Eliteserien · Regular Season - 12
Match events
Aalesund- Yellow card: Sigurd RostedFoul13'
- 19'Goal: Mathias ChristensenAssist: Sander Erik Kartum
- 35'Red card: Ólafur GudmundssonSerious Foul
- 40'Substitution: Stefano VecchiaOff: Emil Engqvist
- 45'Substitution: Isak Gabriel SkotheimOff: Paul Ngongo
- Substitution: Peter ReinhardsenOff: Anders Hiim45'
- Substitution: Noa WilliamsOff: Bop Guèye45'
HT 0-1
- 47'Yellow card: Marius AndresenFoul
- Substitution: Bjorn UtvikOff: Marius Lode62'
- Substitution: Sander Johan ChristiansenOff: Aimar Sher62'
- Substitution: Eirik WichneOff: Camil Mmaee Nwameben79'
- Yellow card: Daniel Seland KarlsbakkArgument80'
- 84'Substitution: Marius AndresenOff: Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen
- Goal: Camil Mmaee NwamebenAssist: Daniel Seland Karlsbakk85'
- Goal: Anders Hiim90+4'
Our verdict
Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw
Bet365 1.28
✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 72%Possession28%
- 2.40Expected goals (xG)0.32
- 29Total shots7
- 4Shots on target2
- 13Shots off target3
- 12Blocked shots2
- 24Shots inside the box2
- 20Corners4
- 1Offsides3
- 11Fouls8
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards1
- 0Goalkeeper saves2
- 552Passes229
- 477Accurate passes142
Line-ups
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4-4-2Starting XI
- 87L. ØyG
- 32E. WichneD
- 4B. UtvikD
- 24S. RostedD
- 20P. ReinhardsenD
- 10S. SørliM
- 8S. ChristiansenM
- 77O. SkarsemM
- 17N. WilliamsM
- 22V. HalvorsenF
- 11D. KarlsbakkF
Substitutes
- 7Camil Mmaee NwamebenM
- 18Bop GueyeM
- 21A. HiimD
- 5L. HøylandD
- 1J. PrytsG
- 2M. LodeD
- 33A. NibeM
- 12C. NiyukuriD
- 6A. SherM
Coach: E. Sel
Aalesund
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1Luca PodlechG
- 7K. NessøD
- 2M. AndresenD
- 28D. MbackeD
- 3Ó. GuðmundssonD
- 14U. CharlesD
- 21M. ChristensenM
- 18E. HagenM
- 19S. KartumM
- 8I. SkotheimF
- 23S. VecchiaF
Substitutes
- 15E. OsenbrochM
- 16J. ØrsahlD
- 9P. NgongoF
- 17E. MyrlidF
- 26T. LarsenG
- 5A. Hammer KjelsenD
- 22E. EngqvistD
- 38T. LeikangerM
Coach: K. Rekdal
Betting markets
Expected goals 2.01 – 1.46Half time / full time result. 1 = Sarpsborg 08 FF, X = draw, 2 = Aalesund.
Asian handicap applied to Sarpsborg 08 FF.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstSarpsborg 08 FF0W 0D 1L · last 1Aalesund1W 0D 0L · last 1Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | +38 | 59 | LWWWW |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | +38 | 59 | WLWWL |
| 3 | Molde | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | +21 | 43 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +18 | 43 | WWWDW |
| 5 | Tromso | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +9 | 40 | LDDWL |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | +2 | 39 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | -5 | 31 | WLWLD |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -9 | 30 | DDWWW |
| 9 | Brann | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | +2 | 29 | LLLWL |
| 10 | Valerenga | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -7 | 29 | WWLDL |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -15 | 29 | LLLDD |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -8 | 27 | WLLDW |
| 13 | Ham-Kam | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -18 | 26 | LLWLL |
| 14 | Aalesund | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | -14 | 24 | LLWLW |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -24 | 20 | DLLLL |
| 16 | Start | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -28 | 19 | WLLLW |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Amin ChiakhaRosenborg | 24 | 17 |
| 2 |  P. ChristiansenViking | 24 | 15 |
| 3 |  A. HelmersenBodo/Glimt | 22 | 13 |
| 4 |  L. AlvheimKristiansund BK | 23 | 12 |
| 5 |  K. LonebuMolde | 21 | 12 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Aalesund |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 4 |
| Goals against (avg) | 3 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/1 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Sarpsborg 08 FF host Aalesund in the Eliteserien (Regular Season - 12) at Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 17:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Sarpsborg 08 FF favourites, giving Sarpsborg 08 FF a 50% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 28% for Aalesund. Our tip is: Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw.
Sarpsborg 08 FF have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Aalesund have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 and a 67% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Norway Eliteserien
- Date
- Sunday, 25 October 2026, 17:00 WAT
- Venue
- Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund?
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 17:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund in?
The match is in the Norway Eliteserien.
Where are Sarpsborg 08 FF and Aalesund in the table?
Sarpsborg 08 FF are 7th and Aalesund are 14th in the Eliteserien.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund?
Our prediction is Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw. Win probabilities: Sarpsborg 08 FF 50%, draw 22%, Aalesund 28%.
Will both teams score in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund?
We estimate a 67% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund?
We estimate a 67% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.