Liga Portugal · Regular Season - 9
Match events
SC Braga- Goal: Miguel BaezaAssist: Song Min-kyu19'
- VAR: Miguel BaezaGoal confirmedVAR19'
- Yellow card: Chico GonçalvesFoul33'
- 45'Substitution: Gabriel Martínez AguileraOff: Gabriel Silva
- 45'Substitution: Tommy MarquésOff: João Moutinho
- 45'Substitution: Jean-Baptiste GorbyOff: Mario Dorgeles
HT 1-0
- 62'Substitution: Jovan MilosevicOff: Fra Navarro
- Substitution: Markus JensenOff: Deivison Souza Brito68'
- Substitution: Song Min-kyuOff: Matchoi Djaló68'
- 76'Substitution: Bright Arrey MbiOff: Denis Huseinbasic
- Substitution: Chiheb LabidiOff: Danel Dongmo78'
- Substitution: Pablo RuanOff: N. Kader78'
- 79'Yellow card: Sergio BarciaFoul
- Substitution: Daniel de Melo Araujo JuniorOff: Miguel Baeza86'
- Yellow card: Stavros GavrielFoul86'
- 90+4'Yellow card: Gustaf LagerbielkeFoul
Our verdict
SC Braga to win
Bet365 1.55
✗ This tip lost · final score 1-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 29%Possession71%
- 0.51Expected goals (xG)1.42
- 8Total shots20
- 4Shots on target2
- 3Shots off target9
- 1Blocked shots9
- 4Shots inside the box12
- 4Corners7
- 2Offsides3
- 18Fouls12
- 2Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 2Goalkeeper saves3
- 227Passes542
- 133Accurate passes476
Line-ups
Nacional
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1Renato BellucciG
- 7M. JensenD
- 33Francisco GonçalvesD
- 6Matheus DiasD
- 38Zé VitorD
- 21W. KokoloD
- 11S. GavrielM
- 15C. LabidiM
- 8Miguel BaezaM
- 12Song Min-KyuM
- 29N. KaderF
Substitutes
- 20Matchoi DjalóM
- 31D. DongmoM
- 14Ivanildo FernandesD
- 13João GonçalvesG
- 5José GomesD
- 17F. NavaF
- 9A. ObandoF
- 99Pablo RuanF
- 26Joel da SilvaM
- 2Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la CruzD
- 10Daniel JúniorM
- 88DeivisonM
Coach: João Henriques
SC Braga
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 31Bernardo FontesG
- 14G. LagerbielkeD
- 22Sergio BarciaD
- 26B. Arrey-MbiD
- 2Víctor GómezM
- 29J. GorbyM
- 16Tomás MarquésM
- 11Gabriel SilvaM
- 10Pau VictorM
- 21Ricardo HortaM
- 17J. MiloševićF
Substitutes
- 20M. DorgelesM
- 23D. HuseinbašićM
- 78João CarvalhoG
- 8João MoutinhoM
- 9Fran NavarroF
- 50Diego RodriguesM
- 34E. TıknazM
- 7Diogo TravassosD
- 6Vitor CarvalhoM
- 44A. BajramiD
- 37A. BarišićD
- 77Gabri MartínezF
Coach: Franclim Carvalho
Betting markets
Expected goals 0.88 – 1.82Half time / full time result. 1 = Nacional, X = draw, 2 = SC Braga.
Asian handicap applied to Nacional.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstNacional0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
SC Braga1W 0D 1L · last 2Liga Portugal table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +21 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 21 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Arouca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 | WWWDL |
| 5 | Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 18 | LWDWW |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 17 | WWWWW |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 | LWWDL |
| 8 | Moreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 | WWLDW |
| 9 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 | LWWWL |
| 10 | SC Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 10 | WLWDD |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 | LLLLD |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 | WLDLD |
| 14 | Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 7 | LWLLL |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 7 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 2 | LLLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  V. PavlidisBenfica | 9 | 9 |
| 2 |  L. SuárezSporting CP | 10 | 8 |
| 3 |  G. PrestianniBenfica | 9 | 6 |
| 4 |  Borja SainzFC Porto | 10 | 5 |
| 5 |  BarberoArouca | 9 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Nacional | SC Braga |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 2 |
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 0/0 | 2/2 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/0 | 1/2 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/0 | 0/2 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/0 | 0/2 |
Match preview
Nacional host SC Braga in the Liga Portugal (Regular Season - 9) at Estádio da Madeira, Funchal, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes SC Braga favourites, giving Nacional a 17% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 59% for SC Braga. Our tip is: SC Braga to win.
SC Braga have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 and a 49% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Portugal Liga Portugal
- Date
- Sunday, 25 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Venue
- Estádio da Madeira, Funchal
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Nacional vs SC Braga?
Nacional vs SC Braga kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Nacional vs SC Braga in?
The match is in the Portugal Liga Portugal.
Where are Nacional and SC Braga in the table?
Nacional are 15th and SC Braga are 10th in the Liga Portugal.
Who will win Nacional vs SC Braga?
Our prediction is SC Braga to win. Win probabilities: Nacional 17%, draw 24%, SC Braga 59%.
Will both teams score in Nacional vs SC Braga?
We estimate a 49% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nacional vs SC Braga?
We estimate a 51% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.