Skip to content
TodaysPrediction

Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin prediction

Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin prediction for the Ekstraklasa on 23 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Friday23October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 12
Motor LublinZaglebie Lubin
2 - 2Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 0-1
Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin

Match events

Motor LublinZaglebie Lubin
  1. Yellow card: Yacine BourhaneFoul25'
  2. 28'Yellow card: David ČolinaFoul
  3. 45'Substitution: David ČolinaOff: Damian Michalski
  4. 45+1'Goal: Sebastian Kerk

HT 0-1

  1. 48'Goal: Marcel RegulaAssist: Michał Nalepa
  2. Substitution: Yacine BourhaneOff: Mateusz Legowski56'
  3. Substitution: Makan AikoOff: Fabio Ronaldo Costa Conceicao56'
  4. 66'Substitution: Mateusz DziewiatowskiOff: Jakub·Sypek
  5. 66'Substitution: Sebastian KerkOff: Filip Szymczak
  6. Substitution: Christopher SimonOff: Alioune Oumar Tall72'
  7. Substitution: Kamil LukoszekOff: Thomas Santos72'
  8. Goal: Mateusz Legowski74'
  9. 75'Substitution: Marcel RegulaOff: Mateusz Grzybek
  10. Yellow card: Karol CzubakDissent76'
  11. Substitution: Filip LubereckiOff: Mateusz Posmyk85'
  12. Goal: Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye87'
  13. 90+1'Yellow card: Mateusz GrzybekFoul
  14. 90+5'Substitution: Josip ĆorlukaOff: Mihael Mlinarić

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.22

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-2

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Motor Lublin45%
Fair odds 2.22
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Zaglebie Lubin29%
Fair odds 3.45

Match statistics

  • 58%Possession42%
  • 2.21Expected goals (xG)0.42
  • 25Total shots9
  • 7Shots on target3
  • 12Shots off target5
  • 6Blocked shots1
  • 12Shots inside the box7
  • 8Corners2
  • 1Offsides4
  • 8Fouls5
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves5
  • 486Passes365
  • 402Accurate passes278

Line-ups

Motor Lublin

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 33G. TratnikG
  2. 17K. LukoszekD
  3. 18B. BereszyńskiD
  4. 4T. PlavotićD
  5. 24F. LubereckiD
  6. 27Y. BourhaneM
  7. 30M. NdiayeM
  8. 9Rony LopesM
  9. 8C. SimonM
  10. 70M. AïkoM
  11. 10K. CzubakF

Substitutes

  1. 5A. AkatovD
  2. 90Dominik GregorskiF
  3. 23F. HaxhaM
  4. 2Paskal Konrad MeyerD
  5. 71M. PopaG
  6. 77Mateusz PosmykF
  7. 29T. SantosD
  8. 47Alioune TallM
  9. 22M. ZlomanczukM
  10. 11Fábio RonaldoM
  11. 6M. ŁęgowskiM

Coach: M. Misiura

Zaglebie Lubin

4-5-1

Starting XI

  1. 33Z. AlomerovićG
  2. 5A. ŁawniczakD
  3. 25M. NalepaD
  4. 3R. YakubaD
  5. 16J. ĆorlukaM
  6. 39F. KocabaM
  7. 20M. DziewiatowskiM
  8. 8D. DąbrowskiM
  9. 6D. ČolinaM
  10. 37S. KerkF
  11. 44M. RegułaF

Substitutes

  1. 13M. GrzybekD
  2. 30D. HładunG
  3. 26J. KolanM
  4. 19S. ŁyczkoM
  5. 4D. MichalskiD
  6. 31I. OrlikowskiD
  7. 99C. PopielecM
  8. 7J. SypekM
  9. 18F. SzymczakF
  10. 11A. WoźniakM
  11. 88M. MlinarićF
  12. 94M. UrbanskiD

Coach: L. Ojrzynski

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.56 – 1.19
0.5 goalsOver93.6%Under6.4%
1.5 goalsOver76.0%Under24.0%
2.5 goalsOver51.9%Under48.1%
3.5 goalsOver29.7%Under70.3%
4.5 goalsOver14.5%Under85.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Motor LublinZaglebie Lubin
50%Form50%
75%Attack25%
9%Defence91%
50%Head to head50%
57%Expected goals43%
61%Overall39%

Last matches

Newest first
Motor Lublin1W 0D 0L · last 1
WMotor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw17 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa3-2
Zaglebie Lubin1W 0D 0L · last 1
WZaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia18 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa1-0

Ekstraklasa table

Ekstraklasa table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Lech Poznan11+1928
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin11+1024
5Piast Gliwice13+421
6Wisla Krakow12+421
7Zaglebie Lubin12019
8GKS Katowice12+518
9Korona Kielce12-418
10Motor Lublin13-316
11Jagiellonia11-315
12Wisla Plock12-615
13Cracovia Krakow13-612
14Widzew Łódź12-111
15Slask Wroclaw12-69
16Wieczysta Kraków12-78
17Radomiak Radom12-168
18Raków Częstochowa12-126
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ekstraklasa top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Jordi SánchezPogon Szczecin129
2I. ShkurinGKS Katowice128
3Pablo RodríguezLech Poznan116
4K. CzubakMotor Lublin136
5A. HasićCracovia Krakow136

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatMotor LublinZaglebie Lubin
Played11
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)31
Goals against (avg)20
Clean sheets01
Failed to score00
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/1
Over 2.51/10/1
Over 3.51/10/1
BTTS – yes1/10/1

Match preview

Motor Lublin host Zaglebie Lubin in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 12) at Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 17:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Motor Lublin slight favourites, giving Motor Lublin a 45% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 29% for Zaglebie Lubin. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Motor Lublin have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Zaglebie Lubin have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 56% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Poland Ekstraklasa
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 17:00 WAT
Venue
Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 17:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin in?

The match is in the Poland Ekstraklasa.

Where are Motor Lublin and Zaglebie Lubin in the table?

Motor Lublin are 10th and Zaglebie Lubin are 7th in the Ekstraklasa.

Who will win Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Motor Lublin 45%, draw 26%, Zaglebie Lubin 29%.

Will both teams score in Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?

We estimate a 56% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?

We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ekstraklasa on Fri 23 Oct

FTWidzew Łódź 1-1 Gornik ZabrzeX2 ✓

All football predictions for today