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Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom prediction

Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom prediction for the Ekstraklasa on 24 Oct 2026: Pogon Szczecin to win (57%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday24October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 12
Pogon SzczecinNo recent gamesRadomiak Radom
4 - 3Full time · Sat 24 OctHT 2-2
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin

Match events

Pogon SzczecinRadomiak Radom
  1. Yellow card: Maciej WojciechowskiFoul2'
  2. 10'Penalty goal: Roberto Oliveira Alves (pen)
  3. Goal: Dimitrios Keramitsis17'
  4. 25'Goal: Christos Donis
  5. Substitution: Benjamin MendyOff: Lukas Willen37'
  6. Yellow card: Dimitrios KeramitsisFoul41'
  7. Substitution: Jan BieganskiOff: Kamil Grosicki45'
  8. Goal: Alessandro Riccio45+3'

HT 2-2

  1. Goal: Kamil GrosickiAssist: Paul Omo Mukairu49'
  2. Goal: Kamil Grosicki55'
  3. 60'Substitution: Bi Irié Fernand GouréOff: Guilherme Luiz
  4. 60'Substitution: Rafał WolskiOff: Lucas Lima Linhares
  5. Substitution: Maciej WojciechowskiOff: Kellyn Acosta64'
  6. 73'Substitution: Christos DonisOff: Ibrahima Camará
  7. 73'Substitution: Ronaldo LumungoOff: Che Nunnely
  8. 74'Goal: Jan GrzesikAssist: Bi Irié Fernand Gouré
  9. Substitution: Paul Omo MukairuOff: Isaiah·Eichie78'
  10. Substitution: Darko ChurlinovOff: Natan Lawa78'
  11. 85'VARVAR: Bi Irié Fernand GouréGoal cancelled
  12. 89'VARVAR: Ibrahima CamaráCard upgrade confirmed
  13. 89'Red card: Ibrahima CamaráViolent Conduct
  14. 90+7'Substitution: Abdoul TapsobaOff: Conrado

Our verdict

1 ✓

Pogon Szczecin to win

Bet365 1.70

57%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-3

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Pogon Szczecin57%
Fair odds 1.75
X · Draw23%
Fair odds 4.35
2 · Radomiak Radom20%
Fair odds 5.00

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 1.06Expected goals (xG)1.99
  • 9Total shots16
  • 5Shots on target5
  • 3Shots off target8
  • 1Blocked shots3
  • 6Shots inside the box10
  • 2Corners7
  • 3Offsides2
  • 14Fouls7
  • 2Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards1
  • 2Goalkeeper saves1
  • 460Passes398
  • 397Accurate passes333

Line-ups

Pogon Szczecin

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 77V. CojocaruG
  2. 4A. RiccioD
  3. 13D. KeramitsisD
  4. 41A. SzalaiD
  5. 23B. MendyD
  6. 16P. DziczekM
  7. 6J. BiegańskiM
  8. 21D. ChurlinovM
  9. 35M. WojciechowskiM
  10. 18P. MukairuM
  11. 22Jordi SánchezF

Substitutes

  1. 3K. AcostaM
  2. 10F. ČuićF
  3. 30J. CzaplinskiM
  4. 98M. DabrowskiG
  5. 11K. GrosickiM
  6. 47N. LawaM
  7. 17J. NsameF
  8. 29L. WillenD
  9. 9R. MolnárF
  10. 31Nikolaos Nestoras BotisG
  11. 20Isaiah·EichieD

Coach: Óscar García

Radomiak Radom

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1F. MajchrowiczG
  2. 24Z. OuattaraD
  3. 14S. KingueD
  4. 72F. KoperskiD
  5. 97ConradoD
  6. 10R. AlvesM
  7. 77C. DonisM
  8. 13J. GrzesikM
  9. 27R. WolskiM
  10. 90Ronaldo AfonsoM
  11. 80Guilherme LuizF

Substitutes

  1. 99B. GradeckiG
  2. 23K. KarasekM
  3. 82LuquinhasM
  4. 18ManuF
  5. 7C. NunnelyF
  6. 3K. SzcześniakD
  7. 15A. TapsobaF
  8. 11F. GouréF
  9. 26Adrián DiéguezD
  10. 8I. CamaráM
  11. 31Cezary WołowiecG

Coach: John Carver

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.89 – 1.03
0.5 goalsOver94.6%Under5.4%
1.5 goalsOver78.9%Under21.1%
2.5 goalsOver55.9%Under44.1%
3.5 goalsOver33.5%Under66.5%
4.5 goalsOver17.1%Under82.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Pogon SzczecinRadomiak Radom
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
83%Defence17%
50%Head to head50%
65%Expected goals35%
74%Overall26%

Last matches

Newest first
Pogon Szczecin0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Radomiak Radom0W 0D 1L · last 1
LWisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom19 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa1-0

Ekstraklasa table

Ekstraklasa table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin11+1024
5GKS Katowice13+621
6Piast Gliwice13+421
7Wisla Krakow13+221
8Zaglebie Lubin12019
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce12-418
11Motor Lublin13-316
12Wisla Plock12-615
13Cracovia Krakow13-612
14Widzew Łódź13-211
15Slask Wroclaw12-69
16Wieczysta Kraków13-98
17Radomiak Radom12-168
18Raków Częstochowa12-126
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ekstraklasa top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Jordi SánchezPogon Szczecin129
2I. ShkurinGKS Katowice138
3B. NowakGKS Katowice137
4Pablo RodríguezLech Poznan126
5P. WålemarkLech Poznan126

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatPogon SzczecinRadomiak Radom
Played01
Wins00
Draws00
Losses01
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)01
Clean sheets00
Failed to score01
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/00/1
Over 2.50/00/1
Over 3.50/00/1
BTTS – yes0/00/1

Match preview

Pogon Szczecin host Radomiak Radom in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 12) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 16:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Pogon Szczecin favourites, giving Pogon Szczecin a 57% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 20% for Radomiak Radom. Our tip is: Pogon Szczecin to win.

Radomiak Radom have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Poland Ekstraklasa
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 16:30 WAT
Venue
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?

Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 16:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom in?

The match is in the Poland Ekstraklasa.

Where are Pogon Szczecin and Radomiak Radom in the table?

Pogon Szczecin are 4th and Radomiak Radom are 17th in the Ekstraklasa.

Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?

Our prediction is Pogon Szczecin to win. Win probabilities: Pogon Szczecin 57%, draw 23%, Radomiak Radom 20%.

Will both teams score in Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?

We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ekstraklasa on Sat 24 Oct

FTPiast Gliwice 3-1 Cracovia KrakowOver 1.5 ✓FTKorona Kielce 1-0 GKS Katowice1X ✓FTWisla Krakow 2-1 Raków Częstochowa1X ✓

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