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Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster prediction

Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster prediction for the League One on 31 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
League One · Regular Season - 14
Milton Keynes DonsDoncaster
6 - 1Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 2-0
Stadium MK, Milton Keynes

Match events

Milton Keynes DonsDoncaster
  1. Goal: Aaron CollinsAssist: Marvin Ekpiteta2'
  2. Goal: Aaron CollinsAssist: Ryan Wintle21'
  3. Yellow card: Dan CrowleyFoul44'
  4. 45'Substitution: George BroadbentOff: Robbie Gotts
  5. 45'Substitution: Jamie SterryOff: Brandon Hanlan

HT 2-0

  1. 56'Yellow card: Isaac HutchinsonDissent
  2. 61'Substitution: Leon AyindeOff: Bayley McCann
  3. 61'Substitution: Alfie MayOff: Will Keane
  4. 64'Goal: Jordan ThomasAssist: Brandon Hanlan
  5. Substitution: Dan CrowleyOff: Ben Wiles66'
  6. Goal: Aaron CollinsAssist: Jack Sanders69'
  7. Substitution: Sam NombeOff: Callum Paterson71'
  8. Substitution: Samuel SilveraOff: Gethin Jones71'
  9. Yellow card: Gethin JonesFoul72'
  10. Goal: Aaron CollinsAssist: Ben Wiles76'
  11. 77'Substitution: Neill ByrneOff: Hakeeb Adelakun
  12. Substitution: Alex GilbeyOff: Daniel Barlaser79'
  13. Substitution: Aaron CollinsOff: ibrahim fullah79'
  14. 80'Yellow card: Jordan ThomasFoul
  15. Goal: Callum Paterson81'
  16. 88'Yellow card: Robbie GottsFoul
  17. Goal: Marvin Ekpiteta89'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.22

78%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 6-1

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Milton Keynes Dons40%
Fair odds 2.50
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Doncaster34%
Fair odds 2.94

Match statistics

  • 46%Possession54%
  • 4.03Expected goals (xG)0.71
  • 25Total shots12
  • 11Shots on target3
  • 8Shots off target7
  • 6Blocked shots2
  • 18Shots inside the box7
  • 4Corners5
  • 3Offsides2
  • 17Fouls14
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves5
  • 318Passes351
  • 209Accurate passes240

Line-ups

Milton Keynes Dons

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 23W. DennisG
  2. 21M. EkpitetaD
  3. 5C. GoodeD
  4. 32J. SandersD
  5. 24R. WintleM
  6. 17S. SilveraM
  7. 7D. CrowleyM
  8. 8A. GilbeyM
  9. 20Elijah Xavier CampbellM
  10. 9S. NombeF
  11. 10A. CollinsF

Substitutes

  1. 26B. WilesF
  2. 4D. BarlaserM
  3. 22I. FullahM
  4. 2G. JonesD
  5. 28J. MateteM
  6. 13C. PatersonF
  7. 51S. StaceyG

Coach: P. Warne

Doncaster

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 1Tommy SimkinG
  2. 27S. GrehanD
  3. 12N. ByrneD
  4. 2J. SterryD
  5. 19J. ThomasM
  6. 8G. BroadbentM
  7. 21I. HutchinsonM
  8. 23J. SeniorM
  9. 4O. BaileyF
  10. 10A. MayF
  11. 11L. AyindeF

Substitutes

  1. 22R. GottsM
  2. 42J. ClarkeG
  3. 47H. AdelakunF
  4. 9B. HanlanF
  5. 18W. KeaneF
  6. 25B. McCannD
  7. 6J. McGrathD

Coach: G. McCann

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.35
0.5 goalsOver94.1%Under5.9%
1.5 goalsOver77.4%Under22.6%
2.5 goalsOver53.8%Under46.2%
3.5 goalsOver31.5%Under68.5%
4.5 goalsOver15.7%Under84.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Milton Keynes DonsDoncaster
100%Form0%
67%Attack33%
57%Defence43%
50%Head to head50%
52%Expected goals48%
54%Overall46%

Last matches

Newest first
Milton Keynes Dons1W 0D 1L · last 2
LBlackpool vs Milton Keynes Dons20 Oct 2026 · League One2-0WMilton Keynes Dons vs Luton17 Oct 2026 · League One2-1
Doncaster0W 0D 2L · last 2
LDoncaster vs Stockport County20 Oct 2026 · League One0-2LLeicester vs Doncaster17 Oct 2026 · League One2-1

League One table

League One table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday12+819
10Leicester13+319
11Milton Keynes Dons13+218
12Mansfield Town12+218
13Wycombe13-218
14Leyton Orient13+517
15Burton Albion14-317
16Stevenage12+416
17Notts County12-114
18AFC Wimbledon13-1213
19Doncaster13-812
20Blackpool11-411
21Wigan13-1110
22Peterborough13-1210
23Barnsley12-109
24Bromley13-209
See full table ›

Top scorers

League One top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1A. CollinsMilton Keynes Dons1313
2K. WoottonStockport County149
3J. TaylorHuddersfield129
4J. MarriottReading88
5D. Sanches FernandesHuddersfield137

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatMilton Keynes DonsDoncaster
Played22
Wins10
Draws00
Losses12
Goals for (avg)10.5
Goals against (avg)1.52
Clean sheets00
Failed to score11
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/22/2
Over 2.51/21/2
Over 3.50/20/2
BTTS – yes1/21/2

Match preview

Milton Keynes Dons host Doncaster in the League One (Regular Season - 14) at Stadium MK, Milton Keynes, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Milton Keynes Dons slight favourites, giving Milton Keynes Dons a 40% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 34% for Doncaster. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Milton Keynes Dons have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Doncaster have taken 0 points from their last 2 games (0W 0D 2L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England League One
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Venue
Stadium MK, Milton Keynes

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster?

Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster in?

The match is in the England League One.

Where are Milton Keynes Dons and Doncaster in the table?

Milton Keynes Dons are 11th and Doncaster are 19th in the League One.

Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Milton Keynes Dons 40%, draw 26%, Doncaster 34%.

Will both teams score in Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster?

We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More League One on Sat 31 Oct

FTBradford 0-3 HuddersfieldOver 1.5 ✓FTLeyton Orient 3-0 Cambridge UnitedOver 1.5 ✓FTPlymouth 0-0 Reading1X ✓FTWigan 3-2 BromleyOver 1.5 ✓FTBarnsley 1-1 Oxford UnitedX2 ✓FTLeicester 2-2 Stevenage1X ✓FTMansfield Town 0-2 Notts County1X ✗FTPeterborough 0-2 LutonX2 ✓FTStockport County 2-1 AFC Wimbledon1 ✓FTWycombe 2-0 Burton AlbionOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today