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Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg prediction

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg prediction for the Eliteserien on 18 Oct 2026: Sarpsborg 08 FF or Rosenborg (76%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg

Match events

Sarpsborg 08 FFRosenborg
  1. 29'Goal: Aslak Fonn Witry
  2. 34'Yellow card: Mathias Ullereng KjoloFoul
  3. 36'Goal: Adrian Nilsen PereiraAssist: Aslak Fonn Witry
  4. Yellow card: Sander Johan ChristiansenFoul43'
  5. Substitution: Andreas HansenOff: Anders Hiim45'
  6. Substitution: Peter ReinhardsenOff: Aimar Sher45'

HT 0-2

  1. Yellow card: Daniel Seland KarlsbakkFoul57'
  2. Substitution: Eirik WichneOff: Claus Babo Niyukuri60'
  3. 61'Substitution: Noah SahsahOff: Jesper Reitan Sunde
  4. 61'Substitution: Maciej SoboczynskiOff: Dino Islamović
  5. 65'Yellow card: Mads BomholtFoul
  6. Substitution: Sander Johan ChristiansenOff: Victor Emanuel Halvorsen68'
  7. 70'Substitution: Adrian Nilsen PereiraOff: Tobias Solheim Dahl
  8. 70'Substitution: Mathias Ullereng KjoloOff: Iver Fossum
  9. 81'Substitution: Dino IslamovićOff: Jonas Sogaard Mortensen
  10. Substitution: Noa WilliamsOff: Camil Mmaee Nwameben81'
  11. 83'Yellow card: Jonas Sogaard MortensenFoul
  12. 90+7'Goal: Jonas Sogaard Mortensen

Our verdict

12 ✓

Sarpsborg 08 FF or Rosenborg

Bet365 1.28

76%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-3

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · Sarpsborg 08 FF40%
Fair odds 2.50
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Rosenborg36%
Fair odds 2.78

Match statistics

  • 51%Possession49%
  • 1.02Expected goals (xG)1.63
  • 14Total shots20
  • 5Shots on target6
  • 5Shots off target8
  • 4Blocked shots6
  • 8Shots inside the box13
  • 7Corners8
  • 1Offsides2
  • 14Fouls17
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves4
  • 439Passes421
  • 337Accurate passes323

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08 FF

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 87L. ØyG
  2. 32E. WichneD
  3. 4B. UtvikD
  4. 24S. RostedD
  5. 20P. ReinhardsenD
  6. 10S. SørliM
  7. 8S. ChristiansenM
  8. 77O. SkarsemM
  9. 17N. WilliamsM
  10. 33A. NibeF
  11. 11D. KarlsbakkF

Substitutes

  1. 21A. HiimD
  2. 22V. HalvorsenM
  3. 12C. NiyukuriD
  4. 5L. HøylandD
  5. 2M. LodeD
  6. 50M. M. EidalD
  7. 7Camil Mmaee NwamebenM
  8. 1J. PrytsG
  9. 6A. SherM

Coach: E. Sel

Rosenborg

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1L. WahlstedtG
  2. 16A. WitryD
  3. 4M. CeïdeD
  4. 23M. MampassiD
  5. 19A. PereiraD
  6. 11N. SahsahM
  7. 17M. BomholtM
  8. 22J. SvenssonM
  9. 6M. KjøløM
  10. 30M. SoboczynskiF
  11. 35E. CeïdeF

Substitutes

  1. 3T. SolheimD
  2. 12R. SandbergG
  3. 8I. FossumM
  4. 14J. Reitan-SundeF
  5. 9D. IslamovićF
  6. 20J. BárðarsonM
  7. 15J. MortensenD

Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.61 – 1.51
0.5 goalsOver95.6%Under4.4%
1.5 goalsOver81.8%Under18.2%
2.5 goalsOver60.3%Under39.7%
3.5 goalsOver38.0%Under62.0%
4.5 goalsOver20.5%Under79.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Sarpsborg 08 FFRosenborg
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
52%Expected goals48%
53%Overall47%

Last matches

Newest first
Sarpsborg 08 FF0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Rosenborg0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Eliteserien table

Eliteserien table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Viking25+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859
3Molde25+2043
4Rosenborg25+1843
5Lillestrom25+342
6Tromso25+540
7Brann25+332
8Valerenga25-332
9Sarpsborg 08 FF25-731
10KFUM Oslo25-931
11Fredrikstad25-1529
12Sandefjord25-827
13Ham-Kam25-1827
14Aalesund25-1424
15Kristiansund BK25-2223
16Start25-2919
See full table ›

Top scorers

Eliteserien top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Amin ChiakhaRosenborg2417
2P. ChristiansenViking2415
3A. HelmersenBodo/Glimt2213
4L. AlvheimKristiansund BK2312
5K. LonebuMolde2112

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSarpsborg 08 FFRosenborg
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Sarpsborg 08 FF host Rosenborg in the Eliteserien (Regular Season - 24) at Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 13:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Sarpsborg 08 FF slight favourites, giving Sarpsborg 08 FF a 40% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 36% for Rosenborg. Our tip is: Sarpsborg 08 FF or Rosenborg.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 and a 63% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Norway Eliteserien
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 13:30 WAT
Venue
Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg?

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 13:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg in?

The match is in the Norway Eliteserien.

Where are Sarpsborg 08 FF and Rosenborg in the table?

Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th and Rosenborg are 4th in the Eliteserien.

Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg?

Our prediction is Sarpsborg 08 FF or Rosenborg. Win probabilities: Sarpsborg 08 FF 40%, draw 24%, Rosenborg 36%.

Will both teams score in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg?

We estimate a 63% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg?

We estimate a 60% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eliteserien on Sun 18 Oct

FTValerenga 3-1 Brann12 ✓FTSandefjord 0-2 LillestromX2 ✓FTMolde 6-1 Start1 ✓FTTromso 1-1 KFUM Oslo1 ✗

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