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TodaysPrediction

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough prediction

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough prediction for the Championship on 13 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Tuesday13October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Championship · Regular Season - 10
Stoke CityNo recent gamesMiddlesbroughNo recent games
2 - 3Full time · Tue 13 OctHT 0-0
bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent

Match events

Stoke CityMiddlesbrough

    HT 0-0

    1. 48'Goal: C. BrittainAssist: A. Cozier-Duberry
    2. Own goal: Neto Borges (og)50'
    3. 51'Yellow card: Sebastian BerhalterFoul
    4. 64'Substitution: R. McGreeOff: S. Berhalter
    5. 64'Substitution: T. ConwayOff: J. Sarmiento
    6. Substitution: J. DevennyOff: Bae Jun-Ho67'
    7. Substitution: G. HirstOff: L. Cisse67'
    8. Yellow card: Luke GrahamFoul68'
    9. 73'Goal: W. Lankshear
    10. 78'Substitution: K. JosephOff: W. Lankshear
    11. 78'Substitution: M. ArfstenOff: A. Cozier-Duberry
    12. Substitution: L. BombinoOff: E. Bocat79'
    13. Substitution: B. LawalOff: J. Tchamadeu79'
    14. Substitution: R. BozenikOff: D. Soumare79'
    15. Goal: R. BozenikAssist: G. Hirst85'
    16. 90'Goal: Neto Borges

    Our verdict

    Over 1.5 ✓

    Over 1.5

    Bet365 1.22

    78%

    ✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-3

    Expected goals2.8

    Win probability

    1 · Stoke City28%
    Fair odds 3.57
    X · Draw26%
    Fair odds 3.85
    2 · Middlesbrough46%
    Fair odds 2.17

    Match statistics

    • 34%Possession66%
    • 0.65Expected goals (xG)2.57
    • 8Total shots20
    • 1Shots on target9
    • 5Shots off target5
    • 2Blocked shots6
    • 5Shots inside the box16
    • 4Corners3
    • 1Offsides1
    • 9Fouls11
    • 1Yellow cards1
    • 7Goalkeeper saves0
    • 297Passes594
    • 223Accurate passes524
    • 75%Pass accuracy88%

    Line-ups

    Stoke City

    3-4-3

    Starting XI

    1. 1V. JohanssonG
    2. 2B. JohnsonD
    3. 16B. WilmotD
    4. 5L. GrahamD
    5. 22J. TchamadeuM
    6. 27D. SoumareM
    7. 8E. GalbraithM
    8. 17E. BocatM
    9. 7J. McGlynnF
    10. 11L. CisseF
    11. 10Bae Jun-HoF

    Substitutes

    1. 24J. GriffithsG
    2. 21L. BombinoD
    3. 23B. GibsonD
    4. 18B. Lawal
    5. 4B. PearsonM
    6. 13J. DevennyM
    7. 9R. BozenikF
    8. 42M. ManhoefF
    9. 15G. HirstF

    Coach: Mark Robins

    Middlesbrough

    3-4-2-1

    Starting XI

    1. 1R. VitekG
    2. 12L. AylingD
    3. 4A. PhillipsD
    4. 29A. MalandaD
    5. 2C. BrittainM
    6. 6S. BerhalterM
    7. 10A. MorrisM
    8. 30Neto BorgesM
    9. 11A. Cozier-DuberryF
    10. 16J. SarmientoF
    11. 7W. LankshearF

    Substitutes

    1. 31S. BrynnG
    2. 3S. ByramD
    3. 14M. Peart-HarrisM
    4. 8R. McGreeM
    5. 18C. BarronM
    6. 19L. CastledineM
    7. 9T. ConwayF
    8. 22K. JosephF
    9. 17M. ArfstenD

    Coach: Kim Hellberg

    Betting markets

    Expected goals 1.22 – 1.62
    0.5 goalsOver94.2%Under5.8%
    1.5 goalsOver77.6%Under22.4%
    2.5 goalsOver54.0%Under46.0%
    3.5 goalsOver31.7%Under68.3%
    4.5 goalsOver15.9%Under84.1%

    Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

    Model comparison

    Stoke CityMiddlesbrough
    50%Form50%
    50%Attack50%
    50%Defence50%
    50%Head to head50%
    43%Expected goals57%
    38%Overall62%

    Last matches

    Newest first
    Stoke City0W 0D 0L · last 0

    No finished matches yet.

    Middlesbrough0W 0D 0L · last 0

    No finished matches yet.

    Championship table

    Championship table
    #TeamP+/-Pts
    1Middlesbrough13+1328
    2Swansea13+726
    3Wolves13+724
    4West Brom13+524
    5Southampton13+1523
    6Birmingham13+1023
    7Stoke City13+423
    8West Ham13+1522
    9QPR13+520
    10Sheffield Utd13+219
    11Portsmouth13+119
    12Millwall13+218
    13Blackburn13-118
    14Bristol City13-218
    15Norwich13-115
    16Lincoln13-915
    17Cardiff13-114
    18Wrexham13-414
    19Bolton13-814
    20Charlton13-1014
    21Watford13-1111
    22Burnley13-89
    23Derby13-147
    24Preston13-175
    See full table ›

    Top scorers

    Championship top scorers
    #PlayerMGoals
    1W. LankshearMiddlesbrough1313
    2A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn128
    3C. LarinSouthampton117
    4J. BowenWest Ham137
    5Fer LópezWolves126

    Season statistics

    This season, all competitions we cover
    StatStoke CityMiddlesbrough
    Played00
    Wins00
    Draws00
    Losses00
    Goals for (avg)00
    Goals against (avg)00
    Clean sheets00
    Failed to score00
    Best win streak00

    Match preview

    Stoke City host Middlesbrough in the Championship (Regular Season - 10) at bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent, with kick-off on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

    Our prediction model makes Middlesbrough slight favourites, giving Stoke City a 28% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 46% for Middlesbrough. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

    On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.

    Competition
    England Championship
    Date
    Tuesday, 13 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
    Venue
    bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent

    TodaysPrediction analysis team

    Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

    Quick answers

    When is Stoke City vs Middlesbrough?

    Stoke City vs Middlesbrough kicks off on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

    Which competition is Stoke City vs Middlesbrough in?

    The match is in the England Championship.

    Where are Stoke City and Middlesbrough in the table?

    Stoke City are 7th and Middlesbrough are 1st in the Championship.

    Who will win Stoke City vs Middlesbrough?

    Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Stoke City 28%, draw 26%, Middlesbrough 46%.

    Will both teams score in Stoke City vs Middlesbrough?

    We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

    Will there be over 2.5 goals in Stoke City vs Middlesbrough?

    We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

    Are these predictions guaranteed?

    No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

    How often are predictions updated?

    Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

    More Championship on Tue 13 Oct

    FTWolves 1-3 Bolton1 ✗FTWrexham 1-2 West BromOver 1.5 ✓FTBurnley 2-2 CharltonOver 1.5 ✓FTBristol City 0-1 BlackburnOver 1.5 ✗FTCardiff 5-1 Watford1 ✓FTMillwall 0-1 SwanseaOver 1.5 ✗FTBirmingham 4-0 PrestonOver 1.5 ✓

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