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São Bernardo vs Criciuma prediction

São Bernardo vs Criciuma prediction for the Serie B on 18 Oct 2026: Criciuma or draw (66%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Serie B · Regular Season - 34
São BernardoNo recent gamesCriciumaNo recent games
0 - 1Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 0-1
Estadio Primeiro de Maio, San Bernado do Campo

Match events

São BernardoCriciuma
  1. 35'Goal: César MartinsAssist: Willean Bernardo

HT 0-1

  1. 61'Substitution: Bruno AlvesOff: César Martins
  2. 61'Substitution: Rómulo OteroOff: Waguininho
  3. Substitution: Mário Sérgio ValerioOff: Pará66'
  4. Substitution: Fabrício DanielOff: Lucas Fernandes66'
  5. Substitution: Pedro Gabriel Pereira LopesOff: Daniel Davi Simão Roque66'
  6. 69'Substitution: Nicolas Godinho JohannOff: Yuri Jonathan
  7. Substitution: RomissonOff: Foguinho73'
  8. Substitution: Luiz Gustavo Oliveira da SilvaOff: Pedro Vitor Ferreira da Silva80'
  9. 84'Substitution: Guilherme Teixeira LoboOff: Diego Gonçalves

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Criciuma or draw

Bet365 1.40

66%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-1

Expected goals2.3

Win probability

1 · São Bernardo34%
Fair odds 2.94
X · Draw30%
Fair odds 3.33
2 · Criciuma36%
Fair odds 2.78

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 0.24Expected goals (xG)0.76
  • 5Total shots8
  • 0Shots on target2
  • 1Shots off target6
  • 4Blocked shots0
  • 2Shots inside the box4
  • 9Corners2
  • 1Offsides0
  • 13Fouls14
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves0
  • 485Passes435
  • 424Accurate passes378

Line-ups

São Bernardo

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 1Alex AlvesG
  2. 77MarcãoD
  3. 35JemersonD
  4. 90LuizãoD
  5. 21Hugo SanchesM
  6. 8FoguinhoM
  7. 26EduardoM
  8. 6ParáM
  9. 31Lucas FernandesF
  10. 9Felipe GarciaF
  11. 29PedrinhoF

Substitutes

  1. 97AugustoD
  2. 10Fabrício DanielF
  3. 42HyoranM
  4. 7LucasF
  5. 33Mário SérgioD
  6. 11Pedro VitorF
  7. 3HélderD
  8. 30BreninhoM
  9. 36João Vitor Rodrigues GaldinoM
  10. 37D. DaviF
  11. 12Júnior OliveiraG
  12. 17RomissonM

Coach: Vinícius Bergantin

Criciuma

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 32AirtonG
  2. 37César MartinsD
  3. 3RodrigoD
  4. 4Luciano CastánD
  5. 97Willean LepoM
  6. 14RonaldM
  7. 7Fellipe MateusM
  8. 22Marcelo HermesM
  9. 91R. OteroM
  10. 77Diego GonçalvesM
  11. 9NicolasF

Substitutes

  1. 31Hiago Accinelli da RozaM
  2. 41Jean IrmerM
  3. 13WaguininhoF
  4. 8Guilherme LoboM
  5. 11RomarinhoF
  6. 90Gabriel Capella ChavesF
  7. 6MarcinhoD
  8. 34Bruno AlvesD
  9. 33YuriF
  10. 5EduardoM
  11. 70PedroG

Coach: Umberto Louzer

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.10 – 1.15
0.5 goalsOver89.5%Under10.5%
1.5 goalsOver65.7%Under34.3%
2.5 goalsOver39.1%Under60.9%
3.5 goalsOver19.1%Under80.9%
4.5 goalsOver7.8%Under92.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

São BernardoCriciuma
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
49%Expected goals51%
49%Overall51%

Last matches

Newest first
São Bernardo0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Criciuma0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Serie B table

Serie B table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Juventude36+2265
2Novorizontino35+3264
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC35+1261
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife36+955
8Atletico Goianiense35+954
9Goias35-452
10Operario-PR35-151
11São Bernardo35+1049
12Botafogo SP36+248
13Cuiaba35+447
14Nautico Recife36-646
15Athletic Club35044
16Ceara35-743
17Avai36-1337
18Londrina35-732
19America Mineiro35-3123
20Ponte Preta36-5715
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie B top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1RobsonNovorizontino3216
2MikaelCRB3316
3PerottiSport Recife3513
4BoschiliaOperario-PR2813
5Gustavo CoutinhoAtletico Goianiense3013

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSão BernardoCriciuma
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

São Bernardo host Criciuma in the Serie B (Regular Season - 34) at Estadio Primeiro de Maio, San Bernado do Campo, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Criciuma narrow favourites, giving São Bernardo a 34% chance of winning, 30% for the draw and 36% for Criciuma. Our tip is: Criciuma or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Brazil Serie B
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Estadio Primeiro de Maio, San Bernado do Campo

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is São Bernardo vs Criciuma?

São Bernardo vs Criciuma kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is São Bernardo vs Criciuma in?

The match is in the Brazil Serie B.

Where are São Bernardo and Criciuma in the table?

São Bernardo are 11th and Criciuma are 4th in the Serie B.

Who will win São Bernardo vs Criciuma?

Our prediction is Criciuma or draw. Win probabilities: São Bernardo 34%, draw 30%, Criciuma 36%.

Will both teams score in São Bernardo vs Criciuma?

We estimate a 46% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in São Bernardo vs Criciuma?

We estimate a 39% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie B on Sun 18 Oct

FTAvai 0-0 Athletic ClubUnder 3.5 ✓FTCRB 0-1 Botafogo SP1 ✗FTVila Nova 2-2 NovorizontinoUnder 3.5 ✗

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