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Molde vs Start prediction

Molde vs Start prediction for the Eliteserien on 18 Oct 2026: Molde to win (70%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Eliteserien · Regular Season - 24
MoldeNo recent gamesStartNo recent games
6 - 1Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 2-0
Aker Stadion, Molde

Match events

MoldeStart
  1. 19'Yellow card: Santino SamuyiwaFoul
  2. Goal: Sander Hestetun KilenAssist: Caleb Sery29'
  3. 38'Yellow card: Erlend SegbergFoul
  4. Penalty goal: Kristian Lonebu (pen)39'
  5. 45'Substitution: Santino SamuyiwaOff: Nikolaos Koutsakos

HT 2-0

  1. 52'VARVAR: Nikolaos KoutsakosPenalty confirmed
  2. Yellow card: Fredrik Kristensen DahlDissent53'
  3. 54'Missed penalty: Nikolaos Koutsakos
  4. 54'Goal: John Olav NorheimAssist: Mikael Ugland
  5. Goal: Caleb SeryAssist: Sander Hestetun Kilen56'
  6. Goal: Sander Hestetun KilenAssist: Emil Breivik65'
  7. Substitution: Mats Møller DæhliOff: Daniel Daga67'
  8. Substitution: Caleb SeryOff: Birk Risa67'
  9. Substitution: Mathias LovikOff: Niklas Ödegard67'
  10. 71'Substitution: Mikael UglandOff: nikola jojic
  11. Yellow card: Eirik HauganFoul72'
  12. Goal: Sander Hestetun Kilen76'
  13. Substitution: Sander Hestetun KilenOff: Oskar Spiten Nysaeter77'
  14. Goal: Emil BreivikAssist: Niklas Ödegard79'
  15. Substitution: Kristian LonebuOff: Trent Kone-Doherty81'
  16. 86'Substitution: Erlend Dahl ReitanOff: Altin Ujkani

Our verdict

1 ✓

Molde to win

Bet365 1.33

70%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 6-1

Expected goals3.6

Win probability

1 · Molde70%
Fair odds 1.43
X · Draw17%
Fair odds 5.88
2 · Start13%
Fair odds 7.69

Match statistics

  • 68%Possession32%
  • 3.38Expected goals (xG)1.76
  • 21Total shots10
  • 12Shots on target3
  • 8Shots off target5
  • 1Blocked shots2
  • 15Shots inside the box7
  • 5Corners6
  • 0Offsides2
  • 6Fouls10
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves5
  • 656Passes296
  • 587Accurate passes221

Line-ups

Molde

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 22A. PosiadałaG
  2. 25M. LinnesD
  3. 19E. HauganD
  4. 27F. DahlD
  5. 8M. LøvikD
  6. 11C. Zady SeryM
  7. 17M. Møller DæhliM
  8. 23S. GranaasM
  9. 16S. KilenM
  10. 20K. LonebuF
  11. 10E. BreivikF

Substitutes

  1. 9J. AbdulaiF
  2. 28V. BenderM
  3. 30D. DagaM
  4. 26S. KabiniD
  5. 24Trent Toure Kone DohertyF
  6. 12P. LervikG
  7. 6N. ØdegårdM
  8. 33B. RisaD
  9. 21O. Spiten-NysæterF

Coach: S. Tjelmeland

Start

5-3-2

Starting XI

  1. 26M. SjøengG
  2. 27O. ToureD
  3. 29E. ReitanD
  4. 5S. GranheimD
  5. 6J. NorheimD
  6. 12D. DashaevD
  7. 10S. MvouéM
  8. 23E. SegbergM
  9. 18M. UglandM
  10. 20H. LorentzenF
  11. 35S. SamuyiwaF

Substitutes

  1. 24S. Strand-KolbjørnsenG
  2. 2F. PålerudD
  3. 4J. MeyerD
  4. 9N. KoutsakosF
  5. 8N. JojićF
  6. 3A. UjkaniD
  7. 17J. CorneliusF

Coach: A. Karadas

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.58 – 1.04
0.5 goalsOver97.3%Under2.7%
1.5 goalsOver87.6%Under12.4%
2.5 goalsOver70.1%Under29.9%
3.5 goalsOver48.9%Under51.1%
4.5 goalsOver29.7%Under70.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

MoldeStart
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
71%Expected goals29%
84%Overall16%

Last matches

Newest first
Molde0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Start0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Eliteserien table

Eliteserien table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Viking25+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859
3Molde25+2043
4Rosenborg25+1843
5Lillestrom25+342
6Tromso25+540
7Brann25+332
8Valerenga25-332
9Sarpsborg 08 FF25-731
10KFUM Oslo25-931
11Fredrikstad25-1529
12Sandefjord25-827
13Ham-Kam25-1827
14Aalesund25-1424
15Kristiansund BK25-2223
16Start25-2919
See full table ›

Top scorers

Eliteserien top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Amin ChiakhaRosenborg2417
2P. ChristiansenViking2415
3A. HelmersenBodo/Glimt2213
4L. AlvheimKristiansund BK2312
5K. LonebuMolde2112

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatMoldeStart
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Molde host Start in the Eliteserien (Regular Season - 24) at Aker Stadion, Molde, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 16:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Molde clear favourites, giving Molde a 70% chance of winning, 17% for the draw and 13% for Start. Our tip is: Molde to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 70% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Norway Eliteserien
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Venue
Aker Stadion, Molde

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Molde vs Start?

Molde vs Start kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 16:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Molde vs Start in?

The match is in the Norway Eliteserien.

Where are Molde and Start in the table?

Molde are 3rd and Start are 16th in the Eliteserien.

Who will win Molde vs Start?

Our prediction is Molde to win. Win probabilities: Molde 70%, draw 17%, Start 13%.

Will both teams score in Molde vs Start?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Molde vs Start?

We estimate a 70% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eliteserien on Sun 18 Oct

FTSarpsborg 08 FF 0-3 Rosenborg12 ✓FTValerenga 3-1 Brann12 ✓FTSandefjord 0-2 LillestromX2 ✓FTTromso 1-1 KFUM Oslo1 ✗

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