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Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction

Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction for the Eredivisie on 1 Nov 2026: Groningen or draw (76%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday1November 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 11
GroningenSparta Rotterdam
2 - 3Full time · Sun 1 NovHT 2-2
Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion, Groningen

Match events

GroningenSparta Rotterdam
  1. Goal: Jacob OndrejkaAssist: Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson1'
  2. Yellow card: Tika de JongeFoul5'
  3. 15'Goal: Cedric HatenboerAssist: Marvin Young
  4. 25'Goal: Milan Zonneveld
  5. Goal: Thom Van BergenAssist: Hans Hateboer29'
  6. 36'Yellow card: Bruno Martins IndiFoul
  7. 45'Substitution: Nick VerschurenOff: Teo Quintero León

HT 2-2

  1. 55'Substitution: Jens ToornstraOff: Robin van Cruijsen
  2. 61'Yellow card: Lushendry MartesFoul
  3. 71'Substitution: Milan ZonneveldOff: Andrej Kostić
  4. 71'Substitution: Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior BabadiOff: Shunsuke Mito
  5. 75'Yellow card: Cedric HatenboerFoul
  6. Substitution: Thom Van BergenOff: Tygo Land75'
  7. Substitution: Brynjólfur Darri WillumssonOff: Jismerai Dillema83'
  8. Substitution: Jacob OndrejkaOff: Nils Eggens83'
  9. Substitution: Jorg SchreudersOff: Wouter Prins83'
  10. 85'Goal: Andrej Kostić
  11. Substitution: Marco RenteOff: Oskar Zawada87'
  12. 87'Substitution: Mitchell Van BergenOff: Giannino Vianello

Our verdict

1X ✗

Groningen or draw

Bet365 1.22

76%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-3

Expected goals3.5

Win probability

1 · Groningen54%
Fair odds 1.85
X · Draw22%
Fair odds 4.55
2 · Sparta Rotterdam24%
Fair odds 4.17

Match statistics

  • 59%Possession41%
  • 2.18Expected goals (xG)2.48
  • 20Total shots8
  • 10Shots on target4
  • 7Shots off target2
  • 3Blocked shots2
  • 14Shots inside the box6
  • 2Corners7
  • 2Offsides3
  • 8Fouls14
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves8
  • 502Passes343
  • 415Accurate passes264

Line-ups

Groningen

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1E. VaessenG
  2. 33H. HateboerD
  3. 3T. BlokzijlD
  4. 5M. RenteD
  5. 4M. CsingerD
  6. 8T. de JongeM
  7. 26T. van BergenM
  8. 24P. ClementM
  9. 14J. SchreudersF
  10. 9B. WillumssonF
  11. 11J. OndrejkaF

Substitutes

  1. 12M. BrandisD
  2. 44Besnik MashukuM
  3. 20Nils EggensF
  4. 53J. HallM
  5. 18T. LandM
  6. 29Tyrique MerceraD
  7. 42J. MosselaarD
  8. 16A. NordinM
  9. 2Wouter PrinsD
  10. 19O. ZawadaF
  11. 13L. ŠtubljarG
  12. 30P. BoevinkG

Coach: D. Lukkien

Sparta Rotterdam

5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1M. BrouwerG
  2. 2L. MartesD
  3. 3M. YoungD
  4. 6N. VerschurenD
  5. 4B. Martins IndiD
  6. 5B. KuipersD
  7. 7M. van BergenM
  8. 10J. ToornstraM
  9. 8Cedric HatenboerM
  10. 11I. BabadiM
  11. 9M. ZonneveldF

Substitutes

  1. 20F. BednarekG
  2. 13J. BaasM
  3. 22Joel IdehoF
  4. 19Andrej KostićF
  5. 30P. KuiperG
  6. 21S. MitoF
  7. 14Teo QuinteroD
  8. 12B. ReithD
  9. 16A. RoaldsøyM
  10. 17C. TerhoF
  11. 18Robin van CruijsenM
  12. 15G. VianelloD

Coach: R. Meijer

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.10 – 1.37
0.5 goalsOver96.9%Under3.1%
1.5 goalsOver86.1%Under13.9%
2.5 goalsOver67.4%Under32.6%
3.5 goalsOver45.7%Under54.3%
4.5 goalsOver26.9%Under73.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

GroningenSparta Rotterdam
25%Form75%
50%Attack50%
36%Defence64%
50%Head to head50%
61%Expected goals39%
69%Overall31%

Last matches

Newest first
Groningen0W 1D 1L · last 2
DNEC Nijmegen vs Groningen25 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie2-2LGroningen vs Ajax18 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie2-5
Sparta Rotterdam1W 0D 1L · last 2
LSparta Rotterdam vs Ajax25 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie1-2WSparta Rotterdam vs Willem II17 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie3-2

Eredivisie table

Eredivisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Feyenoord11+2125
2Ajax11+1724
3PSV Eindhoven11+2223
4Twente11+1823
5AZ Alkmaar11+720
6Fortuna Sittard11019
7Heerenveen11+618
8Groningen11+215
9Cambuur11+115
10GO Ahead Eagles11-414
11Sparta Rotterdam11-612
12Utrecht11-1212
13NEC Nijmegen11-211
14PEC Zwolle11-1111
15Excelsior11-1211
16Telstar11-79
17ADO Den Haag11-116
18Willem II11-292
See full table ›

Top scorers

Eredivisie top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles118
2B. WillumssonGroningen118
3W. WeghorstTwente118
4M. ZonneveldSparta Rotterdam117
5G. TilPSV Eindhoven117

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatGroningenSparta Rotterdam
Played22
Wins01
Draws10
Losses11
Goals for (avg)22
Goals against (avg)3.52
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/22/2
Over 2.52/22/2
Over 3.52/21/2
BTTS – yes2/22/2

Match preview

Groningen host Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 11) at Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion, Groningen, with kick-off on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 16:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Groningen favourites, giving Groningen a 54% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 24% for Sparta Rotterdam. Our tip is: Groningen or draw.

Groningen have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L). Sparta Rotterdam have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 and a 66% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eredivisie
Date
Sunday, 1 November 2026, 16:45 WAT
Venue
Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion, Groningen

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam kicks off on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 16:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eredivisie.

Where are Groningen and Sparta Rotterdam in the table?

Groningen are 8th and Sparta Rotterdam are 11th in the Eredivisie.

Who will win Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Our prediction is Groningen or draw. Win probabilities: Groningen 54%, draw 22%, Sparta Rotterdam 24%.

Will both teams score in Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?

We estimate a 66% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?

We estimate a 67% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eredivisie on Sun 1 Nov

FTPEC Zwolle 1-0 ADO Den Haag1X ✓FTTelstar 4-2 UtrechtX2 ✗FTExcelsior 0-9 Twente2 ✓

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