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TodaysPrediction

Peterborough vs Burton Albion prediction

Peterborough vs Burton Albion prediction for the League One on 17 Oct 2026: Peterborough or draw (73%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
ABAX Stadium, Peterborough

Match events

PeterboroughBurton Albion
  1. Goal: Owura EdwardsAssist: Harry Leonard2'
  2. 30'Goal: Charlie WebsterAssist: Kgagelo Chauke
  3. 45'Substitution: Matthew DennisOff: Gbemi Arubi

HT 1-1

  1. 60'Substitution: Sulyman KruballyOff: F. Delap
  2. Substitution: Brandon·Singh KhelaOff: Harry Ashfield66'
  3. Substitution: Owura EdwardsOff: Matthew Garbett69'
  4. Yellow card: Carl JohnstonFoul77'
  5. 78'Yellow card: Raphael Borges RodriguesFoul
  6. Yellow card: Brandon·Singh KhelaFoul79'
  7. Substitution: Harry LeonardOff: D. Ormerod81'
  8. Substitution: Vernon MasaraOff: Bolu Shofowoke82'
  9. 82'Substitution: Raphael Borges RodriguesOff: Emeka Adeile
  10. 82'Substitution: M. O’MahonyOff: Caylon Vickers
  11. 89'Goal: Gbemi Arubi
  12. Goal: Matthew Garbett90+6'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Peterborough or draw

Bet365 1.25

73%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-2

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Peterborough48%
Fair odds 2.08
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Burton Albion27%
Fair odds 3.70

Match statistics

  • 55%Possession45%
  • 2.06Expected goals (xG)0.64
  • 19Total shots16
  • 6Shots on target6
  • 7Shots off target7
  • 6Blocked shots3
  • 14Shots inside the box11
  • 8Corners4
  • 5Offsides3
  • 11Fouls10
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves4
  • 471Passes389
  • 354Accurate passes275

Line-ups

Peterborough

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1A. BassG
  2. 2C. JohnstonD
  3. 18Lucca MendonçaD
  4. 12Joshua FeeneyD
  5. 14Harley MillsD
  6. 4L. KellyM
  7. 45Harry AshfieldM
  8. 19Bolu ShofowokeM
  9. 10Ethan WilliamsM
  10. 11O. EdwardsM
  11. 9H. LeonardF

Substitutes

  1. 26D. OkagbueD
  2. 8B. KhelaM
  3. 28M. GarbettM
  4. 7Harrison JonesM
  5. 27D. OrmerodF
  6. 23C. Andeng NdiG
  7. 17Vernon MasaraF

Coach: Robert William Savage

Burton Albion

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 34C. AddaiG
  2. 6T. SibbickD
  3. 26F. DelapD
  4. 16C. TiltD
  5. 17R. Borges RodriguesM
  6. 4K. ChaukeM
  7. 12G. EvansM
  8. 24Harvey AraujoM
  9. 18Caylon VickersM
  10. 8C. WebsterM
  11. 19M. DennisF

Substitutes

  1. 20J. SrahaD
  2. 9G. ArubiF
  3. 14W. CollarM
  4. 32J. KeanG
  5. 41Sulyman KruballyM
  6. 10Mark O’MahonyF
  7. 23Emeka AdeileD

Coach: G. Bowyer

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.72 – 1.24
0.5 goalsOver94.8%Under5.2%
1.5 goalsOver79.5%Under20.5%
2.5 goalsOver56.8%Under43.2%
3.5 goalsOver34.4%Under65.6%
4.5 goalsOver17.8%Under82.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

PeterboroughBurton Albion
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
58%Expected goals42%
64%Overall36%

Last matches

Newest first
Peterborough0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Burton Albion0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

League One table

League One table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
11Milton Keynes Dons13+218
12Mansfield Town12+218
13Wycombe13-218
14Leyton Orient13+517
15Burton Albion14-317
16Stevenage12+416
17Notts County12-114
18AFC Wimbledon13-1213
19Blackpool12-412
20Doncaster13-812
21Wigan13-1110
22Peterborough13-1210
23Barnsley12-109
24Bromley13-209
See full table ›

Top scorers

League One top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1A. CollinsMilton Keynes Dons1313
2K. WoottonStockport County149
3J. TaylorHuddersfield129
4J. MarriottReading88
5D. Sanches FernandesHuddersfield137

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatPeterboroughBurton Albion
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Peterborough host Burton Albion in the League One (Regular Season - 11) at ABAX Stadium, Peterborough, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 12:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Peterborough slight favourites, giving Peterborough a 48% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 27% for Burton Albion. Our tip is: Peterborough or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England League One
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 12:30 WAT
Venue
ABAX Stadium, Peterborough

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Peterborough vs Burton Albion?

Peterborough vs Burton Albion kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 12:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Peterborough vs Burton Albion in?

The match is in the England League One.

Where are Peterborough and Burton Albion in the table?

Peterborough are 22nd and Burton Albion are 15th in the League One.

Who will win Peterborough vs Burton Albion?

Our prediction is Peterborough or draw. Win probabilities: Peterborough 48%, draw 25%, Burton Albion 27%.

Will both teams score in Peterborough vs Burton Albion?

We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Peterborough vs Burton Albion?

We estimate a 57% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More League One on Sat 17 Oct

FTMilton Keynes Dons 2-1 LutonX2 ✗FTLeicester 2-1 Doncaster1X ✓FTPlymouth 0-2 Huddersfield1X ✗FTBarnsley 1-2 Cambridge United1X ✗FTBradford 2-0 Stevenage1X ✓FTWigan 1-0 ReadingX2 ✗FTWycombe 2-0 Notts CountyOver 1.5 ✓FTSheffield Wednesday 5-0 AFC Wimbledon1 ✓FTStockport County 1-0 Bromley1 ✓FTLeyton Orient 2-0 BlackpoolOver 1.5 ✓

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