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Rio Ave vs Famalicao prediction

Rio Ave vs Famalicao prediction for the Liga Portugal on 25 Oct 2026: Famalicao or draw (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday25October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Liga Portugal · Regular Season - 9
Rio AveNo recent gamesFamalicaoNo recent games
0 - 4Full time · Sun 25 OctHT 0-0
Estádio dos Arcos, Vila do Conde

Match events

Rio AveFamalicao
  1. Yellow card: Vasco César Freire de SeabraDissent40'
  2. Yellow card: Miguel PatricíoFoul42'

HT 0-0

  1. 48'Goal: Roméo BeneyAssist: Rodrigo Pinheiro
  2. 60'Substitution: Tamás SzűcsOff: Patricio Salas
  3. 60'Substitution: Georgios KoutsiasOff: Pedro Santos
  4. Substitution: João Tomé BaptistaOff: Jose Carlos Teixeira Lopes Reis Goncalves65'
  5. Substitution: Sebastian ClemensenOff: Malik Sellouki65'
  6. 66'Substitution: Roméo BeneyOff: Paulo Moreira
  7. Substitution: Miguel PatricíoOff: Roland Galcik77'
  8. Yellow card: Jose Carlos Teixeira Lopes Reis GoncalvesFoul80'
  9. 80'Goal: Pedro SantosAssist: Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura
  10. Substitution: Tamble Ulisses Folgado MonteiroOff: Diogo Bezerra82'
  11. Substitution: Georgios LiavasOff: Dario Špikić82'
  12. 83'Substitution: Tom Van De LooiOff: Marcos Peña
  13. 83'Substitution: Marcos Vinicios Lopes MouraOff: Óscar Aranda Subiela
  14. 85'Goal: Óscar Aranda SubielaAssist: Pedro Santos
  15. Yellow card: Francisco PetrassoFoul90+3'
  16. 90+5'Penalty goal: Óscar Aranda Subiela (pen)

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Famalicao or draw

Bet365 1.25

75%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-4

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · Rio Ave25%
Fair odds 4.00
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Famalicao48%
Fair odds 2.08

Match statistics

  • 58%Possession42%
  • 0.66Expected goals (xG)0.93
  • 7Total shots12
  • 2Shots on target5
  • 3Shots off target4
  • 2Blocked shots3
  • 3Shots inside the box6
  • 4Corners2
  • 0Offsides0
  • 21Fouls15
  • 3Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves2
  • 535Passes396
  • 464Accurate passes324

Line-ups

Rio Ave

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 32Vitor HugoG
  2. 20João ToméD
  3. 23F. PetrassoD
  4. 5A. NtoiD
  5. 17M. VrousaiD
  6. 90Diogo NascimentoM
  7. 54G. LiavasM
  8. 80S. ClemmensenM
  9. 79M. PatricioM
  10. 7Diogo BezerraM
  11. 11J. BlesaF

Substitutes

  1. 30R. GalčíkF
  2. 3S. GarciaD
  3. 39Gustavo ManchaD
  4. 44T. NikitscherM
  5. 8Ryan GuilhermeM
  6. 19M. SelloukiM
  7. 77D. ŠpikićF
  8. 9Tamble MonteiroF
  9. 99E. van der GouwG
  10. 70A. WenckM
  11. 2Jose Carlos Teixeira Lopes Reis GoncalvesD
  12. 60CaikeD

Coach: Vasco Seabra

Famalicao

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 25L. CarevićG
  2. 17Rodrigo PinheiroD
  3. 15Víctor RofinoD
  4. 3L. RealpeD
  5. 2Gustavo GarciaD
  6. 6T. van de LooiM
  7. 21Tamás SzücsM
  8. 18R. BeneyM
  9. 14Mathias De AmorimM
  10. 7SorrisoM
  11. 70G. KoutsiasF

Substitutes

  1. 1I. ZlobinG
  2. 4F. van BreemenD
  3. 30V. SerafimovićD
  4. 10Pedro SantosF
  5. 33P. SalasF
  6. 9U. AbubakarF
  7. 8Marcos PeñaM
  8. 19Paulo MoreiraM
  9. 22GabrielG
  10. 72Juvenal Augusto Gomes CorreiaF
  11. 24Mathis JangealM
  12. 11Óscar ArandaF

Coach: Ricardo Silva

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.04 – 1.52
0.5 goalsOver92.3%Under7.7%
1.5 goalsOver72.5%Under27.5%
2.5 goalsOver47.1%Under52.9%
3.5 goalsOver25.5%Under74.5%
4.5 goalsOver11.7%Under88.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Rio AveFamalicao
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
41%Expected goals59%
34%Overall66%

Last matches

Newest first
Rio Ave0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Famalicao0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Liga Portugal table

Liga Portugal table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1FC Porto10+2130
2Benfica9+1822
3Sporting CP10+1221
4Arouca10+620
5Santa Clara9+718
6Academico Viseu9+217
7GIL Vicente9+114
8Moreirense10-414
9Alverca9011
10SC Braga9-211
11Famalicao9+310
12Estrela10-410
13Vitória SC908
14Maritimo9-108
15Nacional10-97
16Rio Ave9-137
17Casa Pia10-147
18Estoril10-142
See full table ›

Top scorers

Liga Portugal top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1V. PavlidisBenfica99
2L. SuárezSporting CP108
3G. PrestianniBenfica96
4Borja SainzFC Porto105
5BarberoArouca95

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatRio AveFamalicao
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Rio Ave host Famalicao in the Liga Portugal (Regular Season - 9) at Estádio dos Arcos, Vila do Conde, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Famalicao slight favourites, giving Rio Ave a 25% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 48% for Famalicao. Our tip is: Famalicao or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Portugal Liga Portugal
Date
Sunday, 25 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Venue
Estádio dos Arcos, Vila do Conde

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Rio Ave vs Famalicao?

Rio Ave vs Famalicao kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Rio Ave vs Famalicao in?

The match is in the Portugal Liga Portugal.

Where are Rio Ave and Famalicao in the table?

Rio Ave are 16th and Famalicao are 11th in the Liga Portugal.

Who will win Rio Ave vs Famalicao?

Our prediction is Famalicao or draw. Win probabilities: Rio Ave 25%, draw 27%, Famalicao 48%.

Will both teams score in Rio Ave vs Famalicao?

We estimate a 51% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rio Ave vs Famalicao?

We estimate a 47% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Liga Portugal on Sun 25 Oct

FTEstoril 1-3 Moreirense1X ✗FTNacional 1-0 SC Braga2 ✗FTSporting CP 1-2 Academico Viseu1 ✗

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