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Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa prediction

Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa prediction for the Ekstraklasa on 16 Oct 2026: Wieczysta Kraków or draw (73%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana

Match events

Wieczysta KrakówRaków Częstochowa
  1. 32'Yellow card: Bogdan RacovitanDissent

HT 0-0

  1. 56'Yellow card: Stratos SvarnasFoul
  2. Substitution: José Antonio de la Rosa GarridoOff: Lisandro Semedo59'
  3. 62'Substitution: Isak BrusbergOff: Lamine Diaby Fadiga
  4. 62'Substitution: Tomasz PienkoOff: Jean Carlos
  5. Yellow card: Duje DujmovicFoul63'
  6. Yellow card: Antonio MilicFoul65'
  7. Yellow card: Kamil PestkaFoul67'
  8. Goal: Lisandro SemedoAssist: Efthymios Koulouris69'
  9. 76'VARVAR: Oskar RepkaPenalty confirmed
  10. 79'Penalty goal: Lamine Diaby Fadiga (pen)
  11. Substitution: Kamil PestkaOff: Matúš Vojtko79'
  12. Substitution: Efthymios KoulourisOff: Christophe Lungoyi79'
  13. 87'Substitution: Mahir EmreliOff: Adam Basse
  14. Substitution: Bartosz BialekOff: Lucas Piazón87'
  15. Substitution: Karol FilaOff: Kamil Dankowski87'
  16. 88'Goal: Lamine Diaby FadigaAssist: Patryk Makuch
  17. 90+1'Substitution: Erick OtienoOff: Nils Zätterström
  18. 90+1'Substitution: Patryk MakuchOff: Arvid Brorsson

Our verdict

1X ✗

Wieczysta Kraków or draw

Bet365 1.33

73%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-2

Expected goals3.2

Win probability

1 · Wieczysta Kraków50%
Fair odds 2.00
X · Draw23%
Fair odds 4.35
2 · Raków Częstochowa27%
Fair odds 3.70

Match statistics

  • 48%Possession52%
  • 1.57Expected goals (xG)2.70
  • 14Total shots23
  • 3Shots on target13
  • 8Shots off target7
  • 3Blocked shots3
  • 9Shots inside the box13
  • 5Corners4
  • 0Offsides2
  • 9Fouls10
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 11Goalkeeper saves2
  • 530Passes479
  • 457Accurate passes402

Line-ups

Wieczysta Kraków

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 77M. KochalskiG
  2. 15A. ĐermanovićD
  3. 16A. MilićD
  4. 55D. DujmovićD
  5. 4K. FilaM
  6. 10T. ChristensenM
  7. 20M. MaigaardM
  8. 33K. PestkaM
  9. 19José de la RosaF
  10. 9E. KoulourisF
  11. 12Lucas PiazónF

Substitutes

  1. 17K. DankowskiD
  2. 21B. BiałekF
  3. 11N. KneževićM
  4. 8B. LedermanM
  5. 88C. LungoyiF
  6. 23Miki VillarM
  7. 1A. MikułkoG
  8. 97T. MrasM
  9. 70P. PušićM
  10. 7Lisandro SemedoF
  11. 27M. VojtkoD
  12. 13K. ZagrodzkiD

Coach: Ž. Kopić

Raków Częstochowa

4-4-1-1

Starting XI

  1. 1K. TrelowskiG
  2. 7F. TudorD
  3. 25B. RacovițanD
  4. 4S. SvarnasD
  5. 26E. OtienoD
  6. 11M. EmreliM
  7. 23K. StruskiM
  8. 6O. RepkaM
  9. 21T. PieńkoM
  10. 39I. BrusbergM
  11. 9P. MakuchF

Substitutes

  1. 3A. BrorssonD
  2. 29W. ŻołneczkoG
  3. 19N. ZätterströmD
  4. 20Jean CarlosM
  5. 36M. PerovićM
  6. 44B. MirčetićM
  7. 15O. KwiatkowskiM
  8. 10V. KocherginM
  9. 71T. KarićG
  10. 80L. Diaby-FadigaM
  11. 99Adam BasseF
  12. 2J. NapierajD

Coach: T. Kaczmarek

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.85 – 1.31
0.5 goalsOver95.8%Under4.2%
1.5 goalsOver82.4%Under17.6%
2.5 goalsOver61.2%Under38.8%
3.5 goalsOver38.9%Under61.1%
4.5 goalsOver21.2%Under78.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Wieczysta KrakówRaków Częstochowa
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
59%Expected goals41%
65%Overall35%

Last matches

Newest first
Wieczysta Kraków0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Raków Częstochowa0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Ekstraklasa table

Ekstraklasa table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin11+1024
5GKS Katowice13+621
6Piast Gliwice13+421
7Wisla Krakow13+221
8Zaglebie Lubin12019
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce12-418
11Motor Lublin13-316
12Wisla Plock12-615
13Cracovia Krakow13-612
14Widzew Łódź13-211
15Slask Wroclaw12-69
16Wieczysta Kraków13-98
17Radomiak Radom12-168
18Raków Częstochowa12-126
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ekstraklasa top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Jordi SánchezPogon Szczecin129
2I. ShkurinGKS Katowice138
3B. NowakGKS Katowice137
4Pablo RodríguezLech Poznan126
5P. WålemarkLech Poznan126

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatWieczysta KrakówRaków Częstochowa
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Wieczysta Kraków host Raków Częstochowa in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 11) at Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 17:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Wieczysta Kraków favourites, giving Wieczysta Kraków a 50% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 27% for Raków Częstochowa. Our tip is: Wieczysta Kraków or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 and a 62% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Poland Ekstraklasa
Date
Friday, 16 October 2026, 17:00 WAT
Venue
Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa?

Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 17:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa in?

The match is in the Poland Ekstraklasa.

Where are Wieczysta Kraków and Raków Częstochowa in the table?

Wieczysta Kraków are 16th and Raków Częstochowa are 18th in the Ekstraklasa.

Who will win Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa?

Our prediction is Wieczysta Kraków or draw. Win probabilities: Wieczysta Kraków 50%, draw 23%, Raków Częstochowa 27%.

Will both teams score in Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa?

We estimate a 62% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa?

We estimate a 61% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ekstraklasa on Fri 16 Oct

FTWidzew Łódź 0-0 Wisla KrakowOver 1.5 ✗

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