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Valencia vs Athletic Club prediction

Valencia vs Athletic Club prediction for the La Liga on 17 Oct 2026: Athletic Club or draw (69%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
ValenciaNo recent gamesAthletic ClubNo recent games
0 - 0Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 0-0
Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia

Match events

ValenciaAthletic Club
  1. Yellow card: Daniel Raba AntolínFoul19'
  2. 38'Yellow card: Aymeric LaporteFoul
  3. 42'Yellow card: Beñat GerenabarrenaHandball
  4. 45'Substitution: Mikel JauregizarOff: Beñat Gerenabarrena

HT 0-0

  1. Substitution: David Otorbi EjededaweOff: Hugo Duro54'
  2. Substitution: Daniel Raba AntolínOff: Luis Rioja54'
  3. 57'Yellow card: Iñigo Ruiz De GalarretaFoul
  4. 63'Substitution: Iñigo Ruiz De GalarretaOff: Alejandro Rego Mora
  5. 63'Substitution: Iñaki WilliamsOff: Gorka Guruzeta
  6. 63'Substitution: Johaneko Louis-JeanOff: Jesus Areso
  7. 68'Substitution: Gorka GuruzetaOff: Maroan Sannadi
  8. Substitution: Justin De HaasOff: Harvey Elliott74'
  9. Substitution: Jesús VázquezOff: José Gayà85'
  10. Substitution: Guido RodríguezOff: Filip Ugrinic86'
  11. Yellow card: José Luis García VayáFoul87'
  12. Yellow card: César Tárrega RequeniFoul90'

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Athletic Club or draw

Bet365 1.30

69%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-0

Expected goals2.5

Win probability

1 · Valencia31%
Fair odds 3.23
X · Draw28%
Fair odds 3.57
2 · Athletic Club41%
Fair odds 2.44

Match statistics

  • 37%Possession63%
  • 1.57Expected goals (xG)0.65
  • 16Total shots9
  • 3Shots on target2
  • 12Shots off target7
  • 1Blocked shots0
  • 13Shots inside the box7
  • 2Corners6
  • 2Offsides1
  • 14Fouls13
  • 3Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves3
  • 331Passes567
  • 265Accurate passes482

Line-ups

Valencia

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1S. DimitrievskiG
  2. 24Pablo MaffeoD
  3. 5César TárregaD
  4. 12J. de HaasD
  5. 14José GayàD
  6. 18PepeluM
  7. 2G. RodríguezM
  8. 19Dani RabaM
  9. 8Javi GuerraM
  10. 7A. DanjumaM
  11. 9Hugo DuroF

Substitutes

  1. 10H. ElliottM
  2. 22Arnau MartínezD
  3. 33Aaron MayolM
  4. 27David OtorbiF
  5. 11Luis RiojaF
  6. 39R. SatoM
  7. 23F. UgrinicM
  8. 21Jesús VázquezD
  9. 25K. van OevelenG
  10. 15A. DiengM
  11. 4M. DiakhabyD
  12. 37Aimar BlázquezF

Coach: J. Aguirre

Athletic Club

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Unai SimónG
  2. 15Hugo RincónD
  3. 4Aitor ParedesD
  4. 14Aymeric LaporteD
  5. 31J. Louis-JeanD
  6. 24Beñat GerenabarrenaM
  7. 16Ruíz de GalarretaM
  8. 7Álex BerenguerM
  9. 28Peio CanalesM
  10. 23Robert NavarroM
  11. 9I. WilliamsF

Substitutes

  1. 11Gorka GuruzetaF
  2. 17YuriD
  3. 12Jesús AresoD
  4. 33Christian ImgaF
  5. 18Mikel JauregizarM
  6. 13Álex PadillaG
  7. 6Beñat PradosM
  8. 20Alejandro RegoM
  9. 21Maroan SannadiF
  10. 22Nico SerranoF
  11. 3Dani VivianD
  12. 5YerayD

Coach: E. Terzić

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.14 – 1.34
0.5 goalsOver91.6%Under8.4%
1.5 goalsOver70.9%Under29.1%
2.5 goalsOver45.1%Under54.9%
3.5 goalsOver23.8%Under76.2%
4.5 goalsOver10.6%Under89.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

ValenciaAthletic Club
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
46%Expected goals54%
43%Overall57%

Last matches

Newest first
Valencia0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Athletic Club0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

La Liga table

La Liga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Barcelona11+3430
2Atletico Madrid11+1428
3Real Madrid11+1827
4Real Betis11+323
5Real Sociedad11019
6Sevilla11-217
7Athletic Club10+415
8Villarreal11012
9Celta Vigo11012
10Alaves11-212
11Rayo Vallecano10-512
12Getafe11-812
13Deportivo La Coruna10011
14Espanyol11-111
15Osasuna10-1011
16Racing Santander11-1411
17Elche11-410
18Levante11-510
19Valencia11-99
20Malaga11-135
See full table ›

Top scorers

La Liga top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1RaphinhaBarcelona1015
2Kylian MbappéReal Madrid1112
3Lamine YamalBarcelona1110
4M. ZabiriRacing Santander118
5Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano117

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatValenciaAthletic Club
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Valencia host Athletic Club in the La Liga (Regular Season - 9) at Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Athletic Club slight favourites, giving Valencia a 31% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 41% for Athletic Club. Our tip is: Athletic Club or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Spain La Liga
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Valencia vs Athletic Club?

Valencia vs Athletic Club kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Valencia vs Athletic Club in?

The match is in the Spain La Liga.

Where are Valencia and Athletic Club in the table?

Valencia are 19th and Athletic Club are 7th in the La Liga.

Who will win Valencia vs Athletic Club?

Our prediction is Athletic Club or draw. Win probabilities: Valencia 31%, draw 28%, Athletic Club 41%.

Will both teams score in Valencia vs Athletic Club?

We estimate a 51% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Valencia vs Athletic Club?

We estimate a 45% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More La Liga on Sat 17 Oct

FTEspanyol 0-1 Atletico MadridOver 1.5 ✗FTVillarreal 0-0 Elche1 ✗FTReal Betis 2-5 Barcelona2 ✓

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