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Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze prediction

Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze prediction for the Ekstraklasa on 23 Oct 2026: Gornik Zabrze or draw (68%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Widzew ŁódźGornik Zabrze
1 - 1Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 1-1
Stadion Widzewa Łódź, Lodz

Match events

Widzew ŁódźGornik Zabrze
  1. Goal: Karol ŚwiderskiAssist: Darian Males16'
  2. Substitution: mariusz fornalczykOff: Stipe Biuk21'
  3. 29'Yellow card: Malthe HojholtFoul
  4. 40'Goal: Kacper UrbanskiAssist: Zeidane Inoussa

HT 1-1

  1. Substitution: Steve KapuadiOff: Christopher Cheng60'
  2. Substitution: Karol ŚwiderskiOff: Sebastian Bergier60'
  3. 63'Substitution: Zeidane InoussaOff: Maksym Khlan
  4. Yellow card: Giannis PapanikolaouFoul71'
  5. 74'Substitution: Sondre LisethOff: Erik Prekop
  6. Substitution: Darian MalesOff: Fran Alvarez78'
  7. Substitution: Jusuf GazibegovicOff: Marcel Krajewski78'
  8. Yellow card: mariusz fornalczykDissent87'
  9. 88'Substitution: Kacper UrbanskiOff: Jarosław Kubicki

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Gornik Zabrze or draw

Bet365 1.44

68%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · Widzew Łódź32%
Fair odds 3.13
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Gornik Zabrze41%
Fair odds 2.44

Match statistics

  • 52%Possession48%
  • 0.79Expected goals (xG)2.07
  • 11Total shots26
  • 5Shots on target6
  • 3Shots off target9
  • 3Blocked shots11
  • 8Shots inside the box16
  • 4Corners7
  • 1Offsides2
  • 17Fouls16
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Goalkeeper saves4
  • 477Passes442
  • 400Accurate passes365

Line-ups

Widzew Łódź

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1B. DrągowskiG
  2. 70J. GazibegovićD
  3. 25P. WiśniewskiD
  4. 14VisusD
  5. 3S. KapuadiD
  6. 5G. PapanikolaouM
  7. 19D. MalesM
  8. 8E. KornvigM
  9. 6J. ShehuM
  10. 7M. FornalczykM
  11. 28K. ŚwiderskiF

Substitutes

  1. 79S. BiukM
  2. 99S. BergierF
  3. 17C. ChengD
  4. 48Franciszek GolańskiG
  5. 30V. IlićG
  6. 20A. KlukowskiM
  7. 91M. KrajewskiD
  8. 18L. SelahiM
  9. 90Ioan VermeșanF
  10. 10Fran ÁlvarezM
  11. 4M. ŻyroD

Coach: M. Stolarski

Gornik Zabrze

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1P. SchulzeG
  2. 21O. ZmrzlýD
  3. 26R. JanickiD
  4. 20Josema SánchezD
  5. 64E. JanžaD
  6. 19PeterM
  7. 6M. HøjholtM
  8. 82K. UrbańskiM
  9. 27Z. InoussaM
  10. 8Paulo BernardoF
  11. 23S. LisethF

Substitutes

  1. 24K. SemikM
  2. 11E. PrekopF
  3. 99T. LoskaG
  4. 14J. KubickiM
  5. 33M. KhlanM
  6. 29W. KaniaG
  7. 7Y. Ikia DimiM
  8. 34B. DurdovM
  9. 28B. DonioM
  10. 66M. DietzD
  11. 4P. BochniewiczD
  12. 2P. WarczakD

Coach: M. Gašparík

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.23 – 1.41
0.5 goalsOver92.9%Under7.1%
1.5 goalsOver74.0%Under26.0%
2.5 goalsOver49.2%Under50.8%
3.5 goalsOver27.3%Under72.7%
4.5 goalsOver12.8%Under87.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Widzew ŁódźGornik Zabrze
50%Form50%
0%Attack100%
83%Defence17%
50%Head to head50%
47%Expected goals53%
44%Overall56%

Last matches

Newest first

Ekstraklasa table

Ekstraklasa table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin11+1024
5GKS Katowice13+621
6Piast Gliwice13+421
7Wisla Krakow13+221
8Zaglebie Lubin12019
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce12-418
11Motor Lublin13-316
12Wisla Plock12-615
13Cracovia Krakow13-612
14Widzew Łódź13-211
15Slask Wroclaw12-69
16Wieczysta Kraków13-98
17Radomiak Radom12-168
18Raków Częstochowa12-126
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ekstraklasa top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Jordi SánchezPogon Szczecin129
2I. ShkurinGKS Katowice138
3B. NowakGKS Katowice137
4Pablo RodríguezLech Poznan126
5P. WålemarkLech Poznan126

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatWidzew ŁódźGornik Zabrze
Played11
Wins00
Draws11
Losses00
Goals for (avg)01
Goals against (avg)01
Clean sheets10
Failed to score10
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/11/1
Over 2.50/10/1
Over 3.50/10/1
BTTS – yes0/11/1

Match preview

Widzew Łódź host Gornik Zabrze in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 12) at Stadion Widzewa Łódź, Lodz, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Gornik Zabrze slight favourites, giving Widzew Łódź a 32% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 41% for Gornik Zabrze. Our tip is: Gornik Zabrze or draw.

Widzew Łódź have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L). Gornik Zabrze have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Poland Ekstraklasa
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:30 WAT
Venue
Stadion Widzewa Łódź, Lodz

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze?

Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze in?

The match is in the Poland Ekstraklasa.

Where are Widzew Łódź and Gornik Zabrze in the table?

Widzew Łódź are 14th and Gornik Zabrze are 2nd in the Ekstraklasa.

Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze?

Our prediction is Gornik Zabrze or draw. Win probabilities: Widzew Łódź 32%, draw 27%, Gornik Zabrze 41%.

Will both teams score in Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze?

We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze?

We estimate a 49% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ekstraklasa on Fri 23 Oct

FTMotor Lublin 2-2 Zaglebie LubinOver 1.5 ✓

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