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NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica prediction

NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica prediction for the HNL on 17 Oct 2026: NK Osijek to win (56%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
HNL · Regular Season - 10
NK OsijekNo recent gamesHNK GoricaNo recent games
1 - 1Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 0-1
Opus Arena, Osijek

Match events

NK OsijekHNK Gorica
  1. 23'Goal: Jakov PranjićAssist: Domagoj Pavičić
  2. Substitution: Simun MikolcicOff: Ivan Dolček29'
  3. Yellow card: Izak JežićFoul31'
  4. Yellow card: Armando LeónFoul34'
  5. 35'Yellow card: frigan jurajFoul
  6. Substitution: Álejandro CanteroOff: Admir ljatifi45'
  7. Substitution: Marcel HeisterOff: Izak Ježić45'

HT 0-1

  1. 60'Yellow card: Goncalo CostaFoul
  2. Substitution: Ivan BarićOff: Luka Tunjic66'
  3. 68'Substitution: frigan jurajOff: Ognjen Bakic
  4. 68'Substitution: Jakov PranjićOff: Stefan Perić
  5. Goal: Armando LeónAssist: Admir ljatifi68'
  6. 73'VARVAR: Ognjen BakicGoal cancelled
  7. 75'Red card: Mario CarevićAbusive Language
  8. Substitution: Jay KruiverOff: Luka Posavec76'
  9. 80'Substitution: Bruno BogojevićOff: ivan cvijanovic
  10. 86'Substitution: Domagoj PavičićOff: Kevin Custovic
  11. 90+3'Yellow card: Filip BrautFoul

Our verdict

1 ✗

NK Osijek to win

Bet365 1.62

56%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · NK Osijek56%
Fair odds 1.79
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · HNK Gorica20%
Fair odds 5.00

Match statistics

  • 59%Possession41%
  • 1.75Expected goals (xG)0.58
  • 28Total shots6
  • 7Shots on target3
  • 12Shots off target2
  • 9Blocked shots1
  • 16Shots inside the box5
  • 11Corners6
  • 1Offsides4
  • 11Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves6
  • 465Passes244
  • 407Accurate passes162

Line-ups

NK Osijek

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 31M. MalenicaG
  2. 22J. KruiverD
  3. 98Izak JežićD
  4. 49Ivano KolarikD
  5. 47D. KalemD
  6. 8Š. MikolčićM
  7. 23L. VrbancicM
  8. 39D. BukvićM
  9. 11Luka TunjicM
  10. 21CanteroM
  11. 79A. LeónF

Substitutes

  1. 67B. BaktiM
  2. 12Jan AdžićG
  3. 99BaleloF
  4. 9I. BarićF
  5. 1N. CurcijaG
  6. 7I. DolčekF
  7. 18Niko FarkašM
  8. 2M. HeisterD
  9. 26L. JelenićD
  10. 30A. LjatifiF
  11. 16O. PetrusenkoM
  12. 24L. PosavecD

Coach: Fede Bessone

HNK Gorica

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1R. JosipovićG
  2. 2F. BrautD
  3. 32J. FilipovićD
  4. 15D. StevanovićD
  5. 5Gonçalo CostaD
  6. 6T. LacouxM
  7. 66Juraj FriganM
  8. 25B. BogojevićM
  9. 24D. PavičićM
  10. 8J. PranjićM
  11. 50A. ErcegF

Substitutes

  1. 4K. ČustovićM
  2. 20L. VrzićF
  3. 30D. ŽarkovG
  4. 45S. PerićD
  5. 21H. MoustaphaD
  6. 9P. MijićF
  7. 71D. MatijašG
  8. 18B. KardumF
  9. 34I. CvijanovićD
  10. 7O. BakićM

Coach: M. Carević

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.83 – 1.00
0.5 goalsOver94.1%Under5.9%
1.5 goalsOver77.4%Under22.6%
2.5 goalsOver53.8%Under46.2%
3.5 goalsOver31.5%Under68.5%
4.5 goalsOver15.7%Under84.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

NK OsijekHNK Gorica
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
65%Expected goals35%
74%Overall26%

Last matches

Newest first
NK Osijek0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

HNK Gorica0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

HNL table

HNL table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1HNK Hajduk Split12+1526
2Dinamo Zagreb11+1122
3NK Osijek12+520
4NK Varazdin12+519
5HNK Rijeka11+318
6Istra 196112+316
7NK Slaven Belupo12-1113
8Rudes12-1213
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb12-611
10HNK Gorica12-137
See full table ›

Top scorers

HNL top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1D. BeljoDinamo Zagreb1012
2E. FrederiksenIstra 1961128
3I. NestorovskiNK Slaven Belupo117
4A. LeónNK Osijek116
5H. JaganjacIstra 1961105

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatNK OsijekHNK Gorica
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

NK Osijek host HNK Gorica in the HNL (Regular Season - 10) at Opus Arena, Osijek, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 17:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes NK Osijek favourites, giving NK Osijek a 56% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 20% for HNK Gorica. Our tip is: NK Osijek to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 54% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Croatia HNL
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 17:00 WAT
Venue
Opus Arena, Osijek

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica?

NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 17:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica in?

The match is in the Croatia HNL.

Where are NK Osijek and HNK Gorica in the table?

NK Osijek are 3rd and HNK Gorica are 10th in the HNL.

Who will win NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica?

Our prediction is NK Osijek to win. Win probabilities: NK Osijek 56%, draw 24%, HNK Gorica 20%.

Will both teams score in NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica?

We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica?

We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More HNL on Sat 17 Oct

FTNK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0 Istra 1961Over 1.5 ✓

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