HNL · Regular Season - 11
Match events
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb- 45'Substitution: Fran KaračićOff: dominik thaqi
HT 0-0
- Substitution: Bruno BogojevićOff: ivan cvijanovic57'
- 67'Yellow card: Marcel LorberFoul
- 67'Substitution: Marcel LorberOff: matija subotic
- Substitution: Goncalo CostaOff: Luka Vrzic68'
- 74'Substitution: Leon BelcarOff: Mirko Marić
- 77'Yellow card: Lovre kulusicFoul
- Substitution: Ante ErcegOff: Patrik Mijic80'
- Substitution: frigan jurajOff: Ognjen Bakic80'
- Yellow card: Dušan StevanovićFoul84'
- 90'Substitution: Dušan VukovićOff: Marijan Čabraja
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.28
✗ This tip lost · final score 0-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 54%Possession46%
- 1.01Expected goals (xG)0.93
- 13Total shots14
- 4Shots on target1
- 7Shots off target8
- 2Blocked shots5
- 11Shots inside the box7
- 10Corners6
- 2Offsides0
- 14Fouls12
- 1Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 1Goalkeeper saves4
- 458Passes395
- 372Accurate passes301
Line-ups
HNK Gorica
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1R. JosipovićG
- 2F. BrautD
- 32J. FilipovićD
- 15D. StevanovićD
- 5Gonçalo CostaD
- 66Juraj FriganM
- 6T. LacouxM
- 25B. BogojevićM
- 24D. PavičićM
- 8J. PranjićM
- 50A. ErcegF
Substitutes
- 10F. BrodićF
- 34I. CvijanovićD
- 18B. KardumF
- 26Keenan Nino CaroleF
- 36Ante KaveljM
- 71D. MatijašG
- 9P. MijićF
- 21H. MoustaphaD
- 45S. PerićD
- 30D. ŽarkovG
- 20L. VrzićF
- 7O. BakićM
Coach: M. Carević
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 12J. PosavecG
- 13F. KaračićD
- 2J. GurlicaD
- 4T. TriantafyllouD
- 20K. ČabrajićD
- 8I. KatićM
- 6F. FetaiM
- 7D. VukovićM
- 14M. LorberM
- 9L. BelcarM
- 11Lovre KulušićF
Substitutes
- 32L. SavatovićG
- 24M. MarićF
- 26M. DardanM
- 25P. SmiljanicM
- 16KaykeF
- 10M. SubotićM
- 15Dominik ThaqiF
- 29J. VasiljM
- 5M. ČabrajaD
- 28N. ĐurkovićF
- 18M. ŠitumD
Coach: N. Jelavić
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.39 – 1.23Half time / full time result. 1 = HNK Gorica, X = draw, 2 = NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
Asian handicap applied to HNK Gorica.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstHNK Gorica0W 1D 0L · last 1NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1W 0D 0L · last 1HNL table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +15 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 22 | LWWLW |
| 3 | NK Osijek | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 20 | WLDLD |
| 4 | NK Varazdin | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 19 | DLLWD |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 16 | WDLWL |
| 7 | NK Slaven Belupo | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 13 | LWLWD |
| 8 | Rudes | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 13 | WWLWD |
| 9 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 11 | LDWLL |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -13 | 7 | LDDLW |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  D. BeljoDinamo Zagreb | 10 | 12 |
| 2 |  E. FrederiksenIstra 1961 | 12 | 8 |
| 3 |  I. NestorovskiNK Slaven Belupo | 11 | 7 |
| 4 |  A. LeónNK Osijek | 11 | 6 |
| 5 |  H. JaganjacIstra 1961 | 10 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | HNK Gorica | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1 | 2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/1 | 0/1 |
Match preview
HNK Gorica host NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in the HNL (Regular Season - 11) at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica, Velika Gorica, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 14:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes HNK Gorica slight favourites, giving HNK Gorica a 40% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 32% for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
HNK Gorica have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L). NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Croatia HNL
- Date
- Saturday, 24 October 2026, 14:00 WAT
- Venue
- Gradski stadion Velika Gorica, Velika Gorica
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 14:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in?
The match is in the Croatia HNL.
Where are HNK Gorica and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in the table?
HNK Gorica are 10th and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are 9th in the HNL.
Who will win HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: HNK Gorica 40%, draw 28%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 32%.
Will both teams score in HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
We estimate a 49% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.