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Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC prediction

Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC prediction for the Serie B on 24 Oct 2026: Fortaleza EC to win (73%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday24October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Serie B · Regular Season - 35
Ponte PretaNo recent gamesFortaleza ECNo recent games
2 - 2Full time · Sat 24 OctHT 2-1
Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas

Match events

Ponte PretaFortaleza EC
  1. Yellow card: Gustavo TellesFoul11'
  2. 22'VARVAR: Chico da CostaPenalty confirmed
  3. Yellow card: Danilo BarcelosDissent24'
  4. 25'Penalty goal: Maílton (pen)
  5. 32'Yellow card: MaíltonFoul
  6. Goal: Gustavo Felipe AlmeidaAssist: Danilo Barcelos44'
  7. Goal: Guilherme Brandão AzevedoAssist: Gustavo Telles45+2'
  8. Yellow card: Felipe Di MauroFoul45+4'

HT 2-1

  1. 57'Substitution: Vitor FerreiraOff: Paulo Baya
  2. 57'Substitution: Welliton Silva de Azevedo MatheusOff: Pedro Henrique
  3. Substitution: DenisOff: Rodrigo Souza60'
  4. 65'Goal: Rodrigo Henrique Santos De SouzaAssist: Paulo Baya
  5. 65'Substitution: Maurício MucuriOff: Lucca Prior Pimenta
  6. Substitution: LUCAS CUNHAOff: Danilo72'
  7. Substitution: Emanuell Silva FerreiraOff: David da Hora72'
  8. Substitution: Karl Cachoeira Della Vedova JúniorOff: Juan Rodrigues Leopoldino72'
  9. Yellow card: Vinicius Ferrari AndreoliTime Wasting76'
  10. 86'Substitution: ronald falkoskiOff: Nathan Fogaça
  11. Substitution: Gustavo TellesOff: Diego Monteiro Leao90+1'

Our verdict

2 ✗

Fortaleza EC to win

Bet365 1.25

73%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-2

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Ponte Preta9%
Fair odds 11.11
X · Draw18%
Fair odds 5.56
2 · Fortaleza EC73%
Fair odds 1.37

Match statistics

  • 24%Possession76%
  • 0.89Expected goals (xG)1.83
  • 14Total shots23
  • 6Shots on target8
  • 5Shots off target7
  • 3Blocked shots8
  • 4Shots inside the box11
  • 4Corners9
  • 0Offsides1
  • 10Fouls13
  • 4Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 6Goalkeeper saves4
  • 190Passes629
  • 126Accurate passes550

Line-ups

Ponte Preta

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 30ViniciusG
  2. 32Felipe Di MauroD
  3. 44Gustavo AlmeidaD
  4. 15Gabriel CaranD
  5. 14Danilo BarcelosD
  6. 5Rodrigo SouzaM
  7. 8KarlM
  8. 35Gustavo LopesM
  9. 18David da HoraM
  10. 19DaniloM
  11. 9BrandãoF

Substitutes

  1. 23Nicolas SilvaM
  2. 2Guilherme Martins FerreiraM
  3. 4Diego Monteiro LeaoD
  4. 17MiguelM
  5. 21Vitor Ribeiro FernandesF
  6. 6JuanD
  7. 16KawannD
  8. 7Emanuell Silva FerreiraF
  9. 1Guilherme VianaG
  10. 3Lucas CunhaD
  11. 20Thevyn Dos Anjos SouzaF
  12. 22DenisM

Coach: Gilson Kleina

Fortaleza EC

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1João RicardoG
  2. 22MaíltonD
  3. 23NerisD
  4. 15Bartolomeu Jacinto QuissangaD
  5. 13Maurício Júnior Lima RodriguesD
  6. 5PierreM
  7. 8RonaldM
  8. 11VitinhoM
  9. 16Pedro HenriqueM
  10. 75RodriguinhoM
  11. 91Francisco da CostaF

Substitutes

  1. 17Nathan FogaçaF
  2. 12Kaio HenriqueD
  3. 3Lucas GazalD
  4. 29RodrigoM
  5. 38LuccaM
  6. 77Paulo BayaF
  7. 31WellitonF
  8. 25Vinícius SilvestreG
  9. 19Lucas EmanoelF
  10. 4LuanD
  11. 37Ryan GustavoM
  12. 28PaulinhoD

Coach: Paulo Autuori

Betting markets

Expected goals 0.60 – 2.15
0.5 goalsOver93.6%Under6.4%
1.5 goalsOver76.0%Under24.0%
2.5 goalsOver51.9%Under48.1%
3.5 goalsOver29.7%Under70.3%
4.5 goalsOver14.5%Under85.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Ponte PretaFortaleza EC
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
22%Expected goals78%
11%Overall89%

Last matches

Newest first
Ponte Preta0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Fortaleza EC0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Serie B table

Serie B table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Juventude36+2265
2Novorizontino35+3264
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC35+1261
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife36+955
8Atletico Goianiense35+954
9Goias35-452
10Operario-PR35-151
11São Bernardo35+1049
12Botafogo SP36+248
13Cuiaba35+447
14Nautico Recife36-646
15Athletic Club35044
16Ceara35-743
17Avai36-1337
18Londrina35-732
19America Mineiro35-3123
20Ponte Preta36-5715
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie B top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1RobsonNovorizontino3216
2MikaelCRB3316
3BoschiliaOperario-PR2813
4Gustavo CoutinhoAtletico Goianiense3013
5Chrystian BarlettaSport Recife2913

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatPonte PretaFortaleza EC
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Ponte Preta host Fortaleza EC in the Serie B (Regular Season - 35) at Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 22:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Fortaleza EC clear favourites, giving Ponte Preta a 9% chance of winning, 18% for the draw and 73% for Fortaleza EC. Our tip is: Fortaleza EC to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 40% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Brazil Serie B
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 22:30 WAT
Venue
Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?

Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 22:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC in?

The match is in the Brazil Serie B.

Where are Ponte Preta and Fortaleza EC in the table?

Ponte Preta are 20th and Fortaleza EC are 5th in the Serie B.

Who will win Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?

Our prediction is Fortaleza EC to win. Win probabilities: Ponte Preta 9%, draw 18%, Fortaleza EC 73%.

Will both teams score in Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?

We estimate a 40% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?

We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie B on Sat 24 Oct

FTAvai 0-2 Botafogo SP1X ✗FTSão Bernardo 3-2 Vila NovaX2 ✗FTAtletico Goianiense 0-1 NovorizontinoOver 1.5 ✗

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