League One · Regular Season - 12
Match events
Plymouth- 4'Yellow card: Ronan CurtisFoul
- Yellow card: Louis ThompsonFoul7'
- Goal: Michael MellonAssist: Josh Magennis19'
- Goal: Josh Magennis27'
- Yellow card: A. RevellDissent33'
- 45'Substitution: Ronan CurtisOff: Xavier Amaechi
- 45'Substitution: Oliver IrowOff: Caleb Watts
HT 2-0
- Substitution: Ben BroggioOff: Phoenix Patterson64'
- Substitution: Michael MellonOff: O. Sanderson64'
- Substitution: Louis ThompsonOff: Terry·Taylor74'
- 76'Substitution: Joe EdwardsOff: Matthew Sorinola
- 76'Substitution: Tyreeq BakinsonOff: Bradley Ibrahim
- Goal: Phoenix PattersonAssist: Daniel Kemp83'
- 87'Substitution: Alex·HartridgeOff: Julio Pleguezuelo
Our verdict
Plymouth or draw
Bet365 1.50
✗ This tip lost · final score 3-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 49%Possession51%
- 1.31Expected goals (xG)0.89
- 17Total shots12
- 7Shots on target1
- 4Shots off target4
- 6Blocked shots7
- 14Shots inside the box7
- 5Corners5
- 0Offsides2
- 8Fouls17
- 1Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 1Goalkeeper saves3
- 359Passes374
- 251Accurate passes261
Line-ups
Stevenage
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 1T. SetfordG
- 2L. James-WildinD
- 15T. VancootenD
- 5C. PiergianniD
- 14S. EarleyD
- 28M. MellonM
- 23L. ThompsonM
- 8D. PhillipsM
- 27B. BroggioM
- 10D. KempM
- 9J. MagennisF
Substitutes
- 12D. BardenG
- 20C. CampbellM
- 16K. CaseyD
- 44P. PattersonF
- 18O. SandersonF
- 4T. TaylorM
- 19T. TurhanF
Coach: A. Revell
Plymouth
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1M. MahoneyG
- 8J. EdwardsD
- 15A. MitchellD
- 22A. HartridgeD
- 45W. HardingD
- 11R. CurtisM
- 19T. BakinsonM
- 7H. WhiteM
- 14O. IrowM
- 9W. EvansF
- 27A. PeppleF
Substitutes
- 17C. WattsM
- 21James StorerG
- 29M. SorinolaD
- 5Julio PleguezueloD
- 3Jack MackenzieD
- 23B. IbrahimM
- 10X. AmaechiF
Coach: Tom Cleverley
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.34 – 1.35Half time / full time result. 1 = Stevenage, X = draw, 2 = Plymouth.
Asian handicap applied to Stevenage.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstStevenage0W 0D 1L · last 1Plymouth0W 0D 1L · last 1League One table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +16 | 28 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Stockport County | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +12 | 26 | WLDWW |
| 3 | Oxford United | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 23 | DWDWD |
| 4 | Luton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 23 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Plymouth | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 23 | DWLLW |
| 6 | Reading | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 22 | DWWLW |
| 7 | Bradford | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 22 | LDDWD |
| 8 | Cambridge United | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 | LDLDW |
| 9 | Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +8 | 20 | DDLLW |
| 10 | Leicester | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 19 | DWLWW |
| 11 | Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 12 | Mansfield Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 18 | LWWDW |
| 13 | Wycombe | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | -2 | 18 | WDDWL |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | +5 | 17 | WLLWD |
| 15 | Burton Albion | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 17 | LWDDL |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 16 | DLWLW |
| 17 | Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 | WDWLL |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -12 | 13 | LDLLL |
| 19 | Blackpool | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 | DLWLL |
| 20 | Doncaster | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Wigan | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -11 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 10 | LDLDW |
| 23 | Barnsley | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 | DLLLL |
| 24 | Bromley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -20 | 9 | LLDLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  A. CollinsMilton Keynes Dons | 13 | 13 |
| 2 |  K. WoottonStockport County | 14 | 9 |
| 3 |  J. TaylorHuddersfield | 12 | 9 |
| 4 |  J. MarriottReading | 8 | 8 |
| 5 |  D. Sanches FernandesHuddersfield | 13 | 7 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Stevenage | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 2 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/1 | 0/1 |
Match preview
Stevenage host Plymouth in the League One (Regular Season - 12) at Broadhall Way, Stevenage, with kick-off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Plymouth narrow favourites, giving Stevenage a 36% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 37% for Plymouth. Our tip is: Plymouth or draw.
Stevenage have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Plymouth have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England League One
- Date
- Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
- Venue
- Broadhall Way, Stevenage
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Stevenage vs Plymouth?
Stevenage vs Plymouth kicks off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Stevenage vs Plymouth in?
The match is in the England League One.
Where are Stevenage and Plymouth in the table?
Stevenage are 16th and Plymouth are 5th in the League One.
Who will win Stevenage vs Plymouth?
Our prediction is Plymouth or draw. Win probabilities: Stevenage 36%, draw 27%, Plymouth 37%.
Will both teams score in Stevenage vs Plymouth?
We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Stevenage vs Plymouth?
We estimate a 50% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.