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Osasuna vs Racing Santander prediction

Osasuna vs Racing Santander prediction for the La Liga on 18 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (82%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona

Match events

OsasunaRacing Santander
  1. VAR: Jonathan DubasinGoal cancelledVAR5'
  2. 6'Yellow card: Alvaro MantillaDissent
  3. Penalty goal: Ante Budimir (pen)9'
  4. Yellow card: Valentin RosierFoul28'
  5. 45'Substitution: Andrés MartínOff: André Almeida

HT 1-0

  1. 51'Yellow card: Jorge Salinas ViaderoFoul
  2. Yellow card: Ante BudimirFoul60'
  3. Substitution: Asier OsambelaOff: Moi Gómez67'
  4. Substitution: Iker Muñoz CamerosOff: Lucas Torró67'
  5. 69'Substitution: Pablo GarcíaOff: Sergio Canales
  6. Substitution: Raul MoroOff: Jonathan Dubasin76'
  7. Substitution: Valentin RosierOff: Íñigo Arguibide76'
  8. 80'Yellow card: Iván MartínHandball
  9. 83'Substitution: Jorge Salinas ViaderoOff: Aarón Martin Caricol
  10. 83'Substitution: Asier VillalibreOff: Iván Martín
  11. Goal: Asier Osambela88'
  12. Substitution: Raul GarcíaOff: Rubén García90+1'
  13. 90+2'Substitution: Yassir ZabiriOff: Giorgi Guliashvili

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.20

82%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · Osasuna49%
Fair odds 2.04
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Racing Santander27%
Fair odds 3.70

Match statistics

  • 43%Possession57%
  • 3.42Expected goals (xG)0.31
  • 20Total shots9
  • 7Shots on target1
  • 9Shots off target5
  • 4Blocked shots3
  • 16Shots inside the box1
  • 7Corners4
  • 4Offsides2
  • 21Fouls9
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves5
  • 327Passes425
  • 245Accurate passes363

Line-ups

Osasuna

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 13Aitor FernándezG
  2. 19V. RosierD
  3. 24CatenaD
  4. 22F. BoyomoD
  5. 23Abel BretonesD
  6. 7MoncayolaM
  7. 8Iker MuñozM
  8. 16Moi GómezM
  9. 14Rubén GarcíaF
  10. 17A. BudimirF
  11. 21Jonathan DubasinF

Substitutes

  1. 11Kike BarjaF
  2. 48R. YeboahD
  3. 6Lucas TorróM
  4. 35U. SantosD
  5. 15Diego RicoD
  6. 31Rafa FernándezG
  7. 29Asier OsambelaM
  8. 27Íñigo ArguibideD
  9. 26Mauro EchegoyenM
  10. 9Raúl GarcíaF
  11. 1Sergio HerreraG
  12. 18Raul MoroF

Coach: Arrasate

Racing Santander

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 13Julen AgirrezabalaG
  2. 2Álvaro MantillaD
  3. 5Pablo RamónD
  4. 24J. BelocianD
  5. 17Jorge SalinasD
  6. 23Iván MartínM
  7. 18M. PratiM
  8. 20Sergio CanalesM
  9. 8André AlmeidaM
  10. 10Iñigo VicenteM
  11. 21M. ZabiriF

Substitutes

  1. 12Asier VillalibreF
  2. 9Juan Carlos AranaF
  3. 15Pablo GarcíaF
  4. 6Íñigo Sainz-MazaM
  5. 22Pedro FelipeD
  6. 11Andrés MartínF
  7. 3Aarón MartínD
  8. 19Iker LuqueF
  9. 7G. GuliashviliF
  10. 14M. GueyeM
  11. 16Facundo GonzálezD
  12. 31Laro GómezG

Coach: José Alberto López

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.81 – 1.28
0.5 goalsOver95.4%Under4.6%
1.5 goalsOver81.4%Under18.6%
2.5 goalsOver59.7%Under40.3%
3.5 goalsOver37.3%Under62.7%
4.5 goalsOver20.0%Under80.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

OsasunaRacing Santander
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
59%Expected goals41%
64%Overall36%

Last matches

Newest first
Osasuna0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Racing Santander0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

La Liga table

La Liga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Barcelona11+3430
2Atletico Madrid11+1428
3Real Madrid11+1827
4Real Betis11+323
5Real Sociedad11019
6Sevilla11-217
7Athletic Club10+415
8Villarreal11012
9Celta Vigo11012
10Alaves11-212
11Rayo Vallecano10-512
12Getafe11-812
13Deportivo La Coruna10011
14Espanyol11-111
15Osasuna10-1011
16Racing Santander11-1411
17Elche11-410
18Levante11-510
19Valencia11-99
20Malaga11-135
See full table ›

Top scorers

La Liga top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1RaphinhaBarcelona1015
2Kylian MbappéReal Madrid1011
3Lamine YamalBarcelona1110
4M. ZabiriRacing Santander108
5Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano117

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatOsasunaRacing Santander
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Osasuna host Racing Santander in the La Liga (Regular Season - 9) at Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 13:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Osasuna slight favourites, giving Osasuna a 49% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 27% for Racing Santander. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 and a 61% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Spain La Liga
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 13:00 WAT
Venue
Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Osasuna vs Racing Santander?

Osasuna vs Racing Santander kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 13:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Osasuna vs Racing Santander in?

The match is in the Spain La Liga.

Where are Osasuna and Racing Santander in the table?

Osasuna are 15th and Racing Santander are 16th in the La Liga.

Who will win Osasuna vs Racing Santander?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Osasuna 49%, draw 24%, Racing Santander 27%.

Will both teams score in Osasuna vs Racing Santander?

We estimate a 61% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Osasuna vs Racing Santander?

We estimate a 59% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More La Liga on Sun 18 Oct

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