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Mansfield Town vs Oxford United prediction

Mansfield Town vs Oxford United prediction for the League One on 15 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (80%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday15October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
League One · Regular Season - 11
Mansfield TownNo recent gamesOxford UnitedNo recent games
1 - 1Full time · Thu 15 OctHT 0-1
Field Mill, Mansfield

Match events

Mansfield TownOxford United
  1. Yellow card: Nathan Daniel Moriah-WelshFoul14'
  2. 22'Yellow card: Peter KiosoFoul
  3. 34'Goal: Luka LynchAssist: Siriki Dembele
  4. Substitution: George AbbottOff: Stephen McLaughlin45'

HT 0-1

  1. Yellow card: Jonathan RussellFoul54'
  2. 59'Substitution: Louie SibleyOff: Gatlin O Donkor
  3. 59'Substitution: Luka LynchOff: Mo Missanga
  4. Substitution: Nathan Daniel Moriah-WelshOff: Tyler Roberts61'
  5. 72'Yellow card: Gatlin O DonkorTime Wasting
  6. Substitution: Jonathan RussellOff: Regan·Hendry73'
  7. Substitution: Ryan SweeneyOff: Frazer Blake-Tracy73'
  8. 75'Red card: Peter Kioso
  9. 77'Substitution: Mark HarrisOff: Jack Currie
  10. Substitution: Elliott HewittOff: George Maris79'
  11. 80'Substitution: Siriki DembeleOff: Sam Long
  12. Goal: Michael Smith82'
  13. 84'Red card: Gatlin O Donkor

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.20

80%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Mansfield Town40%
Fair odds 2.50
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Oxford United35%
Fair odds 2.86

Match statistics

  • 61%Possession39%
  • 3.53Expected goals (xG)0.83
  • 23Total shots7
  • 4Shots on target2
  • 10Shots off target2
  • 9Blocked shots3
  • 19Shots inside the box3
  • 11Corners3
  • 2Offsides0
  • 13Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards2
  • 1Goalkeeper saves3
  • 351Passes378
  • 256Accurate passes279

Line-ups

Mansfield Town

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1L. RobertsG
  2. 4E. HewittD
  3. 23A. OshilajaD
  4. 5R. SweeneyD
  5. 25L. ReedM
  6. 22N. Moriah-WelshM
  7. 13J. RussellM
  8. 33G. AbbottM
  9. 16L. ThompsonM
  10. 14M. SmithF
  11. 18R. OatesF

Substitutes

  1. 19T. RobertsF
  2. 3S. McLaughlinD
  3. 10G. MarisM
  4. 20F. Blake-TracyD
  5. 2K. KnoyleD
  6. 24R. HendryM
  7. 9J. BoweryD

Coach: N. Clough

Oxford United

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1J. CummingG
  2. 30P. KiosoD
  3. 6M. HelikD
  4. 3C. BrownD
  5. 15B. SpencerD
  6. 8C. BrannaganM
  7. 32L. SibleyM
  8. 20L. LynchM
  9. 4Kai AndrewsM
  10. 23S. DembéléM
  11. 9M. HarrisF

Substitutes

  1. 26J. CurrieD
  2. 13S. EastwoodG
  3. 11T. GoodrhamF
  4. 57M. MissangaF
  5. 19G. O'DonkorF
  6. 27L. SnowdenF
  7. 2S. LongD

Coach: A. Ramsey

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.55 – 1.43
0.5 goalsOver94.9%Under5.1%
1.5 goalsOver79.8%Under20.2%
2.5 goalsOver57.2%Under42.8%
3.5 goalsOver34.8%Under65.2%
4.5 goalsOver18.1%Under81.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Mansfield TownOxford United
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
52%Expected goals48%
53%Overall47%

Last matches

Newest first
Mansfield Town0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Oxford United0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

League One table

League One table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
11Milton Keynes Dons13+218
12Mansfield Town12+218
13Wycombe13-218
14Leyton Orient13+517
15Burton Albion14-317
16Stevenage12+416
17Notts County12-114
18AFC Wimbledon13-1213
19Blackpool12-412
20Doncaster13-812
21Wigan13-1110
22Peterborough13-1210
23Barnsley12-109
24Bromley13-209
See full table ›

Top scorers

League One top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1A. CollinsMilton Keynes Dons1313
2K. WoottonStockport County149
3J. TaylorHuddersfield129
4J. MarriottReading88
5D. Sanches FernandesHuddersfield137

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatMansfield TownOxford United
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Mansfield Town host Oxford United in the League One (Regular Season - 11) at Field Mill, Mansfield, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Mansfield Town slight favourites, giving Mansfield Town a 40% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 35% for Oxford United. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England League One
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Field Mill, Mansfield

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Mansfield Town vs Oxford United?

Mansfield Town vs Oxford United kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Mansfield Town vs Oxford United in?

The match is in the England League One.

Where are Mansfield Town and Oxford United in the table?

Mansfield Town are 12th and Oxford United are 3rd in the League One.

Who will win Mansfield Town vs Oxford United?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Mansfield Town 40%, draw 25%, Oxford United 35%.

Will both teams score in Mansfield Town vs Oxford United?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mansfield Town vs Oxford United?

We estimate a 57% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

All football predictions for today