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Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa prediction

Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa prediction for the Ekstraklasa on 24 Oct 2026: Wisla Krakow or draw (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday24October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 12
Wisla KrakowRaków Częstochowa
2 - 1Full time · Sat 24 OctHT 0-0
Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Krakow

Match events

Wisla KrakowRaków Częstochowa
  1. VAR: Julius ErtlthalerPenalty cancelledVAR8'
  2. 45'Substitution: Fran TudorOff: Karol Struski
  3. 45'Substitution: Tomasz PienkoOff: Mahir Emreli

HT 0-0

  1. Goal: Julius ErtlthalerAssist: Julian Lelieveld53'
  2. 63'Substitution: Marko BulatOff: Vladyslav Kochergin
  3. 63'Substitution: Jakub JendrykaOff: Jean Carlos
  4. Substitution: Julian LelieveldOff: Marko Bozic66'
  5. Substitution: Thody Elie YouanOff: Frederico Duarte66'
  6. Substitution: James IgbekemeOff: Víctor Meseguer66'
  7. 72'VARVAR: Lamine Diaby FadigaGoal cancelled
  8. 81'Yellow card: Jerzy NapierajDissent
  9. 82'VARVAR: Lamine Diaby FadigaPenalty confirmed
  10. 84'Penalty goal: Lamine Diaby Fadiga (pen)
  11. 84'Yellow card: Lamine Diaby Fadiga
  12. 90+4'Substitution: Erick OtienoOff: Nils Zätterström
  13. Goal: Kacper DudaAssist: Alan Uryga90+10'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Wisla Krakow or draw

Bet365 1.22

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · Wisla Krakow54%
Fair odds 1.85
X · Draw23%
Fair odds 4.35
2 · Raków Częstochowa23%
Fair odds 4.35

Match statistics

  • 58%Possession42%
  • 0.94Expected goals (xG)1.98
  • 13Total shots13
  • 8Shots on target2
  • 3Shots off target7
  • 2Blocked shots4
  • 8Shots inside the box10
  • 1Corners4
  • 2Offsides2
  • 13Fouls7
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves6
  • 535Passes375
  • 440Accurate passes305

Line-ups

Wisla Krakow

4-4-1-1

Starting XI

  1. 1M. ŁubikG
  2. 34R. GigerD
  3. 6A. UrygaD
  4. 29D. GrujčićD
  5. 52J. KrzyżanowskiD
  6. 10Frederico DuarteM
  7. 41K. DudaM
  8. 12J. IgbekemeM
  9. 2J. LelieveldM
  10. 7J. ErtlthalerM
  11. 9Ángel RodadoF

Substitutes

  1. 17M. BožićM
  2. 97W. BiedrzyckiD
  3. 8Marc CarbóM
  4. 13M. MaisonneuveD
  5. 23Víctor MeseguerM
  6. 4R. MikulecD
  7. 93B. NeugebauerG
  8. 27É. YouanF

Coach: M. Jop

Raków Częstochowa

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 1K. TrelowskiG
  2. 7F. TudorD
  3. 25B. RacovițanD
  4. 4S. SvarnasD
  5. 20Jean CarlosM
  6. 6O. RepkaM
  7. 5M. BulatM
  8. 26E. OtienoM
  9. 80L. Diaby-FadigaF
  10. 9P. MakuchF
  11. 21T. PieńkoF

Substitutes

  1. 39I. BrusbergF
  2. 17J. JendrykaM
  3. 71T. KarićG
  4. 10V. KocherginM
  5. 15O. KwiatkowskiM
  6. 2J. NapierajD
  7. 23K. StruskiM
  8. 3A. BrorssonD
  9. 19N. ZätterströmD
  10. 29W. ŻołneczkoG
  11. 99Adam BasseF
  12. 11M. EmreliF

Coach: Dawid Szwarga

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.93 – 1.21
0.5 goalsOver95.7%Under4.3%
1.5 goalsOver82.1%Under17.9%
2.5 goalsOver60.7%Under39.3%
3.5 goalsOver38.4%Under61.6%
4.5 goalsOver20.9%Under79.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Wisla KrakowRaków Częstochowa
25%Form75%
0%Attack100%
83%Defence17%
50%Head to head50%
61%Expected goals39%
70%Overall30%

Last matches

Newest first
Wisla Krakow0W 1D 0L · last 1
DWidzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow16 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa0-0
Raków Częstochowa1W 0D 0L · last 1
WWieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa16 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa1-2

Ekstraklasa table

Ekstraklasa table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Lech Poznan11+1928
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin11+1024
5Piast Gliwice13+421
6Wisla Krakow12+421
7Zaglebie Lubin12019
8GKS Katowice12+518
9Korona Kielce12-418
10Motor Lublin13-316
11Jagiellonia11-315
12Wisla Plock12-615
13Cracovia Krakow13-612
14Widzew Łódź12-111
15Slask Wroclaw12-69
16Wieczysta Kraków12-78
17Radomiak Radom12-168
18Raków Częstochowa12-126
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ekstraklasa top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Jordi SánchezPogon Szczecin129
2I. ShkurinGKS Katowice128
3Pablo RodríguezLech Poznan116
4K. CzubakMotor Lublin126
5P. MakuchRaków Częstochowa126

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatWisla KrakowRaków Częstochowa
Played11
Wins01
Draws10
Losses00
Goals for (avg)02
Goals against (avg)01
Clean sheets10
Failed to score10
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/11/1
Over 2.50/11/1
Over 3.50/10/1
BTTS – yes0/11/1

Match preview

Wisla Krakow host Raków Częstochowa in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 12) at Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Krakow, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 19:15 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Wisla Krakow favourites, giving Wisla Krakow a 54% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 23% for Raków Częstochowa. Our tip is: Wisla Krakow or draw.

Wisla Krakow have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L). Raków Częstochowa have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 and a 61% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Poland Ekstraklasa
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 19:15 WAT
Venue
Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Krakow

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?

Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 19:15 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa in?

The match is in the Poland Ekstraklasa.

Where are Wisla Krakow and Raków Częstochowa in the table?

Wisla Krakow are 6th and Raków Częstochowa are 18th in the Ekstraklasa.

Who will win Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?

Our prediction is Wisla Krakow or draw. Win probabilities: Wisla Krakow 54%, draw 23%, Raków Częstochowa 23%.

Will both teams score in Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?

We estimate a 61% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?

We estimate a 61% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ekstraklasa on Sat 24 Oct

FTPiast Gliwice 3-1 Cracovia KrakowOver 1.5 ✓FTKorona Kielce 1-0 GKS Katowice1X ✓FTPogon Szczecin 4-3 Radomiak Radom1 ✓

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