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Le Mans vs Toulouse prediction

Le Mans vs Toulouse prediction for the Ligue 1 on 16 Oct 2026: Toulouse or draw (67%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday16October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7
Le MansNo recent gamesToulouseNo recent games
0 - 3Full time · Fri 16 OctHT 0-0
Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans

Match events

Le MansToulouse

    HT 0-0

    1. 46'Goal: Jacen Russell-RoweAssist: Aron Dønnum
    2. 49'Yellow card: Jacen Russell-RoweNot Retreating
    3. 59'Goal: Aron Dønnum
    4. Substitution: Yasser LarouciOff: Lucas Calodat61'
    5. Substitution: Dame GueyeOff: Habib Diallo61'
    6. Substitution: Daouda TraoreOff: Bilal Brahimi61'
    7. 64'Substitution: Aron DønnumOff: Alexis Vossah
    8. Substitution: Lucas BuadesOff: Rayan Bamba69'
    9. 76'Substitution: Jacen Russell-RoweOff: Julián Vignolo
    10. Substitution: Harold VoyerOff: Noa Boissé77'
    11. 78'VARVAR: Casper TengstedtGoal cancelled
    12. 85'Substitution: Rasmus NicolaisenOff: Seny Koumbassa
    13. 87'Goal: Casper TengstedtAssist: Cristian Casseres
    14. Yellow card: Samuel YohouFoul90'
    15. Yellow card: Djibril SidibéFoul90+4'

    Our verdict

    X2 ✓

    Toulouse or draw

    Bet365 1.36

    67%

    ✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-3

    Expected goals3.1

    Win probability

    1 · Le Mans33%
    Fair odds 3.03
    X · Draw24%
    Fair odds 4.17
    2 · Toulouse43%
    Fair odds 2.33

    Match statistics

    • 53%Possession47%
    • 0.82Expected goals (xG)1.74
    • 11Total shots13
    • 1Shots on target5
    • 6Shots off target7
    • 4Blocked shots1
    • 6Shots inside the box9
    • 2Corners2
    • 0Offsides3
    • 15Fouls9
    • 2Yellow cards1
    • 0Red cards0
    • 2Goalkeeper saves1
    • 561Passes524
    • 486Accurate passes446

    Line-ups

    Le Mans

    3-1-4-2

    Starting XI

    1. 98N. KocikG
    2. 19D. SidibéD
    3. 17S. YohouD
    4. 5H. VoyerD
    5. 29L. BretelleM
    6. 18L. BuadésM
    7. 23D. TraoréM
    8. 10J. VercruysseM
    9. 76Y. LarouciM
    10. 25D. GuèyeF
    11. 14L. MafoutaF

    Substitutes

    1. 15N. BoisséD
    2. 26R. BambaD
    3. 7B. BrahimiF
    4. 22L. CalodatD
    5. 13H. DialloF
    6. 20W. HarhouzF
    7. 1E. HatfoutG
    8. 8A. LaurayM
    9. 9A. RabillardF

    Coach: P. Videira

    Toulouse

    4-2-3-1

    Starting XI

    1. 16G. RestesG
    2. 22R. MessaliD
    3. 3M. McKenzieD
    4. 2R. NicolaisenD
    5. 12C. TapéD
    6. 23C. CásseresM
    7. 14N. SigurM
    8. 15A. DønnumM
    9. 20C. TengstedtM
    10. 8T. JørgensenM
    11. 13J. Russell-RoweF

    Substitutes

    1. 6A. VossahM
    2. 18M. AmougouM
    3. 1T. CollinG
    4. 94I. DialloD
    5. 9S. HidalgoF
    6. 5S. KoumbassaD
    7. 19D. OdoguD
    8. 31N. SchmidtM
    9. 7Julián VignoloF

    Coach: Jens Berthel Askou

    Betting markets

    Expected goals 1.44 – 1.67
    0.5 goalsOver95.5%Under4.5%
    1.5 goalsOver81.7%Under18.3%
    2.5 goalsOver60.1%Under39.9%
    3.5 goalsOver37.7%Under62.3%
    4.5 goalsOver20.4%Under79.6%

    Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

    Model comparison

    Le MansToulouse
    50%Form50%
    50%Attack50%
    50%Defence50%
    50%Head to head50%
    46%Expected goals54%
    43%Overall57%

    Last matches

    Newest first
    Le Mans0W 0D 0L · last 0

    No finished matches yet.

    Toulouse0W 0D 0L · last 0

    No finished matches yet.

    Ligue 1 table

    Ligue 1 table
    #TeamP+/-Pts
    1Paris Saint Germain9+1120
    2Lille9+618
    3Lyon9+817
    4Paris FC9+617
    5Rennes9+116
    6Marseille9+715
    7Monaco9+215
    8Nice9+114
    9Lens9+313
    10Lorient8+112
    11Toulouse9-110
    12Strasbourg9-210
    13Auxerre9-1010
    14Stade Brestois 298+29
    15Angers9-88
    16Estac Troyes9-98
    17Le Mans9-77
    18Le Havre9-112
    See full table ›

    Top scorers

    Ligue 1 top scorers
    #PlayerMGoals
    1E. LepaulRennes77
    2E. WahiNice86
    3L. SinayokoParis FC86
    4C. ArcherAuxerre65
    5A. GouiriMarseille85

    Season statistics

    This season, all competitions we cover
    StatLe MansToulouse
    Played00
    Wins00
    Draws00
    Losses00
    Goals for (avg)00
    Goals against (avg)00
    Clean sheets00
    Failed to score00
    Best win streak00

    Match preview

    Le Mans host Toulouse in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 7) at Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

    Our prediction model makes Toulouse slight favourites, giving Le Mans a 33% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 43% for Toulouse. Our tip is: Toulouse or draw.

    On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 and a 62% chance that both teams score.

    Competition
    France Ligue 1
    Date
    Friday, 16 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
    Venue
    Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans

    TodaysPrediction analysis team

    Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

    Quick answers

    When is Le Mans vs Toulouse?

    Le Mans vs Toulouse kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

    Which competition is Le Mans vs Toulouse in?

    The match is in the France Ligue 1.

    Where are Le Mans and Toulouse in the table?

    Le Mans are 17th and Toulouse are 11th in the Ligue 1.

    Who will win Le Mans vs Toulouse?

    Our prediction is Toulouse or draw. Win probabilities: Le Mans 33%, draw 24%, Toulouse 43%.

    Will both teams score in Le Mans vs Toulouse?

    We estimate a 62% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

    Will there be over 2.5 goals in Le Mans vs Toulouse?

    We estimate a 60% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

    Are these predictions guaranteed?

    No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

    How often are predictions updated?

    Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

    All football predictions for today