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Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham prediction

Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham prediction for the Championship on 30 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday30October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Championship · Regular Season - 13
Sheffield UtdWrexham
1 - 0Full time · Fri 30 OctHT 1-0
Bramall Lane, Sheffield

Match events

Sheffield UtdWrexham
  1. 27'Yellow card: Callum DoyleFoul
  2. Goal: Ben Brereton30'
  3. 45'Substitution: Oliver RathboneOff: Sam Smith
  4. 45'Substitution: Dominic HyamOff: Max Cleworth

HT 1-0

  1. Yellow card: Liam KitchingFoul55'
  2. Yellow card: Kalvin PhillipsFoul67'
  3. Substitution: Jordan AyewOff: Thomas Cannon69'
  4. Substitution: Tahith ChongOff: Femi Seriki69'
  5. 73'Substitution: Ben SheafOff: George Dobson
  6. 73'Substitution: Issa KaboreOff: Danny Imray
  7. 73'Substitution: Jacques EkomiéOff: George Thomason
  8. Substitution: Ben BreretonOff: Oliver Arblaster79'
  9. Substitution: Hamza ChoudhuryOff: Mark McGuinness86'
  10. Substitution: Romelle DonovanOff: Tyrese Campbell86'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✗

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.28

75%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-0

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · Sheffield Utd39%
Fair odds 2.56
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Wrexham34%
Fair odds 2.94

Match statistics

  • 55%Possession45%
  • 1.10Expected goals (xG)0.58
  • 13Total shots9
  • 4Shots on target1
  • 6Shots off target7
  • 3Blocked shots1
  • 11Shots inside the box8
  • 7Corners0
  • 3Offsides2
  • 8Fouls16
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves3
  • 452Passes443
  • 370Accurate passes354

Line-ups

Sheffield Utd

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1M. CooperG
  2. 8H. ChoudhuryD
  3. 5J. TangangaD
  4. 15L. KitchingD
  5. 14H. BurrowsD
  6. 19T. ChongM
  7. 42Sydie PeckM
  8. 27K. PhillipsM
  9. 11R. DonovanM
  10. 10J. AyewF
  11. 22B. BreretonF

Substitutes

  1. 44J. RiedewaldM
  2. 25M. McGuinnessD
  3. 3S. McCallumD
  4. 9T. CannonF
  5. 23T. CampbellF
  6. 4O. ArblasterM
  7. 7J. RothwellM
  8. 38F. SerikiD
  9. 31Tommy BettsG

Coach: Chris Wilder

Wrexham

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 22A. PattersonG
  2. 5D. HyamD
  3. 6J. WorrallD
  4. 2C. DoyleD
  5. 12I. KaboréM
  6. 37M. JamesM
  7. 18B. SheafM
  8. 3J. EkomiéM
  9. 20O. RathboneM
  10. 27L. O'BrienM
  11. 19K. MooreF

Substitutes

  1. 8B. WhitemanM
  2. 11B. CadamarteriF
  3. 4M. CleworthD
  4. 15G. DobsonM
  5. 30Daniel Edward Peter ImrayD
  6. 28S. SmithF
  7. 14G. ThomasonM
  8. 26Z. VynerD
  9. 21D. WardG

Coach: P. Parkinson

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.38 – 1.26
0.5 goalsOver92.9%Under7.1%
1.5 goalsOver74.0%Under26.0%
2.5 goalsOver49.2%Under50.8%
3.5 goalsOver27.3%Under72.7%
4.5 goalsOver12.8%Under87.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Sheffield UtdWrexham
50%Form50%
38%Attack62%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
52%Expected goals48%
53%Overall47%

Last matches

Newest first
Sheffield Utd1W 0D 1L · last 2
WBristol City vs Sheffield Utd17 Oct 2026 · Championship0-1LPortsmouth vs Sheffield Utd14 Oct 2026 · Championship3-2
Wrexham1W 0D 1L · last 2
WWrexham vs Preston17 Oct 2026 · Championship4-1LWrexham vs West Brom13 Oct 2026 · Championship1-2

Championship table

Championship table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
11Portsmouth13+119
12Millwall13+218
13Blackburn13-118
14Bristol City13-218
15Norwich13-115
16Lincoln13-915
17Cardiff13-114
18Wrexham13-414
19Bolton13-814
20Charlton13-1014
21Watford13-1111
22Burnley13-89
23Derby13-147
24Preston13-175
See full table ›

Top scorers

Championship top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1W. LankshearMiddlesbrough1211
2A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn118
3C. LarinSouthampton117
4J. BowenWest Ham126
5J. MoylanCardiff126

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSheffield UtdWrexham
Played22
Wins11
Draws00
Losses11
Goals for (avg)1.52.5
Goals against (avg)1.51.5
Clean sheets10
Failed to score00
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/22/2
Over 2.51/22/2
Over 3.51/21/2
BTTS – yes1/22/2

Match preview

Sheffield Utd host Wrexham in the Championship (Regular Season - 13) at Bramall Lane, Sheffield, with kick-off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 21:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Sheffield Utd narrow favourites, giving Sheffield Utd a 39% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 34% for Wrexham. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Sheffield Utd have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Wrexham have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England Championship
Date
Friday, 30 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
Venue
Bramall Lane, Sheffield

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham?

Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham kicks off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 21:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham in?

The match is in the England Championship.

Where are Sheffield Utd and Wrexham in the table?

Sheffield Utd are 10th and Wrexham are 18th in the Championship.

Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Sheffield Utd 39%, draw 27%, Wrexham 34%.

Will both teams score in Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham?

We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham?

We estimate a 49% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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