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Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw prediction

Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw prediction for the Ekstraklasa on 17 Oct 2026: Motor Lublin or draw (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 11
Motor LublinNo recent gamesSlask WroclawNo recent games
3 - 2Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 0-1
Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin

Match events

Motor LublinSlask Wroclaw
  1. 11'Goal: Przemyslaw BanaszakAssist: Piotr Samiec-Talar
  2. 45'Substitution: luka marjanacOff: Malaly Dembele

HT 0-1

  1. VAR: Makan AikoPenalty confirmedVAR47'
  2. Missed penalty: Karol Czubak50'
  3. Goal: Makan AikoAssist: Yacine Bourhane61'
  4. 64'Yellow card: Przemyslaw BanaszakDissent
  5. 66'Goal: Malaly DembeleAssist: Piotr Samiec-Talar
  6. 66'VARVAR: Malaly DembeleGoal confirmed
  7. Substitution: Kamil LukoszekOff: Fabio Ronaldo Costa Conceicao71'
  8. Yellow card: Mbaye Jacques NdiayeFoul73'
  9. 75'Substitution: Przemyslaw BanaszakOff: Leltsin Jeronimo Semedo Camoes
  10. Goal: Christopher Simon77'
  11. 81'Substitution: Alex Timossi AnderssonOff: Jan Jurčec
  12. Substitution: Makan AikoOff: Thomas Santos82'
  13. Substitution: Alioune Oumar TallOff: Rony Lopes83'
  14. 85'Substitution: Eniss ShabaniOff: Grzegorz Tomasiewicz
  15. 85'Substitution: Piotr Samiec-TalarOff: Adam Ciućka
  16. 87'Yellow card: Marc LlinaresFoul
  17. VAR: Mbaye Jacques NdiayePenalty confirmedVAR88'
  18. 90+2'Yellow card: Karol NiemczyckiDissent
  19. Penalty goal: Yacine Bourhane (pen)90+2'
  20. Substitution: Christopher SimonOff: Paskal Konrad Meyer90+4'
  21. Yellow card: Karol CzubakTime Wasting90+10'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Motor Lublin or draw

Bet365 1.25

74%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-2

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Motor Lublin49%
Fair odds 2.04
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Slask Wroclaw26%
Fair odds 3.85

Match statistics

  • 66%Possession34%
  • 4.08Expected goals (xG)0.68
  • 29Total shots6
  • 11Shots on target3
  • 10Shots off target2
  • 8Blocked shots1
  • 19Shots inside the box4
  • 10Corners1
  • 0Offsides1
  • 11Fouls18
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves8
  • 477Passes253
  • 401Accurate passes182

Line-ups

Motor Lublin

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 33G. TratnikG
  2. 17K. LukoszekD
  3. 39M. BartošD
  4. 4T. PlavotićD
  5. 24F. LubereckiD
  6. 27Y. BourhaneM
  7. 30M. NdiayeM
  8. 9Rony LopesM
  9. 8C. SimonM
  10. 70M. AïkoM
  11. 10K. CzubakF

Substitutes

  1. 71M. PopaG
  2. 23F. HaxhaM
  3. 18B. BereszyńskiD
  4. 5A. AkatovD
  5. 2Paskal Konrad MeyerD
  6. 29T. SantosD
  7. 6M. ŁęgowskiM
  8. 47Alioune TallM
  9. 11Fábio RonaldoM
  10. 22M. ZlomanczukM
  11. 77Mateusz PosmykF
  12. 90Dominik GregorskiF

Coach: M. Misiura

Slask Wroclaw

5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1K. NiemczyckiG
  2. 21A. Timossi AnderssonD
  3. 33E. MatsenkoD
  4. 5L. BaD
  5. 44M. MalecD
  6. 8Marc LlinaresD
  7. 7P. Samiec-TalarM
  8. 17K. LinettyM
  9. 77E. ShabaniM
  10. 11L. MarjanacM
  11. 19P. BanaszakF

Substitutes

  1. 10M. DembéléF
  2. 88A. CiuckaM
  3. 18K. BorysM
  4. 20G. TomasiewiczM
  5. 2D. SzalaD
  6. 27Jan JurčecD
  7. 4M. DijakovicD
  8. 25M. SzromnikG
  9. 9Ieltsin CamõesF

Coach: A. Šimundža

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.76 – 1.23
0.5 goalsOver95.0%Under5.0%
1.5 goalsOver79.9%Under20.1%
2.5 goalsOver57.5%Under42.5%
3.5 goalsOver35.1%Under64.9%
4.5 goalsOver18.3%Under81.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Motor LublinSlask Wroclaw
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
59%Expected goals41%
65%Overall35%

Last matches

Newest first
Motor Lublin0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Slask Wroclaw0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Ekstraklasa table

Ekstraklasa table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin11+1024
5GKS Katowice13+621
6Piast Gliwice13+421
7Wisla Krakow13+221
8Zaglebie Lubin12019
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce12-418
11Motor Lublin13-316
12Wisla Plock12-615
13Cracovia Krakow13-612
14Widzew Łódź13-211
15Slask Wroclaw12-69
16Wieczysta Kraków13-98
17Radomiak Radom12-168
18Raków Częstochowa12-126
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ekstraklasa top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Jordi SánchezPogon Szczecin129
2I. ShkurinGKS Katowice138
3B. NowakGKS Katowice137
4Pablo RodríguezLech Poznan126
5P. WålemarkLech Poznan126

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatMotor LublinSlask Wroclaw
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Motor Lublin host Slask Wroclaw in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 11) at Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 13:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Motor Lublin slight favourites, giving Motor Lublin a 49% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 26% for Slask Wroclaw. Our tip is: Motor Lublin or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Poland Ekstraklasa
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 13:45 WAT
Venue
Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw?

Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 13:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw in?

The match is in the Poland Ekstraklasa.

Where are Motor Lublin and Slask Wroclaw in the table?

Motor Lublin are 11th and Slask Wroclaw are 15th in the Ekstraklasa.

Who will win Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw?

Our prediction is Motor Lublin or draw. Win probabilities: Motor Lublin 49%, draw 25%, Slask Wroclaw 26%.

Will both teams score in Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw?

We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw?

We estimate a 57% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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