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NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo prediction

NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo prediction for the HNL on 24 Oct 2026: NK Varazdin to win (58%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday24October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
HNL · Regular Season - 11
NK VarazdinNK Slaven Belupo
1 - 2Full time · Sat 24 OctHT 1-0
Stadion Varteks, Varazdin

Match events

NK VarazdinNK Slaven Belupo
  1. Goal: Iuri Tavares6'
  2. 37'Yellow card: Silvijo ČabrajaDissent
  3. 37'Yellow card: Josip MitrovićFoul
  4. Substitution: Petar BočkajOff: David Puclin45'

HT 1-0

  1. Yellow card: Iuri TavaresFoul54'
  2. 63'Substitution: Leon BošnjakOff: Mihail Caimacov
  3. Substitution: Matej VukOff: Iuri Tavares64'
  4. Substitution: Luka PosinkovićOff: Sven Lesjak65'
  5. 66'Goal: Josip MitrovićAssist: Ilija Nestorovski
  6. 70'Goal: lovro banovecAssist: Ilija Nestorovski
  7. Substitution: Ivan CanjugaOff: Valentin Akrap71'
  8. VAR: luka mamicGoal cancelledVAR72'
  9. 79'Red card: Ilija NestorovskiSerious Foul
  10. Substitution: Novak TepsicOff: Stipe Jurić84'
  11. 90+1'Yellow card: Karlo SenticTime Wasting
  12. Yellow card: Aleksa LatkovicDissent90+2'

Our verdict

1 ✗

NK Varazdin to win

Bet365 1.62

58%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-2

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · NK Varazdin58%
Fair odds 1.72
X · Draw23%
Fair odds 4.35
2 · NK Slaven Belupo19%
Fair odds 5.26

Match statistics

  • 54%Possession46%
  • 1.46Expected goals (xG)0.62
  • 15Total shots8
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 8Shots off target2
  • 3Blocked shots3
  • 12Shots inside the box3
  • 1Corners3
  • 1Offsides3
  • 10Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards1
  • 1Goalkeeper saves2
  • 476Passes397
  • 383Accurate passes303

Line-ups

NK Varazdin

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 33J. SilićG
  2. 30L. PosinkovicD
  3. 13M. MladenovskiD
  4. 16N. TepšićD
  5. 20G. SikošekD
  6. 28I. CanjugaM
  7. 8T. DuvnjakM
  8. 12P. BočkajM
  9. 22L. MamićM
  10. 38Iuri TavaresM
  11. 10A. LatkovićF

Substitutes

  1. 44M. BaraćD
  2. 9S. JurićF
  3. 5Sven LesjakD
  4. 19L. LukanićM
  5. 1R. McCrorieG
  6. 21I. PosavecM
  7. 6D. PuclinM
  8. 14R. PunčecD
  9. 7M. VukF
  10. 4L. ŠkaričićD
  11. 17V. AkrapF

Coach: N. Šafarić

NK Slaven Belupo

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 30K. SentićG
  2. 18F. KrušeljD
  3. 4D. KovačićD
  4. 15J. MersinajD
  5. 77I. UrataD
  6. 22A. AdeshinaM
  7. 21L. CrepuljaM
  8. 8L. BanovecM
  9. 24L. BošnjakM
  10. 11J. MitrovićM
  11. 90I. NestorovskiF

Substitutes

  1. 10M. CaimacovM
  2. 88D. BosakM
  3. 5I. CvetkoD
  4. 23A. JónssonM
  5. 29Lovro LoncaricF
  6. 2V. MeđimorecD
  7. 45V. PapacF
  8. 12M. PavliG
  9. 14Losika RatshukuduF
  10. 19L. ZahoraF
  11. 32I. ČovićG

Coach: S. Čabraja

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.92 – 1.01
0.5 goalsOver94.7%Under5.3%
1.5 goalsOver79.0%Under21.0%
2.5 goalsOver56.1%Under43.9%
3.5 goalsOver33.7%Under66.3%
4.5 goalsOver17.3%Under82.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

NK VarazdinNK Slaven Belupo
50%Form50%
0%Attack100%
83%Defence17%
50%Head to head50%
66%Expected goals34%
75%Overall25%

Last matches

Newest first
NK Varazdin0W 0D 1L · last 1
LHNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin18 Oct 2026 · HNL1-0
NK Slaven Belupo0W 0D 1L · last 1
LNK Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb18 Oct 2026 · HNL1-5

HNL table

HNL table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1HNK Hajduk Split12+1526
2Dinamo Zagreb11+1122
3NK Varazdin11+518
4NK Osijek11+317
5HNK Rijeka10+317
6Istra 196112+316
7NK Slaven Belupo12-1113
8Rudes12-1213
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb11-411
10HNK Gorica12-137
See full table ›

Top scorers

HNL top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1D. BeljoDinamo Zagreb1012
2E. FrederiksenIstra 1961128
3I. NestorovskiNK Slaven Belupo117
4A. LeónNK Osijek116
5H. JaganjacIstra 1961105

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatNK VarazdinNK Slaven Belupo
Played11
Wins00
Draws00
Losses11
Goals for (avg)01
Goals against (avg)15
Clean sheets00
Failed to score10
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/11/1
Over 2.50/11/1
Over 3.50/11/1
BTTS – yes0/11/1

Match preview

NK Varazdin host NK Slaven Belupo in the HNL (Regular Season - 11) at Stadion Varteks, Varazdin, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 17:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes NK Varazdin favourites, giving NK Varazdin a 58% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 19% for NK Slaven Belupo. Our tip is: NK Varazdin to win.

NK Varazdin have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). NK Slaven Belupo have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Croatia HNL
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 17:00 WAT
Venue
Stadion Varteks, Varazdin

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo?

NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 17:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo in?

The match is in the Croatia HNL.

Where are NK Varazdin and NK Slaven Belupo in the table?

NK Varazdin are 3rd and NK Slaven Belupo are 7th in the HNL.

Who will win NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo?

Our prediction is NK Varazdin to win. Win probabilities: NK Varazdin 58%, draw 23%, NK Slaven Belupo 19%.

Will both teams score in NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo?

We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More HNL on Sat 24 Oct

FTHNK Gorica 0-0 NK Lokomotiva ZagrebOver 1.5 ✗

All football predictions for today