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Rudes vs HNK Rijeka prediction

Rudes vs HNK Rijeka prediction for the HNL on 16 Oct 2026: HNK Rijeka to win (63%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday16October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
HNL · Regular Season - 10
RudesNo recent gamesHNK RijekaNo recent games
1 - 2Full time · Fri 16 OctHT 0-1
SC Rudes, Zagreb

Match events

RudesHNK Rijeka
  1. 5'Goal: Samuele VignatoAssist: Toni Fruk
  2. 36'Yellow card: Branko pavicFoul
  3. Substitution: Xavier Cabrita FernandesOff: Vid Seitz45'
  4. Yellow card: Lovre RogićDissent45+2'

HT 0-1

  1. 63'Substitution: Jakov PuljićOff: D. Adu-Adjei
  2. 63'Substitution: Justas LasickasOff: Ivan Cubelic
  3. Substitution: Ivan ĐoricOff: Lenny Ilecic67'
  4. Substitution: Saad El HaddadOff: Kristijan Lovrić67'
  5. Red card: Vedran Celjak71'
  6. VAR: Vedran CeljakRed card confirmedVAR72'
  7. 74'Goal: Toni Fruk
  8. 79'Substitution: Branko pavicOff: Amer Gojak
  9. Substitution: filip tarabaOff: Felipe Curcio84'
  10. Substitution: Junior FernandesOff: Jurica Poldrugac84'
  11. Yellow card: Kristijan LovrićFoul89'
  12. 89'Substitution: Samuele VignatoOff: Noel Bodetic
  13. 89'Substitution: Toni FrukOff: Niko Janković
  14. 90+2'Yellow card: Niko JankovićFoul
  15. Goal: Noa skokoAssist: Jurica Poldrugac90+4'

Our verdict

2 ✓

HNK Rijeka to win

Bet365 1.33

63%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-2

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · Rudes16%
Fair odds 6.25
X · Draw21%
Fair odds 4.76
2 · HNK Rijeka63%
Fair odds 1.59

Match statistics

  • 30%Possession70%
  • 0.55Expected goals (xG)1.10
  • 6Total shots9
  • 3Shots on target4
  • 2Shots off target1
  • 1Blocked shots4
  • 4Shots inside the box5
  • 3Corners4
  • 2Offsides1
  • 8Fouls9
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 1Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves2
  • 306Passes735
  • 224Accurate passes664

Line-ups

Rudes

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 95L. RogićG
  2. 42M. ZebićD
  3. 4V. CeljakD
  4. 29S. BralićD
  5. 2B. UnušićM
  6. 24I. ĐorićM
  7. 37N. SkokoM
  8. 27Felipe CurcioM
  9. 28XaviM
  10. 88S. El HaddadM
  11. 78J. FernándesF

Substitutes

  1. 9Josip BralicF
  2. 33J. PejicF
  3. 1Filip HoljevacG
  4. 7L. IlečićF
  5. 14T. KolegaF
  6. 34K. LovrićF
  7. 26I. ŽutićD
  8. 30M. ŠlogarF
  9. 44F. TarabaD
  10. 10V. SeitzM
  11. 8Luka PopovicM
  12. 11J. PoldrugačM

Coach: A. Peternac

HNK Rijeka

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 13I. VekičG
  2. 22A. OrečD
  3. 45A. MajstorovićD
  4. 51A. HusicD
  5. 34M. DevetakD
  6. 6B. PavićM
  7. 23J. LasickasM
  8. 26Tiago DantasM
  9. 10T. FrukM
  10. 19S. VignatoM
  11. 21J. PuljićF

Substitutes

  1. 14A. GojakM
  2. 8I. ĆubelićM
  3. 99A. TodorovićG
  4. 12Domagoj Ivan MaricG
  5. 7Y. KabadayıF
  6. 77A. JuričF
  7. 4N. JankovićM
  8. 15Goran GrulovićF
  9. 91N. BodetićD
  10. 5A. BarcoM
  11. 18D. Adu-AdjeiF
  12. 3M. ŽivkovićD

Coach: M. Kek

Betting markets

Expected goals 0.96 – 2.11
0.5 goalsOver95.4%Under4.6%
1.5 goalsOver81.1%Under18.9%
2.5 goalsOver59.2%Under40.8%
3.5 goalsOver36.8%Under63.2%
4.5 goalsOver19.7%Under80.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

RudesHNK Rijeka
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
31%Expected goals69%
20%Overall80%

Last matches

Newest first
Rudes0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

HNK Rijeka0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

HNL table

HNL table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1HNK Hajduk Split12+1526
2Dinamo Zagreb11+1122
3NK Osijek12+520
4NK Varazdin12+519
5HNK Rijeka11+318
6Istra 196112+316
7NK Slaven Belupo12-1113
8Rudes12-1213
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb12-611
10HNK Gorica12-137
See full table ›

Top scorers

HNL top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1D. BeljoDinamo Zagreb1012
2E. FrederiksenIstra 1961128
3I. NestorovskiNK Slaven Belupo117
4A. LeónNK Osijek116
5H. JaganjacIstra 1961105

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatRudesHNK Rijeka
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Rudes host HNK Rijeka in the HNL (Regular Season - 10) at SC Rudes, Zagreb, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 17:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes HNK Rijeka favourites, giving Rudes a 16% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 63% for HNK Rijeka. Our tip is: HNK Rijeka to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Croatia HNL
Date
Friday, 16 October 2026, 17:00 WAT
Venue
SC Rudes, Zagreb

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Rudes vs HNK Rijeka?

Rudes vs HNK Rijeka kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 17:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Rudes vs HNK Rijeka in?

The match is in the Croatia HNL.

Where are Rudes and HNK Rijeka in the table?

Rudes are 8th and HNK Rijeka are 5th in the HNL.

Who will win Rudes vs HNK Rijeka?

Our prediction is HNK Rijeka to win. Win probabilities: Rudes 16%, draw 21%, HNK Rijeka 63%.

Will both teams score in Rudes vs HNK Rijeka?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rudes vs HNK Rijeka?

We estimate a 59% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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