Skip to content
TodaysPrediction

São Bernardo vs Vila Nova prediction

São Bernardo vs Vila Nova prediction for the Serie B on 24 Oct 2026: Vila Nova or draw (66%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Saturday24October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Serie B · Regular Season - 35
São BernardoVila Nova
3 - 2Full time · Sat 24 OctHT 1-1
Estadio Primeiro de Maio, San Bernado do Campo

Match events

São BernardoVila Nova
  1. 2'Goal: JandersonAssist: Higor Meritão
  2. Goal: Lucas Eduardo·Lima da SilvaAssist: Fabrício Daniel6'

HT 1-1

  1. 49'Goal: Everton Galdino
  2. Substitution: Lucas Eduardo·Lima da SilvaOff: Foguinho57'
  3. 59'Red card: HaynerAbusive Language
  4. 61'Substitution: Igor CariúsOff: Marquinhos Gabriel
  5. Substitution: HyoranOff: Fabrício Daniel65'
  6. 66'Substitution: Willian MaranhãoOff: André Luís
  7. 66'Substitution: Guilherme Augusto Alves DellatorreOff: Higor Meritão
  8. Substitution: Marcão SilvaOff: Daniel Amorim66'
  9. Substitution: Breno Ruan Melo AlmeidaOff: Lucas Fernandes67'
  10. 76'Substitution: Willian Prado CamargoOff: Everton Galdino
  11. 76'Substitution: João Pedro VieiraOff: Nathan Camargo
  12. Substitution: Pedro Gabriel Pereira LopesOff: Daniel Davi Simão Roque79'
  13. Yellow card: Eduardo·da Silva AlbuquerqueFoul88'
  14. Goal: Rodrigo Ferreira90+6'
  15. Yellow card: FoguinhoFoul90+9'
  16. 90+10'Yellow card: Igor CariúsFoul
  17. Goal: Eduardo·da Silva Albuquerque90+11'

Our verdict

X2 ✗

Vila Nova or draw

Bet365 1.40

66%

✗ This tip lost · final score 3-2

Expected goals2.3

Win probability

1 · São Bernardo34%
Fair odds 2.94
X · Draw29%
Fair odds 3.45
2 · Vila Nova37%
Fair odds 2.70

Match statistics

  • 65%Possession35%
  • 1.54Expected goals (xG)1.94
  • 16Total shots13
  • 7Shots on target5
  • 7Shots off target4
  • 2Blocked shots4
  • 8Shots inside the box9
  • 8Corners3
  • 1Offsides1
  • 16Fouls15
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards1
  • 3Goalkeeper saves3
  • 579Passes317
  • 508Accurate passes256

Line-ups

São Bernardo

5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Alex AlvesG
  2. 2Rodrigo FerreiraD
  3. 77MarcãoD
  4. 35JemersonD
  5. 90LuizãoD
  6. 6ParáD
  7. 31Lucas FernandesM
  8. 14Lucas LimaM
  9. 26EduardoM
  10. 29PedrinhoM
  11. 10Fabrício DanielF

Substitutes

  1. 33Mário SérgioD
  2. 89Daniel AmorimF
  3. 27EchaporãF
  4. 8FoguinhoM
  5. 42HyoranM
  6. 3HélderD
  7. 30BreninhoM
  8. 36João Vitor Rodrigues GaldinoM
  9. 21Hugo SanchesD
  10. 37D. DaviF
  11. 12Júnior OliveiraG
  12. 97AugustoD

Coach: Vinícius Bergantin

Vila Nova

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Helton LeiteG
  2. 22HaynerD
  3. 23Jonathan CostaD
  4. 4Douglas MendesD
  5. 6HigorD
  6. 5João VieiraM
  7. 21Higor MeritãoM
  8. 17Everton GaldinoM
  9. 10Marquinhos GabrielM
  10. 99JandersonM
  11. 7André LuísF

Substitutes

  1. 14AndersonD
  2. 8Willian MaranhãoM
  3. 3Tiago PagnussatD
  4. 20Nathan CamargoM
  5. 9LincolnF
  6. 16Igor CariúsD
  7. 70Emerson UrsoF
  8. 31DodôM
  9. 49DellatorreF
  10. 11Ryan LimaF
  11. 29DalbersonG

Coach: Guto Ferreira

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.13 – 1.20
0.5 goalsOver90.3%Under9.7%
1.5 goalsOver67.6%Under32.4%
2.5 goalsOver41.2%Under58.8%
3.5 goalsOver20.7%Under79.3%
4.5 goalsOver8.7%Under91.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

São BernardoVila Nova
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
67%Defence33%
50%Head to head50%
48%Expected goals52%
48%Overall52%

Last matches

Newest first
São Bernardo0W 0D 1L · last 1
LSão Bernardo vs Criciuma18 Oct 2026 · Serie B0-1
Vila Nova0W 1D 0L · last 1
DVila Nova vs Novorizontino18 Oct 2026 · Serie B2-2

Serie B table

Serie B table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Novorizontino35+3264
2Juventude35+2264
3Vila Nova35+1462
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC35+1261
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife35+954
8Atletico Goianiense35+954
9Goias35-452
10Operario-PR35-151
11São Bernardo35+1049
12Botafogo SP35+247
13Cuiaba35+447
14Athletic Club35044
15Nautico Recife35-743
16Ceara35-743
17Avai35-1237
18Londrina35-732
19America Mineiro35-3123
20Ponte Preta36-5715
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie B top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1RobsonNovorizontino3216
2MikaelCRB3316
3BoschiliaOperario-PR2813
4Gustavo CoutinhoAtletico Goianiense3013
5Chrystian BarlettaSport Recife2913

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSão BernardoVila Nova
Played11
Wins00
Draws01
Losses10
Goals for (avg)02
Goals against (avg)12
Clean sheets00
Failed to score10
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/11/1
Over 2.50/11/1
Over 3.50/11/1
BTTS – yes0/11/1

Match preview

São Bernardo host Vila Nova in the Serie B (Regular Season - 35) at Estadio Primeiro de Maio, San Bernado do Campo, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 20:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Vila Nova narrow favourites, giving São Bernardo a 34% chance of winning, 29% for the draw and 37% for Vila Nova. Our tip is: Vila Nova or draw.

São Bernardo have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Vila Nova have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Brazil Serie B
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 20:30 WAT
Venue
Estadio Primeiro de Maio, San Bernado do Campo

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is São Bernardo vs Vila Nova?

São Bernardo vs Vila Nova kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 20:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is São Bernardo vs Vila Nova in?

The match is in the Brazil Serie B.

Where are São Bernardo and Vila Nova in the table?

São Bernardo are 11th and Vila Nova are 3rd in the Serie B.

Who will win São Bernardo vs Vila Nova?

Our prediction is Vila Nova or draw. Win probabilities: São Bernardo 34%, draw 29%, Vila Nova 37%.

Will both teams score in São Bernardo vs Vila Nova?

We estimate a 48% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in São Bernardo vs Vila Nova?

We estimate a 41% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie B on Sat 24 Oct

FTAvai 0-2 Botafogo SP1X ✗FTAtletico Goianiense 0-1 NovorizontinoOver 1.5 ✗FTPonte Preta 2-2 Fortaleza EC2 ✗

All football predictions for today