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Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata prediction

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata prediction for the Super League 1 on 25 Oct 2026: Under 3.5 (65%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Olympiakos PiraeusKalamata
5 - 0Full time · Sun 25 OctHT 2-0
Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus

Match events

Olympiakos PiraeusKalamata
  1. Yellow card: Gustavo SáFoul17'
  2. Goal: Jota SilvaAssist: Joel Roca37'
  3. 37'Yellow card: Marcelino CarreazoFoul
  4. Goal: Jota SilvaAssist: Gustavo Sá40'
  5. Substitution: ChiquinhoOff: Gustavo Sá45'

HT 2-0

  1. Goal: Jota SilvaAssist: Nayair Tiknizyan46'
  2. Yellow card: Gustavo PuertaFoul48'
  3. 50'Yellow card: Gonzalo Agustín PiñeiroFoul
  4. Substitution: Armando GonzálezOff: Marius Mouandilmadji60'
  5. Substitution: Gustavo PuertaOff: Santiago Hezze60'
  6. 61'Substitution: Marcelino CarreazoOff: J. Cataldi
  7. 61'Substitution: David KurminowskiOff: Jovanny Bolivar
  8. Goal: Marius Mouandilmadji74'
  9. 75'Substitution: Gonzalo Agustín PiñeiroOff: Josete Miranda
  10. Substitution: Leon BaileyOff: Jota Silva75'
  11. 75'Substitution: Kenneth VargasOff: Aarón Martin Luis
  12. Substitution: Kostas FortounisOff: Joel Roca79'
  13. 83'Substitution: Stefanos StroungisOff: M. Bakayoko
  14. Goal: Leon Bailey85'
  15. 90+1'Yellow card: Josete MirandaFoul

Our verdict

Under 3.5 ✗

Under 3.5

Bet365 1.57

65%

✗ This tip lost · final score 5-0

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Olympiakos Piraeus81%
Fair odds 1.23
X · Draw14%
Fair odds 7.14
2 · Kalamata5%
Fair odds 20.00

Match statistics

  • 74%Possession26%
  • 0.00Expected goals (xG)0.00
  • 17Total shots3
  • 10Shots on target2
  • 7Shots off target1
  • 0Blocked shots0
  • 7Corners1
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0

Line-ups

Olympiakos Piraeus

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1S. OrtegaG
  2. 27M. PedersenD
  3. 4Z. SmajlovićD
  4. 5L. PirolaD
  5. 71N. TiknizyanD
  6. 15G. PuertaM
  7. 19R. FreulerM
  8. 73Joel RocaM
  9. 8Gustavo SáM
  10. 20Jota SilvaM
  11. 34A. GonzálezF

Substitutes

  1. 10Gelson MartinsM
  2. 17L. BaileyF
  3. 7K. FortounisM
  4. 32S. HezzeM
  5. 22ChiquinhoM
  6. 6David CarmoD
  7. 99M. MouandilmadjiF
  8. 70S. OnyemaechiD
  9. 31B. PopovićG
  10. 2M. SaliakasD
  11. 16L. ScipioniM
  12. 11R. YaremchukF

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Kalamata

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 40N. VasiljevićG
  2. 21M. CarreazoD
  3. 4S. StroungisD
  4. 97RodriguesD
  5. 22P. KaloutsikidisD
  6. 23G. PiñeiroM
  7. 12I. ChatzitheodoridisM
  8. 77K. VargasM
  9. 10A. SigurðssonM
  10. 20A. Mendes MoreiraM
  11. 91D. KurminowskiF

Substitutes

  1. 18P. PanagiotouD
  2. 11Josete MirandaF
  3. 5AarónM
  4. 29U. IgnjatovićD
  5. 44A. GuessandD
  6. 26P. GinisG
  7. 1I. GeliosG
  8. 7J. CataldiM
  9. 32J. BonettoF
  10. 9J. BolívarF
  11. 19M. J. BakayokoD
  12. 3Álex PerezD

Coach: Panagiotis Christofileas

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.50 – 0.48
0.5 goalsOver94.9%Under5.1%
1.5 goalsOver79.8%Under20.2%
2.5 goalsOver57.2%Under42.8%
3.5 goalsOver34.8%Under65.2%
4.5 goalsOver18.1%Under81.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Olympiakos PiraeusKalamata
75%Form25%
25%Attack75%
94%Defence6%
50%Head to head50%
84%Expected goals16%
94%Overall6%

Last matches

Newest first

Super League 1 table

Super League 1 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Olympiakos Piraeus9+1122
2Panathinaikos8+1421
3AEK Athens FC7+1817
4Aris Thessalonikis8-116
5PAOK8+515
6OFI8+113
7Kifisia9-211
8Kalamata8-410
9Iraklis 19088-29
10Panetolikos8-89
11Asteras Tripolis8-86
12Levadiakos8-113
13Atromitos7-62
14Volos NFC8-70
See full table ›

Top scorers

Super League 1 top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Jota SilvaOlympiakos Piraeus95
2B. VargaAEK Athens FC55
3A. TettehPanathinaikos84
4FabianoAris Thessalonikis74
5D. KurminowskiKalamata44

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatOlympiakos PiraeusKalamata
Played31
Wins31
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)1.34
Goals against (avg)03
Clean sheets30
Failed to score00
Best win streak31

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.51/31/1
Over 2.50/31/1
Over 3.50/31/1
BTTS – yes0/31/1

Match preview

Olympiakos Piraeus host Kalamata in the Super League 1 (Regular Season - 8) at Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Olympiakos Piraeus clear favourites, giving Olympiakos Piraeus a 81% chance of winning, 14% for the draw and 5% for Kalamata. Our tip is: Under 3.5.

Olympiakos Piraeus have taken 9 points from their last 3 games (3W 0D 0L). Kalamata have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 and a 36% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Greece Super League 1
Date
Sunday, 25 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata?

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata in?

The match is in the Greece Super League 1.

Where are Olympiakos Piraeus and Kalamata in the table?

Olympiakos Piraeus are 1st and Kalamata are 8th in the Super League 1.

Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata?

Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: Olympiakos Piraeus 81%, draw 14%, Kalamata 5%.

Will both teams score in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata?

We estimate a 36% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata?

We estimate a 57% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Super League 1 on Sun 25 Oct

FTVolos NFC 0-1 Panathinaikos2 ✓FTAris Thessalonikis 3-1 AtromitosOver 1.5 ✓FTOFI 2-1 PAOKOver 1.5 ✓

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