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Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius prediction

Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius prediction for the A Lyga on 26 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (79%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Kaunas

Match events

Kauno ŽalgirisFK Zalgiris Vilnius

    HT 0-0

    1. 56'Yellow card: M. Vareika
    2. Substitution: L. KrekovicOff: Leo Ribeiro60'
    3. 66'Substitution: K. UpstasOff: M. Setkus
    4. 66'Substitution: M. VareikaOff: N. Mihajlovic
    5. Yellow card: N. Iyobosa Edokpolor68'
    6. Substitution: A. BenchaibOff: G. Sirgedas70'
    7. Substitution: G. DebeljuhOff: Renan Oliveira70'
    8. 73'Substitution: O. VerbickasOff: N. Petkovic
    9. 75'Yellow card: S. Bilenkyi
    10. Substitution: A. KalikOff: M. Burba88'
    11. Yellow card: A. Hernandez90+1'
    12. Yellow card: Yellow card90+7'

    Our verdict

    Over 1.5 ✗

    Over 1.5

    Bet365 1.22

    79%

    ✗ This tip lost · final score 0-0

    Expected goals2.9

    Win probability

    1 · Kauno Žalgiris53%
    Fair odds 1.89
    X · Draw24%
    Fair odds 4.17
    2 · FK Zalgiris Vilnius23%
    Fair odds 4.35

    Betting markets

    Expected goals 1.78 – 1.09
    0.5 goalsOver94.3%Under5.7%
    1.5 goalsOver78.1%Under21.9%
    2.5 goalsOver54.7%Under45.3%
    3.5 goalsOver32.4%Under67.6%
    4.5 goalsOver16.3%Under83.7%

    Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

    Model comparison

    Kauno ŽalgirisFK Zalgiris Vilnius
    100%Form0%
    100%Attack0%
    7%Defence93%
    50%Head to head50%
    62%Expected goals38%
    70%Overall30%

    Last matches

    Newest first

    A Lyga table

    A Lyga table
    #TeamP+/-Pts
    1Kauno Žalgiris2+14
    2TransINVEST Vilnius1+23
    3Džiugas Telšiai1+13
    4Banga101
    5FK Zalgiris Vilnius101
    6Šiauliai101
    7Panevėžys1-10
    8Suduva Marijampole1-10
    9Hegelmann Litauen1-20
    See full table ›

    Season statistics

    This season, all competitions we cover
    StatKauno ŽalgirisFK Zalgiris Vilnius
    Played30
    Wins10
    Draws00
    Losses20
    Goals for (avg)0.70
    Goals against (avg)2.70
    Clean sheets10
    Failed to score10
    Best win streak10

    Recent goal lines

    How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

    Over 1.52/30/0
    Over 2.52/30/0
    Over 3.52/30/0
    BTTS – yes1/30/0

    Match preview

    Kauno Žalgiris host FK Zalgiris Vilnius in the A Lyga (Regular Season - 34) at Kaunas, with kick-off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 17:45 WAT.

    Our prediction model makes Kauno Žalgiris favourites, giving Kauno Žalgiris a 53% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 23% for FK Zalgiris Vilnius. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

    Kauno Žalgiris have taken 3 points from their last 3 games (1W 0D 2L).

    On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 56% chance that both teams score.

    Competition
    Lithuania A Lyga
    Date
    Monday, 26 October 2026, 17:45 WAT
    Venue
    Kaunas

    TodaysPrediction analysis team

    Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

    Quick answers

    When is Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

    Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius kicks off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 17:45 West Africa Time.

    Which competition is Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius in?

    The match is in the Lithuania A Lyga.

    Where are Kauno Žalgiris and FK Zalgiris Vilnius in the table?

    Kauno Žalgiris are 1st and FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 5th in the A Lyga.

    Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

    Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Kauno Žalgiris 53%, draw 24%, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 23%.

    Will both teams score in Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

    We estimate a 56% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

    Will there be over 2.5 goals in Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

    We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

    Are these predictions guaranteed?

    No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

    How often are predictions updated?

    Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

    All football predictions for today