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Estoril vs Moreirense prediction

Estoril vs Moreirense prediction for the Liga Portugal on 25 Oct 2026: Estoril or draw (73%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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EstorilNo recent gamesMoreirenseNo recent games
1 - 3Full time · Sun 25 OctHT 0-3
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Match events

EstorilMoreirense
  1. 12'Goal: Manuel Mendonça
  2. 15'Goal: Tiago Andrade
  3. Yellow card: Nail OmerovicFoul23'
  4. Yellow card: Antef TsounguiFoul27'
  5. 28'Goal: Nile John
  6. Substitution: Nail OmerovicOff: André Lacximicant45'
  7. Substitution: Ricard Sanchez SendraOff: Pedro Carvalho45'

HT 0-3

  1. Substitution: André Tiago Ramos das NevesOff: João Carvalho58'
  2. Substitution: Axel CamblanOff: Fernando Medrano58'
  3. 59'Substitution: Manuel MendonçaOff: Rodrigo Alonso
  4. 69'Substitution: Nile JohnOff: Landerson Costa Araújo
  5. Substitution: Antef TsounguiOff: Miguel Angelo Da Silva Rocha69'
  6. 69'Substitution: Mateja StjepanovićOff: Kiko Bondoso
  7. 80'Substitution: Álvaro MartínezOff: Tiago Andrade
  8. 81'Substitution: Leonardo VonićOff: Yan Maranhão
  9. 90'Yellow card: Gilberto BatistaFoul
  10. Yellow card: André LacximicantFoul90+2'
  11. Goal: André Tiago Ramos das Neves90+4'

Our verdict

1X ✗

Estoril or draw

Bet365 1.28

73%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-3

Expected goals2.5

Win probability

1 · Estoril46%
Fair odds 2.17
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Moreirense27%
Fair odds 3.70

Match statistics

  • 57%Possession43%
  • 1.68Expected goals (xG)1.39
  • 26Total shots13
  • 7Shots on target4
  • 15Shots off target7
  • 4Blocked shots2
  • 20Shots inside the box8
  • 6Corners3
  • 0Offsides2
  • 17Fouls13
  • 3Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves6
  • 478Passes367
  • 392Accurate passes291

Line-ups

Estoril

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1Joel RoblesG
  2. 2Ricard SánchezD
  3. 4FerroD
  4. 6Xavi SintesD
  5. 21R. JurišićD
  6. 5A. TsounguiM
  7. 10J. HolsgroveM
  8. 12João CarvalhoM
  9. 99R. GuitaneF
  10. 9A. CamblanF
  11. 11N. OmerovićF

Substitutes

  1. 35S. AmissahD
  2. 8XekaM
  3. 25S. AndreouD
  4. 22Pedro CarvalhoD
  5. 7André LacximicantF
  6. 3Fernando MedranoD
  7. 19Tiago Parreira ParenteD
  8. 17PeixinhoF
  9. 44M. RobinM
  10. 15Isma SierraD
  11. 16M. TurkG
  12. 42J. ArnolinD

Coach: Leandro Pires

Moreirense

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 13André FerreiraG
  2. 76Dinis PintoD
  3. 66Gilberto BatistaD
  4. 4Kevyn MonteiroD
  5. 27KikoD
  6. 23N. JohnM
  7. 65Guilherme LiberatoM
  8. 10Kiko BondosoM
  9. 7Manuel Ascenção Bebiano MendonçaM
  10. 19Tiago AndradeM
  11. 79L. VonićF

Substitutes

  1. 1AranhaG
  2. 99MaranhãoF
  3. 8M. StjepanovićM
  4. 28Chipyoka SongaF
  5. 2Leandro Henrique Sousa SantosD
  6. 21Rodri AlonsoM
  7. 17Álvaro MartínezD
  8. 11LandersonF
  9. 25Afonso AssisM
  10. 32JoséD
  11. 12Francisco Barbosa SampaioG

Coach: Vasco Costa

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.47 – 1.08
0.5 goalsOver92.2%Under7.8%
1.5 goalsOver72.3%Under27.7%
2.5 goalsOver46.9%Under53.1%
3.5 goalsOver25.3%Under74.7%
4.5 goalsOver11.6%Under88.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

EstorilMoreirense
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
58%Expected goals42%
63%Overall37%

Last matches

Newest first
Estoril0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Moreirense0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Liga Portugal table

Liga Portugal table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1FC Porto10+2130
2Benfica9+1822
3Sporting CP10+1221
4Santa Clara9+718
5Arouca9+517
6Academico Viseu9+217
7GIL Vicente9+114
8Moreirense10-414
9Alverca9011
10SC Braga9-211
11Famalicao9+310
12Estrela10-410
13Vitória SC908
14Maritimo9-108
15Nacional9-87
16Rio Ave9-137
17Casa Pia10-147
18Estoril10-142
See full table ›

Top scorers

Liga Portugal top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1V. PavlidisBenfica99
2L. SuárezSporting CP108
3G. PrestianniBenfica96
4BarberoArouca95
5Gonçalo PaciênciaSanta Clara85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatEstorilMoreirense
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Estoril host Moreirense in the Liga Portugal (Regular Season - 9) at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 16:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Estoril slight favourites, giving Estoril a 46% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 27% for Moreirense. Our tip is: Estoril or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Portugal Liga Portugal
Date
Sunday, 25 October 2026, 16:30 WAT
Venue
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Estoril vs Moreirense?

Estoril vs Moreirense kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 16:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Estoril vs Moreirense in?

The match is in the Portugal Liga Portugal.

Where are Estoril and Moreirense in the table?

Estoril are 18th and Moreirense are 8th in the Liga Portugal.

Who will win Estoril vs Moreirense?

Our prediction is Estoril or draw. Win probabilities: Estoril 46%, draw 27%, Moreirense 27%.

Will both teams score in Estoril vs Moreirense?

We estimate a 52% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Estoril vs Moreirense?

We estimate a 47% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Liga Portugal on Sun 25 Oct

FTNacional 1-0 SC Braga2 ✗FTRio Ave 0-4 FamalicaoX2 ✓FTSporting CP 1-2 Academico Viseu1 ✗

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