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Genoa vs Venezia prediction

Genoa vs Venezia prediction for the Serie A on 25 Oct 2026: Genoa or draw (72%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday25October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Serie A · Regular Season - 8
GenoaVenezia
1 - 0Full time · Sun 25 OctHT 1-0
Luigi Ferraris, Genoa

Match events

GenoaVenezia
  1. Goal: Mikael EllertssonAssist: Stephan El Shaarawy25'

HT 1-0

  1. Yellow card: Sebastian OtoaFoul55'
  2. Substitution: Morten FrendrupOff: Junior Messias62'
  3. Substitution: Stephan El ShaarawyOff: Lorenzo Colombo62'
  4. Substitution: Sebastian OtoaOff: Alessandro Marcandalli70'
  5. 71'Substitution: Toma BašićOff: Matteo Dagasso
  6. 71'Substitution: Ridgeciano HapsOff: Pasquale Mazzocchi
  7. 79'Substitution: Antoine HainautOff: Albion Rrahmani
  8. Substitution: Samuel WiafeOff: Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho81'
  9. Substitution: Mario MitajOff: David Puczka81'
  10. 87'Substitution: Simon SohmOff: Lion Lauberbach

Our verdict

1X ✓

Genoa or draw

Bet365 1.28

72%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-0

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · Genoa45%
Fair odds 2.22
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Venezia28%
Fair odds 3.57

Match statistics

  • 45%Possession55%
  • 0.41Expected goals (xG)1.73
  • 7Total shots20
  • 4Shots on target5
  • 2Shots off target7
  • 1Blocked shots8
  • 3Shots inside the box12
  • 2Corners10
  • 1Offsides0
  • 12Fouls11
  • 1Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Goalkeeper saves3
  • 465Passes547
  • 390Accurate passes476

Line-ups

Genoa

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1J. BijlowG
  2. 34S. OtoaD
  3. 5L. ØstigårdD
  4. 22J. VásquezD
  5. 77M. EllertssonM
  6. 25H. TraorèM
  7. 71S. WiafeM
  8. 2M. MitajM
  9. 10Junior MessiasM
  10. 92S. El ShaarawyM
  11. 18M. OsmajićF

Substitutes

  1. 27A. MarcandalliD
  2. 99F. StolzG
  3. 39D. SommarivaG
  4. 16C. DramehD
  5. 32M. FrendrupM
  6. 4Alexsandro AmorimM
  7. 11E. MeichtryM
  8. 8T. BaldanziM
  9. 20S. SabelliD
  10. 21Nikita SolodchenkoF
  11. 9VítinhaF
  12. 29L. ColomboF
  13. 31D. PuczkaD
  14. 14Lukas KlišysD

Coach: D. De Rossi

Venezia

3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 1F. StankovićG
  2. 25R. HalhalD
  3. 2M. MorenoD
  4. 15Juan JesusD
  5. 18A. HainautM
  6. 71Kike PérezM
  7. 19S. SohmM
  8. 26T. BašićM
  9. 5R. HapsM
  10. 10J. YeboahF
  11. 45A. AdamsF

Substitutes

  1. 17A. Bella-KotchapD
  2. 96L. MontipòG
  3. 3J. SchingtienneD
  4. 77Toni FernándezM
  5. 8Lamine DaboM
  6. 30M. DagassoM
  7. 56K. LismanF
  8. 20R. SagradoD
  9. 21Þ. HelgasonM
  10. 70P. MazzocchiD
  11. 6G. BusioM
  12. 32A. DuncanM
  13. 7A. RrahmaniF
  14. 29L. LauberbachF
  15. 95A. GomesD

Coach: D. Nicola

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.11
0.5 goalsOver92.5%Under7.5%
1.5 goalsOver73.1%Under26.9%
2.5 goalsOver47.9%Under52.1%
3.5 goalsOver26.2%Under73.8%
4.5 goalsOver12.1%Under87.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

GenoaVenezia
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
9%Defence91%
50%Head to head50%
57%Expected goals43%
62%Overall38%

Last matches

Newest first
Genoa0W 0D 1L · last 1
LAS Roma vs Genoa17 Oct 2026 · Serie A2-0
Venezia1W 0D 0L · last 1
WVenezia vs Napoli17 Oct 2026 · Serie A1-0

Serie A table

Serie A table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Inter9+1525
2Lazio9+1525
3AS Roma9+1521
4Como9+920
5AC Milan9+718
6Frosinone9+817
7Napoli9+614
8Juventus9+114
9Torino9013
10Cagliari9-513
11Bologna9011
12Atalanta9-111
13Genoa9-510
14Lecce9-99
15Sassuolo9-88
16Monza9-67
17Udinese9-95
18Fiorentina9-105
19Parma9-105
20Venezia9-133
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie A top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1A. RaimondoFrosinone98
2Gustavo VarelaMonza88
3D. MalenAS Roma87
4N. KrstovićAtalanta96
5M. ThuramInter85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatGenoaVenezia
Played11
Wins01
Draws00
Losses10
Goals for (avg)01
Goals against (avg)20
Clean sheets01
Failed to score10
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/1
Over 2.50/10/1
Over 3.50/10/1
BTTS – yes0/10/1

Match preview

Genoa host Venezia in the Serie A (Regular Season - 8) at Luigi Ferraris, Genoa, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Genoa slight favourites, giving Genoa a 45% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 28% for Venezia. Our tip is: Genoa or draw.

Genoa have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Venezia have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Italy Serie A
Date
Sunday, 25 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
Luigi Ferraris, Genoa

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Genoa vs Venezia?

Genoa vs Venezia kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Genoa vs Venezia in?

The match is in the Italy Serie A.

Where are Genoa and Venezia in the table?

Genoa are 13th and Venezia are 20th in the Serie A.

Who will win Genoa vs Venezia?

Our prediction is Genoa or draw. Win probabilities: Genoa 45%, draw 27%, Venezia 28%.

Will both teams score in Genoa vs Venezia?

We estimate a 52% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Genoa vs Venezia?

We estimate a 48% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie A on Sun 25 Oct

FTInter 2-1 Fiorentina1 ✓FTAtalanta 4-4 Frosinone1X ✓FTLecce 0-2 Juventus2 ✓

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