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Avai vs Botafogo SP prediction

Avai vs Botafogo SP prediction for the Serie B on 24 Oct 2026: Avai or draw (71%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday24October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Serie B · Regular Season - 35
AvaiBotafogo SP
0 - 2Full time · Sat 24 OctHT 0-1
Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis

Match events

AvaiBotafogo SP
  1. 38'Yellow card: José Hugo Sousa dos SantosFoul
  2. 43'Goal: MorelliAssist: Patrick Brey
  3. Yellow card: Luiz HenriqueFoul43'
  4. Substitution: Paulo VitorOff: Luiz Henrique45'

HT 0-1

  1. 54'Goal: Leandro MacielAssist: Patrick Brey
  2. Substitution: Rildo Goncalves de Amorin FilhoOff: Gaspar58'
  3. Substitution: Léo GamalhoOff: Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira58'
  4. Yellow card: Allyson Aires Dos SantosFoul61'
  5. Substitution: Pedro Henrique Franklim da SilvaOff: Zé Ricardo72'
  6. Substitution: HyanOff: Jefferson Maciel72'
  7. 74'Substitution: Matheus SalesOff: Rafael Gava
  8. 75'Substitution: Leandro MacielOff: Marco Antonio de Freitas Batistussi
  9. 85'Substitution: MorelliOff: Thiago Henrique Moraes
  10. 90'Substitution: José Hugo Sousa dos SantosOff: Arthur Caíke
  11. 90'Substitution: Hebert Willian Badaro OliveiraOff: Hygor

Our verdict

1X ✗

Avai or draw

Bet365 1.30

71%

✗ This tip lost · final score 0-2

Expected goals2.2

Win probability

1 · Avai41%
Fair odds 2.44
X · Draw30%
Fair odds 3.33
2 · Botafogo SP29%
Fair odds 3.45

Match statistics

  • 58%Possession42%
  • 1.29Expected goals (xG)0.66
  • 27Total shots6
  • 8Shots on target3
  • 14Shots off target3
  • 5Blocked shots0
  • 14Shots inside the box2
  • 14Corners2
  • 1Offsides0
  • 13Fouls16
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves7
  • 484Passes367
  • 395Accurate passes260

Line-ups

Avai

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 94Bruno FerreiraG
  2. 2WallisonD
  3. 3AllysonD
  4. 38Jefferson MacielD
  5. 36DGD
  6. 77Zé RicardoM
  7. 8Luiz HenriqueM
  8. 14Daniel PenhaM
  9. 10Jean LucasM
  10. 37RildoM
  11. 19Caio Suassuna Gonçalves FerreiraF

Substitutes

  1. 18HyanM
  2. 1Igor BohnG
  3. 23Gabriel CiprianoF
  4. 9Léo GamalhoF
  5. 70GasparF
  6. 35PedrãoD
  7. 25Paulo VitorM
  8. 20Isaías PereiraF
  9. 66QuaresmaD
  10. 56WilliamD
  11. 11Felipe VizeuF
  12. 15Guilherme VargasD

Coach: Allan Aal

Botafogo SP

5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Victor SouzaG
  2. 22Gabriel InocêncioD
  3. 2JonathanD
  4. 4VilarD
  5. 27DarlanD
  6. 6Patrick BreyD
  7. 8Everton MorelliM
  8. 5L. MacielM
  9. 10Rafael GavaM
  10. 30Zé HugoM
  11. 9HygorF

Substitutes

  1. 18Arthur CaíkeF
  2. 16Matheus SalesM
  3. 28Marco AntônioM
  4. 12JordanG
  5. 26Felipe VieiraD
  6. 31Pedro HenriqueD
  7. 23Wesley Pinheiro SantosF
  8. 29Thiago HenriqueM
  9. 7KelvinF
  10. 34BadaróD

Coach: Cláudio Tencati

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.20 – 0.97
0.5 goalsOver88.6%Under11.4%
1.5 goalsOver63.8%Under36.2%
2.5 goalsOver36.9%Under63.1%
3.5 goalsOver17.5%Under82.5%
4.5 goalsOver6.9%Under93.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

AvaiBotafogo SP
25%Form75%
0%Attack100%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
55%Expected goals45%
59%Overall41%

Last matches

Newest first
Avai0W 1D 0L · last 1
DAvai vs Athletic Club18 Oct 2026 · Serie B0-0
Botafogo SP1W 0D 0L · last 1
WCRB vs Botafogo SP18 Oct 2026 · Serie B0-1

Serie B table

Serie B table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Novorizontino35+3264
2Juventude35+2264
3Vila Nova35+1462
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC35+1261
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife35+954
8Atletico Goianiense35+954
9Goias35-452
10Operario-PR35-151
11São Bernardo35+1049
12Botafogo SP35+247
13Cuiaba35+447
14Athletic Club35044
15Nautico Recife35-743
16Ceara35-743
17Avai35-1237
18Londrina35-732
19America Mineiro35-3123
20Ponte Preta36-5715
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie B top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1RobsonNovorizontino3216
2MikaelCRB3316
3BoschiliaOperario-PR2813
4Gustavo CoutinhoAtletico Goianiense3013
5Chrystian BarlettaSport Recife2913

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAvaiBotafogo SP
Played11
Wins01
Draws10
Losses00
Goals for (avg)01
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets11
Failed to score10
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/10/1
Over 2.50/10/1
Over 3.50/10/1
BTTS – yes0/10/1

Match preview

Avai host Botafogo SP in the Serie B (Regular Season - 35) at Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Avai slight favourites, giving Avai a 41% chance of winning, 30% for the draw and 29% for Botafogo SP. Our tip is: Avai or draw.

Avai have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L). Botafogo SP have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Brazil Serie B
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Avai vs Botafogo SP?

Avai vs Botafogo SP kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Avai vs Botafogo SP in?

The match is in the Brazil Serie B.

Where are Avai and Botafogo SP in the table?

Avai are 17th and Botafogo SP are 12th in the Serie B.

Who will win Avai vs Botafogo SP?

Our prediction is Avai or draw. Win probabilities: Avai 41%, draw 30%, Botafogo SP 29%.

Will both teams score in Avai vs Botafogo SP?

We estimate a 44% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Avai vs Botafogo SP?

We estimate a 37% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie B on Sat 24 Oct

FTSão Bernardo 3-2 Vila NovaX2 ✗FTAtletico Goianiense 0-1 NovorizontinoOver 1.5 ✗FTPonte Preta 2-2 Fortaleza EC2 ✗

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