Skip to content
TodaysPrediction

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 prediction

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 prediction for the HNL on 17 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (80%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
HNL · Regular Season - 10
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNo recent gamesIstra 1961No recent games
2 - 0Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 1-0
Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb

Match events

NK Lokomotiva ZagrebIstra 1961
  1. Goal: Fran KaračićAssist: Leon Belcar11'

HT 1-0

  1. Goal: Lovre kulusicAssist: Fran Karačić46'
  2. 52'Yellow card: Niko ŠepićFoul
  3. 61'Substitution: Dukan AhmetiOff: hamza jaganjac
  4. 61'Substitution: Dominik CelijaOff: Niko Šepić
  5. 69'Substitution: Demirel hodzicOff: Matija Kablar
  6. 69'Substitution: Nik Skafar ZuzicOff: Silvio Gorican
  7. Substitution: Dušan VukovićOff: Mirko Marić73'
  8. Substitution: Leon BelcarOff: dominik thaqi73'
  9. Substitution: Ivan katicOff: Matej Mitrović73'
  10. Substitution: jakov gurlicaOff: Marijan Čabraja77'
  11. 88'Substitution: Isaac Aguiar TomichOff: vinko rozic
  12. Substitution: Feta FetaiOff: Erbol Atabaev90+1'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.20

80%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb40%
Fair odds 2.50
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Istra 196134%
Fair odds 2.94

Match statistics

  • 45%Possession55%
  • 1.41Expected goals (xG)0.57
  • 14Total shots14
  • 6Shots on target8
  • 5Shots off target4
  • 3Blocked shots2
  • 10Shots inside the box6
  • 5Corners10
  • 1Offsides2
  • 16Fouls9
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 8Goalkeeper saves4
  • 330Passes418
  • 241Accurate passes337

Line-ups

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 12J. PosavecG
  2. 13F. KaračićD
  3. 2J. GurlicaD
  4. 4T. TriantafyllouD
  5. 20K. ČabrajićD
  6. 8I. KatićM
  7. 6F. FetaiM
  8. 7D. VukovićM
  9. 14M. LorberM
  10. 9L. BelcarM
  11. 11Lovre KulušićF

Substitutes

  1. 3M. MitrovićD
  2. 24M. MarićF
  3. 26M. DardanM
  4. 32L. SavatovićG
  5. 25P. SmiljanicM
  6. 16KaykeF
  7. 10M. SubotićM
  8. 15Dominik ThaqiF
  9. 29J. VasiljM
  10. 5M. ČabrajaD
  11. 28N. ĐurkovićF
  12. 18E. AtabaevM

Coach: N. Jelavić

Istra 1961

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1F. KolićG
  2. 44R. HrvatinD
  3. 3M. NasraouiD
  4. 4R. KumarD
  5. 13Niko ŠepićD
  6. 5D. HodzicM
  7. 25G. AlbarracínM
  8. 22E. FrederiksenM
  9. 20D. AhmetiM
  10. 30N. Skafar ZuzicM
  11. 9IsaacF

Substitutes

  1. 27D. CelijaF
  2. 11S. GoričanF
  3. 94H. JaganjacF
  4. 50Roko JenjićD
  5. 34M. KablarM
  6. 66M. MomohD
  7. 40J. Paus-KunštG
  8. 7V. RozićF
  9. 24Ivano SvrakaF
  10. 23S. UkichM
  11. 39T. BrajkovicF

Coach: Javier Cabello

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.54 – 1.40
0.5 goalsOver94.7%Under5.3%
1.5 goalsOver79.2%Under20.8%
2.5 goalsOver56.3%Under43.7%
3.5 goalsOver33.9%Under66.1%
4.5 goalsOver17.5%Under82.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

NK Lokomotiva ZagrebIstra 1961
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
52%Expected goals48%
54%Overall46%

Last matches

Newest first
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Istra 19610W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

HNL table

HNL table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1HNK Hajduk Split12+1526
2Dinamo Zagreb11+1122
3NK Osijek12+520
4NK Varazdin12+519
5HNK Rijeka11+318
6Istra 196112+316
7NK Slaven Belupo12-1113
8Rudes12-1213
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb12-611
10HNK Gorica12-137
See full table ›

Top scorers

HNL top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1D. BeljoDinamo Zagreb1012
2E. FrederiksenIstra 1961128
3I. NestorovskiNK Slaven Belupo117
4A. LeónNK Osijek116
5H. JaganjacIstra 1961105

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatNK Lokomotiva ZagrebIstra 1961
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb host Istra 1961 in the HNL (Regular Season - 10) at Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes NK Lokomotiva Zagreb slight favourites, giving NK Lokomotiva Zagreb a 40% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 34% for Istra 1961. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Croatia HNL
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 14:00 WAT
Venue
Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 in?

The match is in the Croatia HNL.

Where are NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and Istra 1961 in the table?

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are 9th and Istra 1961 are 6th in the HNL.

Who will win NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 40%, draw 26%, Istra 1961 34%.

Will both teams score in NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?

We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More HNL on Sat 17 Oct

FTNK Osijek 1-1 HNK Gorica1 ✗

All football predictions for today