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AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia prediction

AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia prediction for the 1. Division on 26 Oct 2026: Omonia Nicosia or draw (73%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Monday26October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
1. Division · Regular Season - 7
AEK LarnacaNo recent gamesOmonia Nicosia
2 - 0Full time · Mon 26 OctHT 0-0
AEK Arena, Larnaca

Match events

AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
  1. Yellow card: Yerson Chacón17'
  2. 35'Yellow card: Jean-Kevin Duverne
  3. 39'Substitution: Loïc NegoOff: giorgos viktoros
  4. Yellow card: Hrvoje Miličević45'
  5. Yellow card: Sven Kohler45+4'

HT 0-0

  1. Goal: Riad Bajić49'
  2. 55'Yellow card: Muamer Tanković
  3. Yellow card: Enric Saborit56'
  4. Substitution: Yerson ChacónOff: Kerim Mrabti65'
  5. Goal: Amor Layouni69'
  6. 70'Substitution: Mateo MarićOff: Luuk Brouwers
  7. 70'Substitution: Jaden Sean MontnorOff: Mihlali Mayambela
  8. 70'Substitution: Loïs DionyOff: Andronikos Kakoullis
  9. Substitution: Amor LayouniOff: Brian Olivan74'
  10. Substitution: Ivan pankovOff: Gus Ledes83'
  11. Substitution: Riad BajićOff: Atanas Ioan Trică-Balaci83'
  12. 86'Substitution: Muamer TankovićOff: Florin Tănase
  13. 90+5'Yellow card: giorgos viktoros
  14. Yellow card: Yellow card90+5'

Our verdict

X2 ✗

Omonia Nicosia or draw

Bet365 1.30

73%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-0

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · AEK Larnaca27%
Fair odds 3.70
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Omonia Nicosia46%
Fair odds 2.17

Match statistics

  • 45%Possession55%
  • 7Total shots16
  • 2Shots on target5
  • 5Shots off target11
  • 0Blocked shots0
  • 5Corners7
  • 5Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0

Line-ups

AEK Larnaca

Starting XI

  1. 92A. PaleariG
  2. 4Enric SaboritD
  3. 20J. RepasM
  4. 21MiramónD
  5. 15H. MiličevićM
  6. 7Gus LedesM
  7. 14A. LayouniF
  8. 23S. KöhlerM
  9. 22G. EkpoloD
  10. 10Y. ChacónF
  11. 11R. BajićF

Substitutes

  1. 99D. DemetriouG
  2. 44Z. AdoniD
  3. 37David GerasimouM
  4. 2P. IoannouD
  5. 25C. KyriakouM
  6. 28K. MrabtiM
  7. 29G. NaoumM
  8. 5Brian OlivánD
  9. 6I. PankovM
  10. 17K. PileasD
  11. 19A. TricăF
  12. 3M. van der HoornD

Coach: Rubén Sellés

Omonia Nicosia

Starting XI

  1. 74P. AndreouM
  2. 29J. BalkovecD
  3. 11EwandroM
  4. 99L. DionyF
  5. 93J. DuverneD
  6. 14M. MarićM
  7. 7J. MontnorF
  8. 77L. NégoD
  9. 37Ľ. ŠatkaD
  10. 22M. TankovicF
  11. 40FabianoG

Substitutes

  1. 44G. ViktorosD
  2. 17F. TănaseM
  3. 27S. SimičD
  4. 28M. OdubajoD
  5. 85A. NeophytouF
  6. 78Pantelis MichailG
  7. 21M. MayambelaF
  8. 90C. KonstantinidisD
  9. 1T. KaminskiG
  10. 9A. KakoullisF
  11. 20L. BrouwersM
  12. 92C. Panagiotis

Coach: H. Berg

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.16 – 1.57
0.5 goalsOver93.5%Under6.5%
1.5 goalsOver75.7%Under24.3%
2.5 goalsOver51.4%Under48.6%
3.5 goalsOver29.3%Under70.7%
4.5 goalsOver14.2%Under85.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
91%Defence9%
50%Head to head50%
42%Expected goals58%
37%Overall63%

Last matches

Newest first
AEK Larnaca0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Omonia Nicosia1W 1D 1L · last 3
LOmonia Nicosia vs Benfica22 Oct 2026 · Europa League1-4DOmonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos19 Oct 2026 · 1. Division2-2WCelje vs Omonia Nicosia15 Oct 2026 · Europa League0-3

1. Division table

1. Division table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1AEK Larnaca1+23
2Karmiotissa1+13
3Pafos202
4Apoel Nicosia101
5Nea Salamis101
6Olympiakos2-11
7Omonia Nicosia2-21
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
Played03
Wins01
Draws01
Losses01
Goals for (avg)02
Goals against (avg)02
Clean sheets01
Failed to score00
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.50/03/3
Over 2.50/03/3
Over 3.50/02/3
BTTS – yes0/02/3

Match preview

AEK Larnaca host Omonia Nicosia in the 1. Division (Regular Season - 7) at AEK Arena, Larnaca, with kick-off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 18:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Omonia Nicosia slight favourites, giving AEK Larnaca a 27% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 46% for Omonia Nicosia. Our tip is: Omonia Nicosia or draw.

Omonia Nicosia have taken 4 points from their last 3 games (1W 1D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Cyprus 1. Division
Date
Monday, 26 October 2026, 18:00 WAT
Venue
AEK Arena, Larnaca

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia?

AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia kicks off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 18:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia in?

The match is in the Cyprus 1. Division.

Where are AEK Larnaca and Omonia Nicosia in the table?

AEK Larnaca are 1st and Omonia Nicosia are 7th in the 1. Division.

Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia?

Our prediction is Omonia Nicosia or draw. Win probabilities: AEK Larnaca 27%, draw 27%, Omonia Nicosia 46%.

Will both teams score in AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia?

We estimate a 51% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More 1. Division on Mon 26 Oct

FTNea Salamis 0-0 Pafos2 ✗

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