Eliteserien · Regular Season - 12
Match events
Fredrikstad- Yellow card: Caleb SeryFoul2'
- 8'Goal: Bryan FiabemaAssist: Sondre Sørløkk
- Goal: Kristian LonebuAssist: Sander Hestetun Kilen11'
- Goal: Kristian LonebuAssist: Mathias Lovik17'
- Goal: Emil BreivikAssist: Martin Linnes35'
HT 3-1
- 53'Yellow card: Samuel HolmFoul
- 59'Substitution: Samuel HolmOff: Benjamin Thoresen Faraas
- 59'Substitution: Bryan FiabemaOff: Henrik Langaas Skogvold
- Goal: Kristian LonebuAssist: Sondre Granaas60'
- Goal: Kristian LonebuAssist: Emil Breivik63'
- Substitution: Sander Hestetun KilenOff: Jalal Abdullai64'
- Substitution: Kristian LonebuOff: Oskar Spiten Nysaeter64'
- 67'Substitution: Solomon OwusuOff: Ulrik Tillung Fredriksen
- 67'Substitution: Gabriel WessehOff: Leonard Owusu
- Yellow card: Martin LinnesFoul70'
- Substitution: Sondre GranaasOff: Niklas Ödegard75'
- Substitution: Daniel DagaOff: Mats Møller Dæhli75'
- Substitution: Fredrik Kristensen DahlOff: Birk Risa78'
- 82'Substitution: Liam WestOff: Johannes Andres Hummelvoll-Nunez
Our verdict
Molde to win
Bet365 1.45
✓ This tip was correct · final score 5-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 62%Possession38%
- 3.19Expected goals (xG)1.79
- 18Total shots13
- 9Shots on target6
- 5Shots off target5
- 4Blocked shots2
- 15Shots inside the box8
- 5Corners10
- 2Offsides1
- 10Fouls10
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 5Goalkeeper saves5
- 724Passes443
- 653Accurate passes391
Line-ups
Molde
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 22A. PosiadałaG
- 25M. LinnesD
- 19E. HauganD
- 27F. DahlD
- 8M. LøvikD
- 10E. BreivikM
- 30D. DagaM
- 11C. Zady SeryM
- 23S. GranaasM
- 16S. KilenM
- 20K. LonebuF
Substitutes
- 9J. AbdulaiF
- 17M. Møller DæhliM
- 26S. KabiniD
- 24Trent Toure Kone DohertyF
- 12P. LervikG
- 6N. ØdegårdM
- 33B. RisaD
- 21O. Spiten-NysæterF
- 50Ioan Alexandru SzambotiM
Coach: S. Tjelmeland
Fredrikstad
3-4-3Starting XI
- 77M. BørsheimG
- 38I. AmundsenD
- 4F. HolméD
- 28S. OwusuD
- 19F. GhebreyohannesM
- 6S. Leach HolmM
- 14M. NilssonM
- 13S. SørløkkM
- 29G. WessehF
- 18B. FiabemaF
- 11L. WestF
Substitutes
- 30J. TorkildsenG
- 23H. SkogvoldF
- 5S. RafnD
- 24L. OwusuM
- 10J. Hummelvoll-NuñezF
- 9S. LaghzaouiM
- 21J. JezierskiM
- 12U. FredriksenD
- 7B. ThoresenF
Coach: Casper Röjkjaer
Betting markets
Expected goals 2.30 – 1.06Half time / full time result. 1 = Molde, X = draw, 2 = Fredrikstad.
Asian handicap applied to Molde.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstMolde1W 0D 0L · last 1Fredrikstad0W 0D 1L · last 1Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | +38 | 59 | LWWWW |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | +38 | 59 | WLWWL |
| 3 | Molde | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +20 | 43 | LWWDL |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +18 | 43 | WWWDW |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | +3 | 42 | WWWDL |
| 6 | Tromso | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +5 | 40 | LLDDW |
| 7 | Brann | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | +3 | 32 | WLLLW |
| 8 | Valerenga | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -3 | 32 | WWWLD |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | -7 | 31 | LWLWL |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | -9 | 31 | DDDWW |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -15 | 29 | LLLDD |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -8 | 27 | WLLDW |
| 13 | Ham-Kam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -18 | 27 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Aalesund | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | -14 | 24 | LLWLW |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -22 | 23 | WDLLL |
| 16 | Start | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | -29 | 19 | LWLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Amin ChiakhaRosenborg | 24 | 17 |
| 2 |  P. ChristiansenViking | 24 | 15 |
| 3 |  A. HelmersenBodo/Glimt | 22 | 13 |
| 4 |  K. LonebuMolde | 22 | 13 |
| 5 |  L. AlvheimKristiansund BK | 23 | 12 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Molde | Fredrikstad |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 6 | 2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/1 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Molde host Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien (Regular Season - 12) at Aker Stadion, Molde, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 19:15 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Molde clear favourites, giving Molde a 65% chance of winning, 19% for the draw and 16% for Fredrikstad. Our tip is: Molde to win.
Molde have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Fredrikstad have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Norway Eliteserien
- Date
- Sunday, 25 October 2026, 19:15 WAT
- Venue
- Aker Stadion, Molde
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Molde vs Fredrikstad?
Molde vs Fredrikstad kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 19:15 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Molde vs Fredrikstad in?
The match is in the Norway Eliteserien.
Where are Molde and Fredrikstad in the table?
Molde are 3rd and Fredrikstad are 11th in the Eliteserien.
Who will win Molde vs Fredrikstad?
Our prediction is Molde to win. Win probabilities: Molde 65%, draw 19%, Fredrikstad 16%.
Will both teams score in Molde vs Fredrikstad?
We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Molde vs Fredrikstad?
We estimate a 65% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.