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Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice prediction

Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice prediction for the Ekstraklasa on 18 Oct 2026: Gornik Zabrze to win (56%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 11
Gornik ZabrzeNo recent gamesPiast GliwiceNo recent games
1 - 1Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 1-1
Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze

Match events

Gornik ZabrzePiast Gliwice
  1. Goal: Rafał JanickiAssist: Erik Janža5'
  2. 7'Goal: Hugo Vallejo

HT 1-1

  1. 59'Yellow card: Jakub LewickiFoul
  2. Substitution: Sondre LisethOff: Erik Prekop60'
  3. 68'Substitution: Jakub LabojkoOff: Oskar·Lesniak
  4. 68'Substitution: Andreas KatsantonisOff: Szczepan·Mucha
  5. Substitution: Peter Federico González CarmonaOff: Yvan Ikia Dimi71'
  6. Substitution: Maksym KhlanOff: Zeidane Inoussa71'
  7. Substitution: Jarosław KubickiOff: Paulo Bernardo85'
  8. 86'Substitution: Jakub LewickiOff: Elton Fikaj
  9. 86'Substitution: Samuel Ntamack NdimbaOff: Oliwier Maziarz
  10. 89'Yellow card: Elton FikajFoul

Our verdict

1 ✗

Gornik Zabrze to win

Bet365 1.60

56%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Gornik Zabrze56%
Fair odds 1.79
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Piast Gliwice20%
Fair odds 5.00

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 3.04Expected goals (xG)0.88
  • 27Total shots10
  • 5Shots on target3
  • 9Shots off target3
  • 13Blocked shots4
  • 17Shots inside the box7
  • 10Corners1
  • 0Offsides0
  • 9Fouls9
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves4
  • 485Passes439
  • 417Accurate passes349

Line-ups

Gornik Zabrze

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1P. SchulzeG
  2. 21O. ZmrzlýD
  3. 26R. JanickiD
  4. 20Josema SánchezD
  5. 64E. JanžaD
  6. 6M. HøjholtM
  7. 19PeterM
  8. 8Paulo BernardoM
  9. 82K. UrbańskiM
  10. 33M. KhlanM
  11. 23S. LisethF

Substitutes

  1. 4P. BochniewiczD
  2. 66M. DietzD
  3. 34B. DurdovM
  4. 7Y. Ikia DimiM
  5. 27Z. InoussaF
  6. 29W. KaniaG
  7. 14J. KubickiM
  8. 99T. LoskaG
  9. 11E. PrekopF
  10. 2P. WarczakD

Coach: M. Gašparík

Piast Gliwice

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 75D. GrilG
  2. 99E. TwumasiD
  3. 5Juande RivasD
  4. 4J. CzerwińskiD
  5. 36J. LewickiD
  6. 11Leandro SancaM
  7. 27J. ŁabojkoM
  8. 17Q. BoisgardM
  9. 80Hugo VallejoM
  10. 10A. KatsantonisF
  11. 19S. Ntamack NdimbaF

Substitutes

  1. 31O. LeśniakM
  2. 90Ivan LimaM
  3. 98J. LokiloF
  4. 18O. MaziarzM
  5. 12Marcel Mendes-DudzińskiG
  6. 77S. MuchaM
  7. 15L. PitanD
  8. 22F. SierraltaD
  9. 28F. BorowskiD
  10. 47J. GrelichG
  11. 3E. FikajD
  12. 91Maciej KucharskiF

Coach: D. Myśliwiec

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.85 – 1.03
0.5 goalsOver94.4%Under5.6%
1.5 goalsOver78.2%Under21.8%
2.5 goalsOver54.9%Under45.1%
3.5 goalsOver32.6%Under67.4%
4.5 goalsOver16.5%Under83.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Gornik ZabrzePiast Gliwice
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
64%Expected goals36%
74%Overall26%

Last matches

Newest first
Gornik Zabrze0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Piast Gliwice0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Ekstraklasa table

Ekstraklasa table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin11+1024
5GKS Katowice13+621
6Piast Gliwice13+421
7Wisla Krakow13+221
8Zaglebie Lubin12019
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce12-418
11Motor Lublin13-316
12Wisla Plock12-615
13Cracovia Krakow13-612
14Widzew Łódź13-211
15Slask Wroclaw12-69
16Wieczysta Kraków13-98
17Radomiak Radom12-168
18Raków Częstochowa12-126
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ekstraklasa top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Jordi SánchezPogon Szczecin129
2I. ShkurinGKS Katowice138
3B. NowakGKS Katowice137
4Pablo RodríguezLech Poznan126
5P. WålemarkLech Poznan126

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatGornik ZabrzePiast Gliwice
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Gornik Zabrze host Piast Gliwice in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 11) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 11:15 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Gornik Zabrze favourites, giving Gornik Zabrze a 56% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 20% for Piast Gliwice. Our tip is: Gornik Zabrze to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Poland Ekstraklasa
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 11:15 WAT
Venue
Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice?

Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 11:15 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice in?

The match is in the Poland Ekstraklasa.

Where are Gornik Zabrze and Piast Gliwice in the table?

Gornik Zabrze are 2nd and Piast Gliwice are 6th in the Ekstraklasa.

Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice?

Our prediction is Gornik Zabrze to win. Win probabilities: Gornik Zabrze 56%, draw 24%, Piast Gliwice 20%.

Will both teams score in Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice?

We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ekstraklasa on Sun 18 Oct

FTZaglebie Lubin 1-0 JagielloniaOver 1.5 ✗FTLech Poznan 6-1 Korona Kielce1 ✓

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