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Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg prediction

Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg prediction for the Eliteserien on 31 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (79%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
FredrikstadRosenborg
0 - 3Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 0-1
Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad

Match events

FredrikstadRosenborg
  1. 30'Yellow card: Aslak Fonn WitryFoul
  2. 45'Goal: Amin ChiakhaAssist: Noah Sahsah
  3. Substitution: Bryan FiabemaOff: Benjamin Thoresen Faraas45'

HT 0-1

  1. Substitution: Liam WestOff: Gabriel Wesseh55'
  2. 56'Substitution: Aslak Fonn WitryOff: Mathias Ullereng Kjolo
  3. 56'Substitution: Noah SahsahOff: Jesper Reitan Sunde
  4. Yellow card: Max NilssonArgument58'
  5. 58'Yellow card: Mads BomholtArgument
  6. 59'Yellow card: Amin ChiakhaDissent
  7. 67'Goal: Mads BomholtAssist: Emil Konradsen Ceide
  8. Substitution: Solomon OwusuOff: Johannes Andres Hummelvoll-Nunez70'
  9. 78'Substitution: Tobias Solheim DahlOff: Jonas Sogaard Mortensen
  10. Substitution: Samuel HolmOff: jakub jezierski82'
  11. Substitution: Daniel EidOff: Simen Rafn83'
  12. 90+3'Penalty goal: Amin Chiakha (pen)
  13. 90+3'Substitution: Maciej SoboczynskiOff: Amin Chiakha
  14. 90+4'Substitution: Emil Konradsen CeideOff: David Duris

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.20

79%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-3

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Fredrikstad26%
Fair odds 3.85
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Rosenborg49%
Fair odds 2.04

Match statistics

  • 48%Possession52%
  • 1.42Expected goals (xG)2.27
  • 14Total shots18
  • 3Shots on target4
  • 4Shots off target7
  • 7Blocked shots7
  • 8Shots inside the box11
  • 4Corners4
  • 1Offsides0
  • 13Fouls10
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves4
  • 564Passes576
  • 471Accurate passes496

Line-ups

Fredrikstad

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 77M. BørsheimG
  2. 38I. AmundsenD
  3. 12U. FredriksenD
  4. 28S. OwusuD
  5. 19F. GhebreyohannesM
  6. 6S. Leach HolmM
  7. 14M. NilssonM
  8. 16D. EidM
  9. 11L. WestF
  10. 18B. FiabemaF
  11. 23H. SkogvoldF

Substitutes

  1. 7B. ThoresenF
  2. 21J. JezierskiM
  3. 9S. LaghzaouiM
  4. 10J. Hummelvoll-NuñezF
  5. 5S. RafnD
  6. 30J. TorkildsenG
  7. 29G. WessehM
  8. 27Chris Irénée Ntamack PondyD

Coach: Casper Röjkjaer

Rosenborg

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1L. WahlstedtG
  2. 16A. WitryD
  3. 4M. CeïdeD
  4. 21T. NemčíkD
  5. 3T. SolheimD
  6. 11N. SahsahM
  7. 17M. BomholtM
  8. 10O. SelnæsM
  9. 22J. SvenssonM
  10. 18Amin ChiakhaF
  11. 35E. CeïdeF

Substitutes

  1. 30M. SoboczynskiF
  2. 12R. SandbergG
  3. 14J. Reitan-SundeF
  4. 15J. MortensenD
  5. 23M. MampassiD
  6. 6M. KjøløM
  7. 9D. IslamovićF
  8. 8I. FossumM
  9. 29D. ĎurišF

Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.19 – 1.71
0.5 goalsOver94.5%Under5.5%
1.5 goalsOver78.5%Under21.5%
2.5 goalsOver55.4%Under44.6%
3.5 goalsOver33.0%Under67.0%
4.5 goalsOver16.8%Under83.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

FredrikstadRosenborg
0%Form100%
33%Attack67%
5%Defence95%
50%Head to head50%
41%Expected goals59%
35%Overall65%

Last matches

Newest first

Eliteserien table

Eliteserien table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Viking25+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859
3Molde25+2043
4Rosenborg25+1843
5Lillestrom25+342
6Tromso25+540
7Brann25+332
8Valerenga25-332
9Sarpsborg 08 FF25-731
10KFUM Oslo25-931
11Fredrikstad25-1529
12Sandefjord25-827
13Ham-Kam25-1827
14Aalesund25-1424
15Kristiansund BK25-2223
16Start25-2919
See full table ›

Top scorers

Eliteserien top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Amin ChiakhaRosenborg2417
2P. ChristiansenViking2415
3A. HelmersenBodo/Glimt2213
4K. LonebuMolde2213
5L. AlvheimKristiansund BK2312

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatFredrikstadRosenborg
Played22
Wins02
Draws00
Losses20
Goals for (avg)1.53
Goals against (avg)40
Clean sheets02
Failed to score00
Best win streak02

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/22/2
Over 2.52/22/2
Over 3.52/20/2
BTTS – yes2/20/2

Match preview

Fredrikstad host Rosenborg in the Eliteserien (Regular Season - 25) at Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Rosenborg slight favourites, giving Fredrikstad a 26% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 49% for Rosenborg. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Fredrikstad have taken 0 points from their last 2 games (0W 0D 2L). Rosenborg have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Norway Eliteserien
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Venue
Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?

Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg in?

The match is in the Norway Eliteserien.

Where are Fredrikstad and Rosenborg in the table?

Fredrikstad are 11th and Rosenborg are 4th in the Eliteserien.

Who will win Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Fredrikstad 26%, draw 25%, Rosenborg 49%.

Will both teams score in Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?

We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eliteserien on Sat 31 Oct

FTAalesund 3-4 Sandefjord1X ✗

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