough are 22nd and Luton are 4th in the League One.

Who will win Peterborough vs Luton?

Our prediction is Luton or draw. Win probabilities: Peterborough 29%, draw 23%, Luton 48%.

Will both teams score in Peterborough vs Luton?

We estimate a 67% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Peterborough vs Luton?

We estimate a 67% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More League One on Sat 31 Oct

FTBradford 0-3 HuddersfieldOver 1.5 ✓FTLeyton Orient 3-0 Cambridge UnitedOver 1.5 ✓FTPlymouth 0-0 Reading1X ✓FTWigan 3-2 BromleyOver 1.5 ✓FTBarnsley 1-1 Oxford UnitedX2 ✓FTLeicester 2-2 Stevenage1X ✓FTMilton Keynes Dons 6-1 DoncasterOver 1.5 ✓FTMansfield Town 0-2 Notts County1X ✗FTStockport County 2-1 AFC Wimbledon1 ✓FTWycombe 2-0 Burton AlbionOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today