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Vila Nova vs Novorizontino prediction

Vila Nova vs Novorizontino prediction for the Serie B on 18 Oct 2026: Under 3.5 (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Serie B · Regular Season - 34
Vila NovaNo recent gamesNovorizontinoNo recent games
2 - 2Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 0-1
Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiania

Match events

Vila NovaNovorizontino
  1. 25'Goal: RobsonAssist: Eduardo Brock
  2. Yellow card: HaynerFoul27'
  3. Yellow card: Willian MaranhãoFoul32'
  4. 36'Yellow card: RobsonFoul
  5. 41'Substitution: Maykon Kesley de Jesus RamalhoOff: Sander
  6. Substitution: Raphael Guimarães de PaulaOff: Willian Maranhão45'
  7. 45'Substitution: Carlos Henrique de Moura BritoOff: Robson

HT 0-1

  1. Goal: Raphael Guimarães de PaulaAssist: Higor Meritão62'
  2. 65'Substitution: Nicolas Morês da CruzOff: Juninho
  3. Substitution: Nathan CamargoOff: Higor Meritão70'
  4. Goal: André LuísAssist: Raphael Guimarães de Paula71'
  5. 75'Substitution: Luís OyamaOff: Vinicius
  6. 75'Substitution: Francisco Reidiney Duarte GomesOff: Ronald Barcellos Arantes
  7. Substitution: Igor CariúsOff: Hayner77'
  8. Substitution: Guilherme Augusto Alves DellatorreOff: André Luís77'
  9. 78'Yellow card: Matheus Henrique BianquiFoul
  10. Substitution: Tiago PagnussatOff: Marquinhos Gabriel84'
  11. Substitution: enzoOff: Everton Galdino84'
  12. 84'Substitution: Romulo Azevedo SimãoOff: C. Ortiz
  13. 90+5'Yellow card: Maykon Kesley de Jesus RamalhoDissent
  14. 90+8'Goal: C. OrtizAssist: Madson Ferreira dos Santos

Our verdict

Under 3.5 ✗

Under 3.5

Bet365 1.25

78%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-2

Expected goals2.4

Win probability

1 · Vila Nova36%
Fair odds 2.78
X · Draw29%
Fair odds 3.45
2 · Novorizontino35%
Fair odds 2.86

Match statistics

  • 58%Possession42%
  • 1.08Expected goals (xG)0.48
  • 11Total shots11
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 2Shots off target5
  • 4Blocked shots2
  • 8Shots inside the box6
  • 6Corners4
  • 1Offsides2
  • 13Fouls18
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves3
  • 433Passes331
  • 348Accurate passes223

Line-ups

Vila Nova

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Helton LeiteG
  2. 22HaynerD
  3. 4Douglas MendesD
  4. 23Jonathan CostaD
  5. 6HigorD
  6. 21Higor MeritãoM
  7. 8Willian MaranhãoM
  8. 17Everton GaldinoM
  9. 10Marquinhos GabrielM
  10. 99JandersonM
  11. 7André LuísF

Substitutes

  1. 29DalbersonG
  2. 14AndersonD
  3. 49DellatorreF
  4. 31DodôM
  5. 70Emerson UrsoF
  6. 18EnzoM
  7. 16Igor CariúsD
  8. 9LincolnF
  9. 20Nathan CamargoM
  10. 3Tiago PagnussatD
  11. 11Ryan LimaF
  12. 13Willian FormigaD

Coach: Guto Ferreira

Novorizontino

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 93JordiG
  2. 2MadsonD
  3. 3CarlinhosD
  4. 14Eduardo BrockD
  5. 5SanderD
  6. 17Matheus BianquiM
  7. 6Luis OyamaM
  8. 41ReidineyM
  9. 10RomuloM
  10. 30Nicolas CarecaM
  11. 11RobsonF

Substitutes

  1. 31CésarG
  2. 50JuninhoM
  3. 18Léo NaldiM
  4. 24J. LoraD
  5. 28MarlonM
  6. 66MaykonD
  7. 8C. OrtízF
  8. 7Ronald BarcellosF
  9. 16ViníciusF
  10. 9CarlãoF
  11. 27Diego MathiasF
  12. 22A. AlvariñoM

Coach: Enderson Moreira

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.20 – 1.20
0.5 goalsOver90.9%Under9.1%
1.5 goalsOver69.2%Under30.8%
2.5 goalsOver43.0%Under57.0%
3.5 goalsOver22.1%Under77.9%
4.5 goalsOver9.6%Under90.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Vila NovaNovorizontino
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
50%Expected goals50%
51%Overall49%

Last matches

Newest first
Vila Nova0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Novorizontino0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Serie B table

Serie B table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Juventude36+2265
2Novorizontino35+3264
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC35+1261
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife36+955
8Atletico Goianiense35+954
9Goias35-452
10Operario-PR35-151
11São Bernardo35+1049
12Botafogo SP36+248
13Cuiaba35+447
14Nautico Recife36-646
15Athletic Club35044
16Ceara35-743
17Avai36-1337
18Londrina35-732
19America Mineiro35-3123
20Ponte Preta36-5715
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie B top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1RobsonNovorizontino3216
2MikaelCRB3316
3PerottiSport Recife3513
4BoschiliaOperario-PR2813
5Gustavo CoutinhoAtletico Goianiense3013

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatVila NovaNovorizontino
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Vila Nova host Novorizontino in the Serie B (Regular Season - 34) at Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiania, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 22:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Vila Nova narrow favourites, giving Vila Nova a 36% chance of winning, 29% for the draw and 35% for Novorizontino. Our tip is: Under 3.5.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Brazil Serie B
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 22:00 WAT
Venue
Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiania

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?

Vila Nova vs Novorizontino kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 22:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Vila Nova vs Novorizontino in?

The match is in the Brazil Serie B.

Where are Vila Nova and Novorizontino in the table?

Vila Nova are 3rd and Novorizontino are 2nd in the Serie B.

Who will win Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?

Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: Vila Nova 36%, draw 29%, Novorizontino 35%.

Will both teams score in Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?

We estimate a 50% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?

We estimate a 43% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie B on Sun 18 Oct

FTAvai 0-0 Athletic ClubUnder 3.5 ✓FTSão Bernardo 0-1 CriciumaX2 ✓FTCRB 0-1 Botafogo SP1 ✗

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