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Arsenal vs Everton prediction

Arsenal vs Everton prediction for the Premier League on 24 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (76%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday24October 2026
ArsenalEverton
2 - 0Full time · Sat 24 OctHT 1-0
Emirates Stadium, London

Match events

ArsenalEverton
  1. Goal: Ezri KonsaAssist: Viktor Gyökeres7'
  2. 45+2'Yellow card: Vitaliy MykolenkoFoul

HT 1-0

  1. Yellow card: Myles Lewis-SkellyFoul58'
  2. Yellow card: Mikel Arteta AmatriainDissent64'
  3. 66'Yellow card: James GarnerArgument
  4. Substitution: Bruno GuimarãesOff: Mikel Merino68'
  5. Substitution: Viktor GyökeresOff: Kai Havertz68'
  6. Substitution: Myles Lewis-SkellyOff: Riccardo Calafiori68'
  7. Goal: Gabriel dos Santos MagalhãesAssist: Ben White68'
  8. 72'Substitution: Brennan JohnsonOff: Tyler Dibling
  9. 74'Substitution: Vitaliy MykolenkoOff: Hayden Hackney
  10. 79'Yellow card: James TarkowskiFoul
  11. 79'Yellow card: David William MoyesDissent
  12. Substitution: Declan RiceOff: Martín Zubimendi80'
  13. Substitution: Eberechi EzeOff: Max Dowman80'
  14. 86'Substitution: Kiernan Dewsbury-HallOff: Charly Alcaraz

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.28

76%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · Arsenal68%
Fair odds 1.47
X · Draw20%
Fair odds 5.00
2 · Everton12%
Fair odds 8.33

Match statistics

  • 58%Possession42%
  • 1.82Expected goals (xG)0.47
  • 20Total shots8
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 6Shots off target2
  • 10Blocked shots3
  • 12Shots inside the box6
  • 12Corners3
  • 0Offsides1
  • 11Fouls13
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves2
  • 509Passes366
  • 441Accurate passes315

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1David RayaG
  2. 4B. WhiteD
  3. 15E. KonsaD
  4. 6Gabriel MagalhãesD
  5. 49M. Lewis-SkellyD
  6. 41D. RiceM
  7. 23Mikel MerinoM
  8. 20N. MaduekeM
  9. 8M. ØdegaardM
  10. 10E. EzeM
  11. 14V. GyökeresF

Substitutes

  1. 39Bruno GuimarãesM
  2. 36Martín ZubimendiM
  3. 33R. CalafioriD
  4. 12J. TimberD
  5. 5P. HincapiéD
  6. 3Cristhian MosqueraD
  7. 13KepaG
  8. 56M. DowmanF
  9. 29K. HavertzF

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Everton

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1J. PickfordG
  2. 34M. RöhlD
  3. 6J. TarkowskiD
  4. 15J. O'BrienD
  5. 16V. MykolenkoD
  6. 45H. ArmstrongM
  7. 37J. GarnerM
  8. 22B. JohnsonM
  9. 8K. Dewsbury-HallM
  10. 19Tyrique GeorgeM
  11. 11T. BarryF

Substitutes

  1. 58B. GrahamF
  2. 12M. TraversG
  3. 31T. KingG
  4. 2A. Maitland-NilesM
  5. 5M. KeaneD
  6. 20T. DiblingF
  7. 23C. NørgaardM
  8. 24C. AlcarazM
  9. 30H. HackneyM

Coach: D. Moyes

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.02 – 0.71
0.5 goalsOver93.5%Under6.5%
1.5 goalsOver75.7%Under24.3%
2.5 goalsOver51.4%Under48.6%
3.5 goalsOver29.3%Under70.7%
4.5 goalsOver14.2%Under85.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

ArsenalEverton
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
74%Defence26%
50%Head to head50%
74%Expected goals26%
85%Overall15%

Last matches

Newest first

Premier League table

Premier League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Manchester City8+1121
2Arsenal8+821
3Brighton8+1616
4Liverpool8+315
5Chelsea8+213
6Brentford8+511
7Leeds8+311
8Newcastle8-211
9Aston Villa8-311
10Hull City8+110
11Everton8-110
12Ipswich8-410
13Bournemouth8-19
14Tottenham8-29
15Fulham8-28
16Manchester United8-37
17Crystal Palace8-107
18Nottingham Forest8-46
19Coventry8-96
20Sunderland8-85
See full table ›

Top scorers

Premier League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1E. HaalandManchester City89
2A. IsakLiverpool76
3João PedroChelsea65
4M. TavernierBournemouth85
5R. CherkiManchester City74

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatArsenalEverton
Played31
Wins20
Draws10
Losses01
Goals for (avg)20
Goals against (avg)0.72
Clean sheets20
Failed to score01
Best win streak20

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.52/31/1
Over 2.52/30/1
Over 3.51/30/1
BTTS – yes1/30/1

Match preview

Arsenal host Everton in the Premier League (Regular Season - 8) at Emirates Stadium, London, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Arsenal clear favourites, giving Arsenal a 68% chance of winning, 20% for the draw and 12% for Everton. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Arsenal have taken 7 points from their last 3 games (2W 1D 0L). Everton have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 and a 44% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England Premier League
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
Emirates Stadium, London

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Arsenal vs Everton?

Arsenal vs Everton kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Arsenal vs Everton in?

The match is in the England Premier League.

Where are Arsenal and Everton in the table?

Arsenal are 2nd and Everton are 11th in the Premier League.

Who will win Arsenal vs Everton?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Arsenal 68%, draw 20%, Everton 12%.

Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Everton?

We estimate a 44% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs Everton?

We estimate a 51% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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