Skip to content
TodaysPrediction

Estac Troyes vs Le Mans prediction

Estac Troyes vs Le Mans prediction for the Ligue 1 on 31 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9
Estac TroyesLe Mans
2 - 0Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 1-0
Stade de l'Aube, Troyes

Match events

Estac TroyesLe Mans
  1. Yellow card: Junior DiazFoul18'
  2. Goal: Mouhamed DiopAssist: Timothee Nkada33'
  3. 45'Substitution: Habib DialloOff: Bilal Brahimi
  4. Substitution: Timothee NkadaOff: Kandet Diawara45'
  5. 45'Substitution: Antoine RabillardOff: Dame Gueye

HT 1-0

  1. 47'Yellow card: Raul Torrente NavarroFoul
  2. Yellow card: Paolo Gozzi IweruFoul52'
  3. 60'Substitution: Alexandre LaurayOff: Jean Vercruysse
  4. Substitution: Paolo Gozzi IweruOff: Ismaël Boura66'
  5. VAR: Kandet DiawaraOriginal decision changedVAR67'
  6. 67'Yellow card: Nicolas KocikArgument
  7. Yellow card: Ismaël BouraFoul69'
  8. Goal: Ismaël Boura71'
  9. 74'Yellow card: Noa BoisséFoul
  10. 74'Substitution: Lucas CalodatOff: Yasser Larouci
  11. 74'Substitution: Louis MafoutaOff: William Harhouz
  12. Substitution: Renaud RipartOff: Jérémy Le Douaron79'
  13. Substitution: Mouhamed DiopOff: Iron Gomis79'
  14. Substitution: Merwan IfnaouiOff: Hugo Picard90+2'
  15. 90+6'Yellow card: Samuel YohouFoul

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.25

78%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Estac Troyes40%
Fair odds 2.50
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Le Mans33%
Fair odds 3.03

Match statistics

  • 39%Possession61%
  • 1.79Expected goals (xG)0.31
  • 14Total shots3
  • 8Shots on target1
  • 4Shots off target1
  • 2Blocked shots1
  • 12Shots inside the box2
  • 4Corners2
  • 2Offsides1
  • 15Fouls16
  • 3Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves5
  • 358Passes577
  • 283Accurate passes504

Line-ups

Estac Troyes

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 40H. KonatéG
  2. 2L. MaronnierD
  3. 6A. MonfrayD
  4. 4M. DiazD
  5. 5P. GozziD
  6. 17A. MilleM
  7. 29D. KarimM
  8. 8M. DiopM
  9. 10M. IfnaouiF
  10. 20R. RipartF
  11. 23T. NkadaF

Substitutes

  1. 7K. DiawaraF
  2. 14I. BouraD
  3. 33P. BeachG
  4. 11I. GomisM
  5. 9J. Le DouaronF
  6. 26A. PhliponeauM
  7. 22H. PicardM
  8. 36I. SoukounaM
  9. 44Y. TitiD

Coach: S. Dumont

Le Mans

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 98N. KocikG
  2. 15N. BoisséD
  3. 17S. YohouD
  4. 16Raúl TorrenteD
  5. 8A. LaurayM
  6. 18L. BuadésM
  7. 9A. RabillardM
  8. 29L. BretelleM
  9. 22L. CalodatM
  10. 14L. MafoutaF
  11. 13H. DialloF

Substitutes

  1. 26R. BambaD
  2. 7B. BrahimiF
  3. 25D. GuèyeF
  4. 20W. HarhouzF
  5. 1E. HatfoutG
  6. 76Y. LarouciD
  7. 23D. TraoréM
  8. 10J. VercruysseM
  9. 5H. VoyerD

Coach: P. Videira

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.32
0.5 goalsOver93.9%Under6.1%
1.5 goalsOver76.9%Under23.1%
2.5 goalsOver53.1%Under46.9%
3.5 goalsOver30.8%Under69.2%
4.5 goalsOver15.2%Under84.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Estac TroyesLe Mans
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
57%Defence43%
50%Head to head50%
53%Expected goals47%
55%Overall45%

Last matches

Newest first
Estac Troyes0W 1D 1L · last 2
DToulouse vs Estac Troyes25 Oct 2026 · Ligue 10-0LEstac Troyes vs Lens17 Oct 2026 · Ligue 11-3
Le Mans0W 1D 1L · last 2
DAuxerre vs Le Mans25 Oct 2026 · Ligue 11-1LLe Mans vs Toulouse16 Oct 2026 · Ligue 10-3

Ligue 1 table

Ligue 1 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain9+1120
2Lille9+618
3Lyon9+817
4Paris FC9+617
5Rennes9+116
6Marseille9+715
7Monaco9+215
8Nice9+114
9Lens9+313
10Lorient8+112
11Toulouse9-110
12Strasbourg9-210
13Auxerre9-1010
14Stade Brestois 298+29
15Angers9-88
16Estac Troyes9-98
17Le Mans9-77
18Le Havre9-112
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ligue 1 top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1E. LepaulRennes77
2E. WahiNice86
3L. SinayokoParis FC86
4C. ArcherAuxerre65
5A. GouiriMarseille85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatEstac TroyesLe Mans
Played22
Wins00
Draws11
Losses11
Goals for (avg)0.50.5
Goals against (avg)1.52
Clean sheets10
Failed to score11
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/22/2
Over 2.51/21/2
Over 3.51/20/2
BTTS – yes1/21/2

Match preview

Estac Troyes host Le Mans in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 9) at Stade de l'Aube, Troyes, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 20:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Estac Troyes slight favourites, giving Estac Troyes a 40% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 33% for Le Mans. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Estac Troyes have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L). Le Mans have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.

Competition
France Ligue 1
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Venue
Stade de l'Aube, Troyes

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?

Estac Troyes vs Le Mans kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 20:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Estac Troyes vs Le Mans in?

The match is in the France Ligue 1.

Where are Estac Troyes and Le Mans in the table?

Estac Troyes are 16th and Le Mans are 17th in the Ligue 1.

Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Estac Troyes 40%, draw 27%, Le Mans 33%.

Will both teams score in Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?

We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?

We estimate a 53% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

All football predictions for today