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AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town prediction

AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town prediction for the League One on 20 Oct 2026: Mansfield Town or draw (65%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Tuesday20October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
League One · Regular Season - 12
AFC WimbledonMansfield Town
0 - 3Full time · Tue 20 OctHT 0-2
Plough Lane, Wimbledon

Match events

AFC WimbledonMansfield Town
  1. 22'Goal: Michael SmithAssist: Stephen McLaughlin
  2. 27'Goal: Michael SmithAssist: Stephen McLaughlin
  3. 42'Yellow card: Adedeji OshilajaFoul
  4. Substitution: Andy YiadomOff: Harry Cornick45'
  5. 45'Substitution: George AbbottOff: Rhys Oates
  6. Substitution: Callum MaycockOff: James Tilley45'
  7. Yellow card: Andy YiadomFoul45+1'

HT 0-2

  1. 61'Substitution: Nathan Daniel Moriah-WelshOff: Kyle Knoyle
  2. Yellow card: Ryan JohnsonFoul69'
  3. 73'Goal: Jonathan RussellAssist: Michael Smith
  4. 74'Substitution: Stephen McLaughlinOff: Frazer Blake-Tracy
  5. Substitution: Freddie SimmondsOff: Ollie Harrison74'
  6. Substitution: Zack NelsonOff: Steven Sessegnon81'
  7. 81'Substitution: Liam ThompsonOff: Regan·Hendry
  8. 82'Substitution: Louis ReedOff: George Maris

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Mansfield Town or draw

Bet365 1.40

65%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-3

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · AFC Wimbledon35%
Fair odds 2.86
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Mansfield Town38%
Fair odds 2.63

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 0.58Expected goals (xG)1.99
  • 12Total shots13
  • 2Shots on target6
  • 8Shots off target4
  • 2Blocked shots3
  • 4Shots inside the box11
  • 9Corners6
  • 2Offsides0
  • 9Fouls11
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves2
  • 393Passes353
  • 305Accurate passes271

Line-ups

AFC Wimbledon

5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 39J. BursikG
  2. 17A. YiadomD
  3. 15F. SimmondsD
  4. 6R. JohnsonD
  5. 3S. SeddonD
  6. 29A. SasuD
  7. 8C. MaycockM
  8. 10Z. NelsonM
  9. 12A. SmithM
  10. 21M. HippolyteM
  11. 9J. StockleyF

Substitutes

  1. 23H. CornickF
  2. 5O. HarrisonM
  3. 20J. McDonnellG
  4. 2S. SessegnonD
  5. 7J. TilleyF
  6. 25S. GomaD
  7. 22R. HoranD

Coach: J. Jackson

Mansfield Town

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1L. RobertsG
  2. 9J. BoweryD
  3. 23A. OshilajaD
  4. 5R. SweeneyD
  5. 25L. ReedM
  6. 22N. Moriah-WelshM
  7. 33G. AbbottM
  8. 16L. ThompsonM
  9. 3S. McLaughlinM
  10. 14M. SmithF
  11. 13J. RussellF

Substitutes

  1. 19T. RobertsF
  2. 18R. OatesF
  3. 10G. MarisM
  4. 2K. KnoyleD
  5. 24R. HendryM
  6. 8L. BoltonD
  7. 20F. Blake-TracyD

Coach: N. Clough

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.30 – 1.37
0.5 goalsOver93.1%Under6.9%
1.5 goalsOver74.6%Under25.4%
2.5 goalsOver49.9%Under50.1%
3.5 goalsOver27.9%Under72.1%
4.5 goalsOver13.3%Under86.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

AFC WimbledonMansfield Town
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
17%Defence83%
50%Head to head50%
49%Expected goals51%
48%Overall52%

Last matches

Newest first
AFC Wimbledon0W 0D 1L · last 1
LSheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon17 Oct 2026 · League One5-0
Mansfield Town0W 1D 0L · last 1
DMansfield Town vs Oxford United15 Oct 2026 · League One1-1

League One table

League One table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday12+819
10Leicester13+319
11Milton Keynes Dons13+218
12Mansfield Town12+218
13Wycombe13-218
14Leyton Orient13+517
15Burton Albion14-317
16Stevenage12+416
17Notts County12-114
18AFC Wimbledon13-1213
19Doncaster13-812
20Blackpool11-411
21Wigan13-1110
22Peterborough13-1210
23Barnsley12-109
24Bromley13-209
See full table ›

Top scorers

League One top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1A. CollinsMilton Keynes Dons1313
2K. WoottonStockport County149
3J. TaylorHuddersfield129
4J. MarriottReading88
5D. Sanches FernandesHuddersfield137

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAFC WimbledonMansfield Town
Played11
Wins00
Draws01
Losses10
Goals for (avg)01
Goals against (avg)51
Clean sheets00
Failed to score10
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.51/10/1
Over 3.51/10/1
BTTS – yes0/11/1

Match preview

AFC Wimbledon host Mansfield Town in the League One (Regular Season - 12) at Plough Lane, Wimbledon, with kick-off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Mansfield Town narrow favourites, giving AFC Wimbledon a 35% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 38% for Mansfield Town. Our tip is: Mansfield Town or draw.

AFC Wimbledon have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Mansfield Town have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England League One
Date
Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
Plough Lane, Wimbledon

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?

AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town kicks off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town in?

The match is in the England League One.

Where are AFC Wimbledon and Mansfield Town in the table?

AFC Wimbledon are 18th and Mansfield Town are 12th in the League One.

Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?

Our prediction is Mansfield Town or draw. Win probabilities: AFC Wimbledon 35%, draw 27%, Mansfield Town 38%.

Will both teams score in AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?

We estimate a 50% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More League One on Tue 20 Oct

FTBlackpool 2-0 Milton Keynes Dons12 ✓FTDoncaster 0-2 Stockport CountyX2 ✓FTNotts County 2-0 Sheffield WednesdayX2 ✗FTOxford United 2-1 Wigan1X ✓FTLuton 2-1 Barnsley1 ✓FTBurton Albion 0-0 BradfordX2 ✓FTCambridge United 2-2 WycombeOver 1.5 ✓FTBromley 0-4 LeicesterX2 ✓FTHuddersfield 4-1 Peterborough1 ✓FTStevenage 3-0 PlymouthX2 ✗

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