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Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon prediction

Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon prediction for the League One on 17 Oct 2026: Sheffield Wednesday to win (56%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield

Match events

Sheffield WednesdayAFC Wimbledon
  1. Goal: Barry BannanAssist: Davis Keillor-Dunn38'
  2. Goal: Davis Keillor-Dunn39'
  3. Goal: Harry GrayAssist: Jamal Lowe45'
  4. 45'Substitution: Aron SasuOff: Marcus Browne
  5. 45'Substitution: Callum MaycockOff: James Tilley

HT 3-0

  1. Yellow card: Reece JamesFoul49'
  2. Goal: Callum SlatteryAssist: Reece James56'
  3. Yellow card: Jaden HeskeyFoul60'
  4. Substitution: Barry BannanOff: Billy Mitchell61'
  5. Substitution: Liam CooperOff: Gabriel·Otegbayo62'
  6. Substitution: Jamal LoweOff: Ali Al-Hamadi62'
  7. 65'Substitution: Ollie HarrisonOff: Zack Nelson
  8. 70'Yellow card: Andy YiadomFoul
  9. 73'Substitution: Jayden StockleyOff: Harry Cornick
  10. Substitution: Di'Shon BernardOff: Max Lowe74'
  11. Substitution: Harry GrayOff: Kieran Morrison81'
  12. Goal: Davis Keillor-DunnAssist: Kieran Morrison85'

Our verdict

1 ✓

Sheffield Wednesday to win

Bet365 1.67

56%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 5-0

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Sheffield Wednesday56%
Fair odds 1.79
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · AFC Wimbledon20%
Fair odds 5.00

Match statistics

  • 58%Possession42%
  • 2.16Expected goals (xG)0.27
  • 23Total shots5
  • 11Shots on target0
  • 9Shots off target5
  • 3Blocked shots0
  • 13Shots inside the box2
  • 2Corners4
  • 0Offsides1
  • 7Fouls13
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Goalkeeper saves6
  • 508Passes369
  • 423Accurate passes290

Line-ups

Sheffield Wednesday

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 13A. Maynard-BrewerG
  2. 7Y. ValeryD
  3. 5D. BernardD
  4. 6L. CooperD
  5. 33R. JamesD
  6. 18Jaden HeskeyM
  7. 10B. BannanM
  8. 50D. Keillor-DunnM
  9. 8C. SlatteryM
  10. 24H. GrayM
  11. 9J. LoweF

Substitutes

  1. 20K. MorrisonM
  2. 16B. MitchellM
  3. 3M. LoweD
  4. 12Ali Al HamadiF
  5. 27C. TruemanG
  6. 2L. PalmerD
  7. 22G. OtegbayoD

Coach: H. Pedersen

AFC Wimbledon

5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 39J. BursikG
  2. 17A. YiadomD
  3. 2S. SessegnonD
  4. 3S. SeddonD
  5. 6R. JohnsonD
  6. 29A. SasuD
  7. 8C. MaycockM
  8. 5O. HarrisonM
  9. 12A. SmithM
  10. 21M. HippolyteM
  11. 9J. StockleyF

Substitutes

  1. 7J. TilleyF
  2. 15F. SimmondsD
  3. 10Z. NelsonM
  4. 20J. McDonnellG
  5. 22R. HoranD
  6. 23H. CornickF
  7. 11M. BrowneM

Coach: J. Jackson

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.84 – 1.03
0.5 goalsOver94.3%Under5.7%
1.5 goalsOver78.1%Under21.9%
2.5 goalsOver54.7%Under45.3%
3.5 goalsOver32.4%Under67.6%
4.5 goalsOver16.3%Under83.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Sheffield WednesdayAFC Wimbledon
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
64%Expected goals36%
74%Overall26%

Last matches

Newest first
Sheffield Wednesday0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

AFC Wimbledon0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

League One table

League One table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
11Milton Keynes Dons13+218
12Mansfield Town12+218
13Wycombe13-218
14Leyton Orient13+517
15Burton Albion14-317
16Stevenage12+416
17Notts County12-114
18AFC Wimbledon13-1213
19Blackpool12-412
20Doncaster13-812
21Wigan13-1110
22Peterborough13-1210
23Barnsley12-109
24Bromley13-209
See full table ›

Top scorers

League One top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1A. CollinsMilton Keynes Dons1313
2K. WoottonStockport County149
3J. TaylorHuddersfield129
4J. MarriottReading88
5D. Sanches FernandesHuddersfield137

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSheffield WednesdayAFC Wimbledon
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Sheffield Wednesday host AFC Wimbledon in the League One (Regular Season - 11) at Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Sheffield Wednesday favourites, giving Sheffield Wednesday a 56% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 20% for AFC Wimbledon. Our tip is: Sheffield Wednesday to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England League One
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon?

Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon in?

The match is in the England League One.

Where are Sheffield Wednesday and AFC Wimbledon in the table?

Sheffield Wednesday are 9th and AFC Wimbledon are 18th in the League One.

Who will win Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon?

Our prediction is Sheffield Wednesday to win. Win probabilities: Sheffield Wednesday 56%, draw 24%, AFC Wimbledon 20%.

Will both teams score in Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon?

We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More League One on Sat 17 Oct

FTPeterborough 2-2 Burton Albion1X ✓FTMilton Keynes Dons 2-1 LutonX2 ✗FTLeicester 2-1 Doncaster1X ✓FTPlymouth 0-2 Huddersfield1X ✗FTBarnsley 1-2 Cambridge United1X ✗FTBradford 2-0 Stevenage1X ✓FTWigan 1-0 ReadingX2 ✗FTWycombe 2-0 Notts CountyOver 1.5 ✓FTStockport County 1-0 Bromley1 ✓FTLeyton Orient 2-0 BlackpoolOver 1.5 ✓

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