Championship · Regular Season - 14
Our verdict
Middlesbrough or draw
Bet365 1.28
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.31 – 1.81Half time / full time result. 1 = Wrexham, X = draw, 2 = Middlesbrough.
Asian handicap applied to Wrexham.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest first
Wrexham1W 0D 2L · last 3
Middlesbrough3W 1D 0L · last 4Championship table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 28 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 26 | WLLWW |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 | WWDWL |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 24 | WDWWL |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 23 | WWDWW |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 23 | WLWWW |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 23 | WDWLW |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 22 | LLWWD |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 20 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 19 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 | WDLLD |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -1 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 | LWDLL |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 | LWDWL |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 | LLWLD |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 11 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -8 | 9 | DLLDW |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 7 | LDLLD |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -17 | 5 | LDLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  W. LankshearMiddlesbrough | 13 | 13 |
| 2 |  A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn | 12 | 8 |
| 3 |  C. LarinSouthampton | 11 | 7 |
| 4 |  J. BowenWest Ham | 13 | 7 |
| 5 |  Fer LópezWolves | 12 | 6 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Wrexham | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 4 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.7 | 3.3 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 2 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 2/3 | 4/4 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2/3 | 4/4 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/3 | 3/4 |
| BTTS – yes | 2/3 | 3/4 |
Match preview
Wrexham host Middlesbrough in the Championship (Regular Season - 14) at Racecourse Ground, Wrexham, with kick-off on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 at 20:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Middlesbrough slight favourites, giving Wrexham a 27% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 49% for Middlesbrough. Our tip is: Middlesbrough or draw.
Wrexham have taken 3 points from their last 3 games (1W 0D 2L). Middlesbrough have taken 10 points from their last 4 games (3W 1D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 and a 61% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England Championship
- Date
- Wednesday, 4 November 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Venue
- Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough kicks off on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 at 20:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Wrexham vs Middlesbrough in?
The match is in the England Championship.
Where are Wrexham and Middlesbrough in the table?
Wrexham are 18th and Middlesbrough are 1st in the Championship.
Who will win Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
Our prediction is Middlesbrough or draw. Win probabilities: Wrexham 27%, draw 24%, Middlesbrough 49%.
Will both teams score in Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
We estimate a 61% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
We estimate a 60% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.