Skip to content
TodaysPrediction

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin prediction

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin prediction for the HNL on 18 Oct 2026: HNK Hajduk Split or draw (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
HNL · Regular Season - 10
HNK Hajduk SplitNK VarazdinNo recent games
1 - 0Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 0-0
Stadion Poljud, Split

Match events

HNK Hajduk SplitNK Varazdin
  1. 23'Substitution: elvir durakovicOff: Gregor Sikošek
  2. Yellow card: Dario MarešićFoul33'

HT 0-0

  1. 58'Yellow card: Tomislav DuvnjakFoul
  2. Substitution: Andelo ŠutaloOff: Abdoulie Sanyang58'
  3. 63'Substitution: Tomislav DuvnjakOff: David Puclin
  4. 63'Substitution: Petar BočkajOff: Emmanuel Uchegbu Chimeroucheya
  5. 63'Yellow card: Aleksa LatkovicFoul
  6. Substitution: Dario MelnjakOff: Simun Hrgovic65'
  7. Substitution: Marko LivajaOff: Michele Šego66'
  8. Substitution: Adrion PajazitiOff: Alberto del Moral66'
  9. Substitution: marin soticekOff: Adam Huram74'
  10. 76'Substitution: luka mamicOff: Ivan Posavec
  11. 76'Substitution: Aleksa LatkovicOff: Luka Skaricic
  12. Goal: Mathieu AcapandieAssist: Abdoulie Sanyang86'
  13. Yellow card: Adrion PajazitiFoul90'

Our verdict

1X ✓

HNK Hajduk Split or draw

Bet365 1.20

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-0

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · HNK Hajduk Split52%
Fair odds 1.92
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · NK Varazdin23%
Fair odds 4.35

Match statistics

  • 64%Possession36%
  • 1.42Expected goals (xG)0.91
  • 18Total shots7
  • 6Shots on target1
  • 5Shots off target5
  • 7Blocked shots1
  • 8Shots inside the box5
  • 5Corners3
  • 17Fouls11
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves5
  • 522Passes292
  • 439Accurate passes210

Line-ups

HNK Hajduk Split

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 33T. SilićG
  2. 22M. AcapandiéD
  3. 6D. HadžikadunićD
  4. 15D. MarešićD
  5. 17D. MelnjakD
  6. 8K. FayadM
  7. 20Alberto del MoralM
  8. 16A. SutaloM
  9. 9DaliM
  10. 23M. ŠotičekM
  11. 10M. LivajaF

Substitutes

  1. 99D. FesyukG
  2. 3Roko GabrićD
  3. 32Š. HrgovićD
  4. 26A. GuramM
  5. 77Carlos MartínF
  6. 4A. PajazitiM
  7. 14R. RaciD
  8. 7A. SanyangF
  9. 44D. StipicaG
  10. 5A. Van HoorenbeeckD
  11. 11M. ŠegoF
  12. 18L. DendonckerM

Coach: Gonzalo García

NK Varazdin

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 33J. SilićG
  2. 30L. PosinkovicD
  3. 13M. MladenovskiD
  4. 16N. TepšićD
  5. 3E. DurakovićD
  6. 8T. DuvnjakM
  7. 12P. BočkajM
  8. 28I. CanjugaM
  9. 22L. MamićM
  10. 38Iuri TavaresM
  11. 10A. LatkovićF

Substitutes

  1. 5Sven LesjakD
  2. 17V. AkrapF
  3. 11E. UchegbuF
  4. 9S. JurićF
  5. 19L. LukanićM
  6. 24M. MarinaM
  7. 1R. McCrorieG
  8. 21I. PosavecM
  9. 6D. PuclinM
  10. 14R. PunčecD
  11. 20G. SikošekD
  12. 4L. ŠkaričićD

Coach: N. Šafarić

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.71 – 1.06
0.5 goalsOver93.7%Under6.3%
1.5 goalsOver76.4%Under23.6%
2.5 goalsOver52.3%Under47.7%
3.5 goalsOver30.1%Under69.9%
4.5 goalsOver14.8%Under85.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

HNK Hajduk SplitNK Varazdin
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
17%Defence83%
50%Head to head50%
62%Expected goals38%
69%Overall31%

Last matches

Newest first
HNK Hajduk Split1W 0D 0L · last 1
WHNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax15 Oct 2026 · Conference League2-1
NK Varazdin0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

HNL table

HNL table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1HNK Hajduk Split12+1526
2Dinamo Zagreb11+1122
3NK Osijek12+520
4NK Varazdin12+519
5HNK Rijeka11+318
6Istra 196112+316
7NK Slaven Belupo12-1113
8Rudes12-1213
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb12-611
10HNK Gorica12-137
See full table ›

Top scorers

HNL top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1D. BeljoDinamo Zagreb1012
2E. FrederiksenIstra 1961128
3I. NestorovskiNK Slaven Belupo117
4A. LeónNK Osijek116
5H. JaganjacIstra 1961105

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatHNK Hajduk SplitNK Varazdin
Played10
Wins10
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)20
Goals against (avg)10
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/0
Over 2.51/10/0
Over 3.50/10/0
BTTS – yes1/10/0

Match preview

HNK Hajduk Split host NK Varazdin in the HNL (Regular Season - 10) at Stadion Poljud, Split, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes HNK Hajduk Split favourites, giving HNK Hajduk Split a 52% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 23% for NK Varazdin. Our tip is: HNK Hajduk Split or draw.

HNK Hajduk Split have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 54% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Croatia HNL
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 14:00 WAT
Venue
Stadion Poljud, Split

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin in?

The match is in the Croatia HNL.

Where are HNK Hajduk Split and NK Varazdin in the table?

HNK Hajduk Split are 1st and NK Varazdin are 4th in the HNL.

Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?

Our prediction is HNK Hajduk Split or draw. Win probabilities: HNK Hajduk Split 52%, draw 25%, NK Varazdin 23%.

Will both teams score in HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?

We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?

We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More HNL on Sun 18 Oct

FTNK Slaven Belupo 1-5 Dinamo Zagreb2 ✓

All football predictions for today