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Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle prediction

Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle prediction for the Eredivisie on 24 Oct 2026: Utrecht to win (56%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday24October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 10
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
1 - 1Full time · Sat 24 OctHT 0-0
Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht

Match events

UtrechtPEC Zwolle
  1. Yellow card: Oualid AgougilFoul26'
  2. 45'Substitution: Dylan MbayoOff: Elias Sörensen

HT 0-0

  1. Substitution: Niklas VesterlundOff: Adrian Blake62'
  2. 71'Substitution: Damian van der HaarOff: Jan Burger
  3. 72'Goal: Elias SörensenAssist: Thijs Oosting
  4. Substitution: Yoann CathlineOff: S. van Duijn74'
  5. Substitution: Artem StepanovOff: Ángel Alarcón74'
  6. 76'Yellow card: Gilles Van Der WalFoul
  7. 83'Substitution: Gilles Van Der WalOff: Koen Kostons
  8. Substitution: Siebe HoremansOff: Nordin Amrabat83'
  9. Substitution: Oualid AgougilOff: Davy Van Den Berg83'
  10. 87'Yellow card: Tobias SommerFoul
  11. Yellow card: Joris van OvereemFoul89'
  12. Goal: S. van Duijn90+1'

Our verdict

1 ✗

Utrecht to win

Bet365 1.62

56%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-1

Expected goals3.3

Win probability

1 · Utrecht56%
Fair odds 1.79
X · Draw22%
Fair odds 4.55
2 · PEC Zwolle22%
Fair odds 4.55

Match statistics

  • 60%Possession40%
  • 1.57Expected goals (xG)0.95
  • 22Total shots9
  • 5Shots on target5
  • 8Shots off target3
  • 9Blocked shots1
  • 14Shots inside the box7
  • 7Corners2
  • 2Offsides1
  • 11Fouls8
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves4
  • 510Passes344
  • 404Accurate passes253

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 22S. PadtG
  2. 2S. HoremansD
  3. 3M. DiddenD
  4. 5N. PanagiotouD
  5. 92A. ZagréD
  6. 8J. van OvereemM
  7. 38O. AgougilM
  8. 23N. VesterlundM
  9. 10Y. CathlineM
  10. 11Ángel AlarcónM
  11. 20D. de WitF

Substitutes

  1. 39N. AmrabatF
  2. 15A. BlakeF
  3. 31M. EppinkG
  4. 33K. GadellaaG
  5. 32P. KloosterboerD
  6. 18J. MedićD
  7. 6G. OfferhausD
  8. 21N. Ogidi NwankwoD
  9. 9Artem StepanovF
  10. 34D. van den BergM
  11. 17S. van DuijnF

Coach: A. Correia

PEC Zwolle

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1J. SchendelaarG
  2. 3O. AertssenD
  3. 28S. GravesD
  4. 24N. ViergeverD
  5. 33D. van der HaarD
  6. 30R. ThomasM
  7. 8T. SommerM
  8. 37Gilles van der WalM
  9. 25T. OostingM
  10. 11D. MbayoM
  11. 17S. van HooijdonkF

Substitutes

  1. 41D. VerduinG
  2. 4T. VelthuisD
  3. 9E. SørensenF
  4. 42Dylan RuwardD
  5. 20G. ReizigerM
  6. 26Jadiel Pereira da GamaM
  7. 7Y. NamliF
  8. 10K. KostonsF
  9. 34N. FichtingerM
  10. 16T. de GraaffG
  11. 6Jan BürgerD
  12. 22I. CissokoF

Coach: Henry van der Vegt

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.07 – 1.24
0.5 goalsOver96.3%Under3.7%
1.5 goalsOver84.3%Under15.7%
2.5 goalsOver64.3%Under35.7%
3.5 goalsOver42.2%Under57.8%
4.5 goalsOver23.9%Under76.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

UtrechtPEC Zwolle
50%Form50%
33%Attack67%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
63%Expected goals37%
72%Overall28%

Last matches

Newest first
Utrecht1W 0D 0L · last 1
WTwente vs Utrecht18 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie1-2
PEC Zwolle1W 0D 0L · last 1
WPEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles18 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie4-1

Eredivisie table

Eredivisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Feyenoord11+2125
2Ajax11+1724
3PSV Eindhoven11+2223
4Twente11+1823
5AZ Alkmaar11+720
6Fortuna Sittard11019
7Heerenveen11+618
8Groningen11+215
9Cambuur11+115
10GO Ahead Eagles11-414
11Sparta Rotterdam11-612
12Utrecht11-1212
13NEC Nijmegen11-211
14PEC Zwolle11-1111
15Excelsior11-1211
16Telstar11-79
17ADO Den Haag11-116
18Willem II11-292
See full table ›

Top scorers

Eredivisie top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles118
2B. WillumssonGroningen118
3W. WeghorstTwente118
4M. ZonneveldSparta Rotterdam117
5G. TilPSV Eindhoven117

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatUtrechtPEC Zwolle
Played11
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)24
Goals against (avg)11
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.51/11/1
Over 3.50/11/1
BTTS – yes1/11/1

Match preview

Utrecht host PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 10) at Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 15:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Utrecht favourites, giving Utrecht a 56% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 22% for PEC Zwolle. Our tip is: Utrecht to win.

Utrecht have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). PEC Zwolle have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 64% chance of over 2.5 and a 63% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eredivisie
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 15:30 WAT
Venue
Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?

Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 15:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eredivisie.

Where are Utrecht and PEC Zwolle in the table?

Utrecht are 12th and PEC Zwolle are 14th in the Eredivisie.

Who will win Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?

Our prediction is Utrecht to win. Win probabilities: Utrecht 56%, draw 22%, PEC Zwolle 22%.

Will both teams score in Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?

We estimate a 63% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?

We estimate a 64% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eredivisie on Sat 24 Oct

FTWillem II 1-6 CambuurX2 ✓FTADO Den Haag 2-3 HeerenveenX2 ✓

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