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HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin prediction

HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin prediction for the HNL on 1 Nov 2026: HNK Rijeka or draw (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday1November 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
HNL · Regular Season - 12
HNK RijekaNK Varazdin
1 - 1Full time · Sun 1 NovHT 1-0
Stadion Rujevica, Rijeka

Match events

HNK RijekaNK Varazdin
  1. Goal: Toni FrukAssist: Ante Orec17'
  2. Yellow card: Anel HusicFoul35'
  3. 37'Missed penalty: Luka Mamić
  4. 45'Substitution: Matej VukOff: Sven Lesjak

HT 1-0

  1. Yellow card: Ante OrecFoul49'
  2. 50'Goal: Luka Mamić
  3. Substitution: Mohammad MohebbiOff: Amer Gojak61'
  4. 75'Substitution: Gregor SikošekOff: Luka Posinković
  5. Substitution: Mladen DevetakOff: Justas Lasickas80'
  6. Substitution: Jakov PuljićOff: D. Adu-Adjei80'
  7. 80'Substitution: Aleksa LatkovicOff: Ivan Posavec
  8. Yellow card: Samuele VignatoDissent85'
  9. 88'Substitution: Luka MamićOff: David Puclin
  10. 88'Substitution: Mateo BaraćOff: Iuri Tavares
  11. Substitution: Samuele VignatoOff: Ante Matej Juric90'
  12. Yellow card: Branko PavicFoul90'
  13. 90+3'Yellow card: Novak TepsicFoul
  14. 90+3'Yellow card: Mateo BaraćDissent
  15. 90+3'Red card: Novak Tepsic

Our verdict

1X ✓

HNK Rijeka or draw

Bet365 1.20

78%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · HNK Rijeka52%
Fair odds 1.92
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · NK Varazdin22%
Fair odds 4.55

Match statistics

  • 69%Possession31%
  • 0.93Expected goals (xG)0.89
  • 15Total shots3
  • 4Shots on target2
  • 6Shots off target1
  • 5Blocked shots0
  • 7Shots inside the box2
  • 11Corners0
  • 2Offsides0
  • 12Fouls12
  • 4Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards1
  • 1Goalkeeper saves3
  • 644Passes294
  • 559Accurate passes223

Line-ups

HNK Rijeka

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 13I. VekičG
  2. 22A. OrečD
  3. 45A. MajstorovićD
  4. 51A. HusicD
  5. 34M. DevetakD
  6. 26Tiago DantasM
  7. 6B. PavićM
  8. 9M. MohebiM
  9. 10T. FrukM
  10. 19S. VignatoM
  11. 18D. Adu-AdjeiF

Substitutes

  1. 91N. BodetićD
  2. 99A. TodorovićG
  3. 8I. ĆubelićM
  4. 3M. ŽivkovićD
  5. 5A. BarcoM
  6. 14A. GojakM
  7. 4N. JankovićM
  8. 77A. JuričF
  9. 7Y. KabadayıF
  10. 1V. KovacG
  11. 23J. LasickasD
  12. 21J. PuljićF

Coach: M. Kek

NK Varazdin

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 33J. SilićG
  2. 23F. MaglicaD
  3. 5Sven LesjakD
  4. 14R. PunčecD
  5. 16N. TepšićD
  6. 28I. CanjugaM
  7. 8T. DuvnjakM
  8. 10A. LatkovićM
  9. 22L. MamićM
  10. 20G. SikošekM
  11. 38Iuri TavaresF

Substitutes

  1. 44M. BaraćD
  2. 12P. BočkajD
  3. 11E. UchegbuF
  4. 9S. JurićF
  5. 19L. LukanićM
  6. 24M. MarinaM
  7. 1R. McCrorieG
  8. 21I. PosavecM
  9. 30L. PosinkovicD
  10. 6D. PuclinM
  11. 7M. VukF
  12. 17V. AkrapF

Coach: N. Šafarić

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.71 – 1.04
0.5 goalsOver93.6%Under6.4%
1.5 goalsOver76.0%Under24.0%
2.5 goalsOver51.9%Under48.1%
3.5 goalsOver29.7%Under70.3%
4.5 goalsOver14.5%Under85.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

HNK RijekaNK Varazdin
100%Form0%
80%Attack20%
60%Defence40%
50%Head to head50%
62%Expected goals38%
70%Overall30%

Last matches

Newest first
HNK Rijeka1W 0D 0L · last 1
WRudes vs HNK Rijeka16 Oct 2026 · HNL1-2
NK Varazdin0W 0D 2L · last 2
LNK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo24 Oct 2026 · HNL1-2LHNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin18 Oct 2026 · HNL1-0

HNL table

HNL table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1HNK Hajduk Split12+1526
2Dinamo Zagreb11+1122
3NK Osijek12+520
4NK Varazdin12+519
5HNK Rijeka11+318
6Istra 196112+316
7NK Slaven Belupo12-1113
8Rudes12-1213
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb12-611
10HNK Gorica12-137
See full table ›

Top scorers

HNL top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1D. BeljoDinamo Zagreb1012
2E. FrederiksenIstra 1961128
3I. NestorovskiNK Slaven Belupo117
4A. LeónNK Osijek116
5H. JaganjacIstra 1961105

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatHNK RijekaNK Varazdin
Played12
Wins10
Draws00
Losses02
Goals for (avg)20.5
Goals against (avg)11.5
Clean sheets00
Failed to score01
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/2
Over 2.51/11/2
Over 3.50/10/2
BTTS – yes1/11/2

Match preview

HNK Rijeka host NK Varazdin in the HNL (Regular Season - 12) at Stadion Rujevica, Rijeka, with kick-off on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes HNK Rijeka favourites, giving HNK Rijeka a 52% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 22% for NK Varazdin. Our tip is: HNK Rijeka or draw.

HNK Rijeka have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). NK Varazdin have taken 0 points from their last 2 games (0W 0D 2L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 54% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Croatia HNL
Date
Sunday, 1 November 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
Stadion Rujevica, Rijeka

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?

HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin kicks off on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin in?

The match is in the Croatia HNL.

Where are HNK Rijeka and NK Varazdin in the table?

HNK Rijeka are 5th and NK Varazdin are 4th in the HNL.

Who will win HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?

Our prediction is HNK Rijeka or draw. Win probabilities: HNK Rijeka 52%, draw 26%, NK Varazdin 22%.

Will both teams score in HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?

We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?

We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More HNL on Sun 1 Nov

FTNK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-3 NK OsijekOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today