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Aris Thessalonikis vs Atromitos prediction

Aris Thessalonikis vs Atromitos prediction for the Super League 1 on 25 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (73%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday25October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Super League 1 · Regular Season - 8
Aris ThessalonikisAtromitosNo recent games
3 - 1Full time · Sun 25 OctHT 3-1
Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki

Match events

Aris ThessalonikisAtromitos
  1. Goal: Fabiano LeismannAssist: Bruma3'
  2. 9'Goal: SerginhoAssist: Steven Zuber
  3. Goal: Christian Kouamé23'
  4. Goal: Jeremy PetrisAssist: Uros Racic27'
  5. Yellow card: Boško ŠutaloFoul33'
  6. Yellow card: Jeremy PetrisDissent40'
  7. 45'Substitution: Hörður MagnússonOff: Kelvin Ofori
  8. 45'Substitution: Mattheos MountesOff: Dani García

HT 3-1

  1. 61'Substitution: S. PnevmonidisOff: Serginho
  2. Substitution: Othman BoussaidOff: Bruma67'
  3. 69'Yellow card: Georgios PapadopoulosDissent
  4. Substitution: Tino KadewereOff: Rafa Mir78'
  5. Substitution: Christian KouaméOff: Fredrik Jensen78'
  6. 80'Substitution: Juan José PereaOff: Sotiris Tsiloulis
  7. 82'Yellow card: Mattheos MountesPersistent Infringement
  8. 86'Yellow card: S. PnevmonidisFoul
  9. 90+2'VARVAR: Steven ZuberPenalty cancelled
  10. 90+3'Substitution: Theocharis TsingarasOff: Georgios Tzovaras
  11. Substitution: Benjamin GarréOff: Diallo Sanoussi90+4'
  12. Substitution: Uros RacicOff: Ayotomiwa Dele-Bashiru90+4'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.30

73%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-1

Expected goals2.5

Win probability

1 · Aris Thessalonikis54%
Fair odds 1.85
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Atromitos20%
Fair odds 5.00

Match statistics

  • 55%Possession45%
  • 0.81Expected goals (xG)0.59
  • 13Total shots6
  • 4Shots on target2
  • 7Shots off target2
  • 2Blocked shots2
  • 9Shots inside the box3
  • 5Corners1
  • 2Offsides3
  • 18Fouls17
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves1
  • 458Passes376
  • 383Accurate passes299

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 33Ricardo VelhoG
  2. 2J. PétrisD
  3. 4FabianoD
  4. 44B. ŠutaloD
  5. 3O. RichardsD
  6. 18M. HonglaM
  7. 10U. RačićM
  8. 7B. GarréM
  9. 8C. KouaméM
  10. 77BrumaM
  11. 9T. KadewereF

Substitutes

  1. 41Konstantinos CharoupasM
  2. 49O. BoussaidM
  3. 20T. Dele-BashiruM
  4. 1S. DioudisG
  5. 6K. GalanopoulosM
  6. 97F. JensenM
  7. 30Christos KamtsisD
  8. 21L. MajkićG
  9. 17Rafa MirF
  10. 29S. PapasarafianosM
  11. 14D. SanoussiM
  12. 22M. VoriazidisM

Coach: M. Grigoriou

Atromitos

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 1L. ChoutesiotisG
  2. 44D. TsakmakisD
  3. 4D. StavrópoulosD
  4. 32H. MagnússonD
  5. 5T. TsingarasM
  6. 14Dani GarcíaM
  7. 8S. MoutoussamyM
  8. 16G. PapadopoulosM
  9. 70SerginhoF
  10. 9J. PereaF
  11. 7S. ZuberF

Substitutes

  1. 23S. TsiloulisM
  2. 19Panagiotis TsantilasF
  3. 10S. PnevmonidisF
  4. 97K. OforiM
  5. 12M. MountesM
  6. 2L. LyratzisD
  7. 30A. KotsisM
  8. 6T. KaramanisD
  9. 17E. HoxhaM
  10. 88S. DiengG
  11. 31V. AthanasiouG
  12. 99G. TzovarasF

Coach: D. Kerkez

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.65 – 0.90
0.5 goalsOver92.2%Under7.8%
1.5 goalsOver72.3%Under27.7%
2.5 goalsOver46.9%Under53.1%
3.5 goalsOver25.3%Under74.7%
4.5 goalsOver11.6%Under88.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Aris ThessalonikisAtromitos
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
17%Defence83%
50%Head to head50%
65%Expected goals35%
73%Overall27%

Last matches

Newest first
Aris Thessalonikis1W 0D 0L · last 1
WKifisia vs Aris Thessalonikis18 Oct 2026 · Super League 11-2
Atromitos0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Super League 1 table

Super League 1 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Panathinaikos8+1421
2Olympiakos Piraeus8+1019
3AEK Athens FC7+1817
4Aris Thessalonikis8-116
5PAOK8+515
6OFI8+113
7Kifisia8-111
8Kalamata8-410
9Iraklis 19088-29
10Panetolikos8-89
11Asteras Tripolis8-86
12Levadiakos8-113
13Atromitos7-62
14Volos NFC8-70
See full table ›

Top scorers

Super League 1 top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Jota SilvaOlympiakos Piraeus85
2B. VargaAEK Athens FC55
3A. TettehPanathinaikos84
4FabianoAris Thessalonikis74
5D. KurminowskiKalamata44

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAris ThessalonikisAtromitos
Played10
Wins10
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)20
Goals against (avg)10
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/0
Over 2.51/10/0
Over 3.50/10/0
BTTS – yes1/10/0

Match preview

Aris Thessalonikis host Atromitos in the Super League 1 (Regular Season - 8) at Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 18:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Aris Thessalonikis favourites, giving Aris Thessalonikis a 54% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 20% for Atromitos. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Aris Thessalonikis have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Greece Super League 1
Date
Sunday, 25 October 2026, 18:30 WAT
Venue
Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Aris Thessalonikis vs Atromitos?

Aris Thessalonikis vs Atromitos kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 18:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Aris Thessalonikis vs Atromitos in?

The match is in the Greece Super League 1.

Where are Aris Thessalonikis and Atromitos in the table?

Aris Thessalonikis are 4th and Atromitos are 13th in the Super League 1.

Who will win Aris Thessalonikis vs Atromitos?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Aris Thessalonikis 54%, draw 26%, Atromitos 20%.

Will both teams score in Aris Thessalonikis vs Atromitos?

We estimate a 48% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Aris Thessalonikis vs Atromitos?

We estimate a 47% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Super League 1 on Sun 25 Oct

FTOlympiakos Piraeus 5-0 KalamataUnder 3.5 ✗FTVolos NFC 0-1 Panathinaikos2 ✓FTOFI 2-1 PAOKOver 1.5 ✓

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